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Feb 1-2 storm threat


ORH_wxman
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54 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The northern stream that dives in late doesn’t get sampled until 00z tomorrow night. It’s out in the gulf of Alaska until then. 

Our initial northern shortwave that kind of becomes the “middle” one comes onshore tonight. 

I've been saying this over and over but a bit more liberal with timing being Thursday afternoon the start and as you said fully sampled at 00Z tomorrow night, or 00Z Friday.

That is probably the definitive time to throw in the proverbial towel.

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Just now, 78Blizzard said:

The orientation of those isobars at hr 60 doesn't bode well.  Those winds at 200 and 300mb still strong out of the west.

No dice this run. 

Didnt look better than 18z either. Not that the NAM gets a lot of weight but we’re not seeing positive trends from any model since 12z. 

Still some time for realistic changes, but it’s getting late. This is definitely not a “stay up for the euro” type threat at the moment.

 

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

No dice this run. 

Didnt look better than 18z either. Not that the NAM gets a lot of weight but we’re not seeing positive trends from any model since 12z. 

Still some time for realistic changes, but it’s getting late. This is definitely not a “stay up for the euro” type threat at the moment.

 

Does anyone still do that?  Lol

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