Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Not sure what some were/are expecting out of this, Seems like some are looking for Jan 2005. Let's just say 970 s are always intriguing this close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 IKON says adios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Again lol at the run to run changes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah that’s why folks are looking for a bigger event. It’s either fish or big hit. It won’t do anything if it scrapes SE Mass...air mass looks pretty shitty. Well again it can be a big storm that scrapes, doesn't have to be a bomb or a fish storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 This shouldn’t really surprise anyone. Everything has had massive NW or N shifts all winter. The storm last weekend shifted 250 miles in the last 72 hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: This shouldn’t really surprise anyone. Everything has had massive NW or N shifts all winter. The storm last weekend shifted 250 miles in the last 72 hours This is hardly the same setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 37 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: In such a s*itty winter it's been fine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 19 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: This is hardly the same setup. definitely but the backdrop is pretty similar...high-latitude blocking is lacking, and so on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 N/s digging more again... Edit- it was... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, Ericjcrash said: N/s digging more again... Yup. Better orientation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Gonna’ be interesting model watching at least through tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 27 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: This shouldn’t really surprise anyone. Everything has had massive NW or N shifts all winter. The storm last weekend shifted 250 miles in the last 72 hours Because the ridging psuedo block in atlantic canada ahead of the upper level low weakened with time. Why do you think that trend has anything to do with this storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: definitely but the backdrop is pretty similar...high-latitude blocking is lacking, and so on. Fast flow and lack of blocking decreases the chances of phasing and thus a northwest trend. So I don't see how that works in this instance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, OSUmetstud said: Fast flow and lack of blocking decreases the chances of phasing and thus a northwest trend. So I don't see how that works in this instance. The pacific isnt as bad as we saw all winter. We actually have a brief spike right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: Because the ridging psuedo block in atlantic canada ahead of the upper level low weakened with time. Why do you think that trend has anything to do with this storm? Congrats 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 gfs better but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I’m pretty sure I don’t get a big rainer out of this but everything else is on the table I think. my fearless forecast is I get cirrus here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Congrats Snow to rain warm frontal passages don't really excite me that much lol. I like NS for this one. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 32 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: This shouldn’t really surprise anyone. Everything has had massive NW or N shifts all winter. The storm last weekend shifted 250 miles in the last 72 hours Happens with the majority of Miller A storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I’m not an expert.... but the gfs looks better to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 scooter would probably be the big winner if this pulled a phase outta its azz given fast flow, no blocking this thing could only come so far NW it isn't gonna ride over the canal, so if this did phase and go "big" more than likely this would be an i-95 storm with CJ enhancement and prolly weenie band NW of that (best case scenario) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I must have lost my weenie goggles because this still looks like dog doo doo for 99% of the forum. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: I must have lost my weenie goggles because this still looks like dog doo doo for 99% of the forum. That's because it is. But so close to a nice surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 9 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Because the ridging psuedo block in atlantic canada ahead of the upper level low weakened with time. Why do you think that trend has anything to do with this storm? Regardless of what type or storm or trend, what he’s saying is that the models are having trouble. That itself moves storms around as we track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Fast flow and lack of blocking decreases the chances of phasing and thus a northwest trend. So I don't see how that works in this instance. The flow is fast but I'd wager this deal would be well OTS in a -nao with the pac like itnis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I’m on my phone but gfs looks like a marginal improvement. Not enough to excite. Correct me if I’m wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Regardless of what type or storm or trend, what he’s saying is that the models are having trouble. That itself moves storms around as we track. right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 43 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: This shouldn’t really surprise anyone. Everything has had massive NW or N shifts all winter. The storm last weekend shifted 250 miles in the last 72 hours 10 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Happens with the majority of Miller A storms. And the old playbook of the GFS showing a good storm track in the LR, only to lose it, then it comes back in the short term. We’ve seen this movie yet we didn’t not know how this one ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now