Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Idk. 00z had qpf but the ptype on pivotal was rain. Not sure what they would have had for 6z. I posted 850 and surface plenty cold, 700 is cold too, dont see any warm layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I posted 850 and surface plenty cold, 700 is cold too, dont see any warm layer. Like Scoot said it’s with the northern s/w...just some PVA forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Like Scoot said it’s with the northern s/w...just some PVA forcing. Nice, Nammies insisting on south coast snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 You guys blowing up James for his emotional weenie posts and unpinning, might be what this threat needed to give the south coast a couple of inches lol. Nammy suite actually gives James 2 to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You guys blowing up James for his emotional weenie posts and unpinning, might be what this threat needed to give the south coast a couple of inches lol. Nammy suite actually gives James 2 to 4 6z nam maybe but 12z nam is OTC for Ack and the hi-res is less than an inch of snow James was calling for 2’ again “just offshore “ . It’s like Bruce schwoegler forecasting on bath salts or crank. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You guys blowing up James for his emotional weenie posts and unpinning, might be what this threat needed to give the south coast a couple of inches lol. Nammy suite actually gives James 2 to 4 That's not the storm though...just a weak inv trough ahead of the approaching northern vort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 is that a flake or two for me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 17 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 6z nam maybe but 12z nam is OTC for Ack and the hi-res is less than an inch of snow James was calling for 2’ again “just offshore “ . It’s like Bruce schwoegler forecasting on bath salts or crank. Lol James being James. I look forward to my 6Z Euro Pva snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 6z nam maybe but 12z nam is OTC for Ack and the hi-res is less than an inch of snow James was calling for 2’ again “just offshore “ . It’s like Bruce schwoegler forecasting on bath salts or crank. Is "Crank" the new hot drug now? LOL. Crank was a movie I believe with that British Bald headed actor...Jason Statham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2020 Author Share Posted January 31, 2020 Euro is trying for like an inch or two of snow over SNE for Sat night...esp south. It turns into an IVT but it almost starts off as a little midlevel magic band oriented NE to SW with the H5 trough.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Nice some snow will fly Sat night per Euro and CMC. Inch or so here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Should I repin it to rekill the threat? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is trying for like an inch or two of snow over SNE for Sat night...esp south. It turns into an IVT but it almost starts off as a little midlevel magic band oriented NE to SW with the H5 trough.... The RGEM and HERPS has a signal for it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: The RGEM and HERPS has a signal for it too. Could be a surprise... some models have it on and off. I guess it get unpinned if some folks aren’t in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Cept I mean it 1 to 2 is possible oh lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Could be a surprise... some models have it on and off. I guess it get unpinned if some folks aren’t in the game That’s shitty. If SNE isn’t involved, my events don’t get pinned. It’s freakin snow showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Could be a surprise... some models have it on and off. I guess it get unpinned if some folks aren’t in the game It's morphed into something we weren't really tracking, but either way it's minor. Don't care if its pinned that much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 ASEMAATT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: That’s shitty. If SNE isn’t involved, my events don’t get pinned. It’s freakin snow showers. I’m just busting lol. Whether the thread is pinned or not isn’t going to affect how much snow I get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Pinning it now to kill it for good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Pinning it now to kill it for good. Maybe I should unpin it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Nothing is going to change my luck except maybe #freeleo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice some snow will fly Sat night per Euro and CMC. Inch or so here I thought of you as soon as seeing the Euro. Hope that works out for you guys and someone can grab an inch or two to brighten up the landscape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 5 minutes ago, Hazey said: Nothing is going to change my luck except maybe #freeleo Euro fail, that quite a shift between 00/06z and 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Just now, OSUmetstud said: Euro fail, that quite a shift between 00/06z and 12z. Inside 36hrs too. Horrendous failure. We'll see how much the models will fail for next weeks weather. I have 0 confidence in any model now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Euro fail, that quite a shift between 00/06z and 12z. That model has been Abysmal lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 1 minute ago, Hazey said: Inside 36hrs too. Horrendous failure. We'll see how much the models will fail for next weeks weather. I have 0 confidence in any model now. Yeah i knew it was an outlier when preparing the forecast today, but I figured it wouldn't shift that much given the ensembles were there too. it basically just folded it's previous three runs and went with the other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 4 hours ago, Hazey said: The whole argument that the pattern is too complex and giving the models trouble is BS imo. What, like there hasn't been a complex or even more complex pattern in the past?. Here's hoping that next winter we can smooth out these whole sale changes, especially inside 84 hrs. We're inside 24hrs now and there is still no consistency. Forecast models have 1"- 12" for my hood...lol Disagree...there are certain patterns in which the models have a difficult time handling. It's even been mentioned in forecast discussions before when something like this is the case. The more pieces which are introduced into the forecast the more complex the result becomes and the higher the likelihood for inconsistencies and drastic changes. 4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I remember in the Feb 2006 blizzard, the old ETA totally whiffed us on the 06z run the night before...and I mean total whiff like northwest of I-95. Might be one of the worst 12-18 hour forecasts I've ever seen....very next run it was back to hitting us with 10-20 inches. I bet nobody remembers the Euro going way east before 12/9/05 (probably because they didn't have the fancy QPF graphics and clown maps they have now). Even slightly more recently, I feel like everyone has forgotten some of those very hard trends northward on the SWFEs of 2007 to 2009 in the final 48h....maybe NYC weenies remember better....they got taken out of the snow frequently on those. I remember this pretty well surprisingly. That was a shock beyond belief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Pin, Unpin, Pin, Unpin, She gone, Not gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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