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Feb 1-2 storm threat


ORH_wxman
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  On 1/30/2020 at 1:07 AM, ORH_wxman said:

The northern stream that dives in late doesn’t get sampled until 00z tomorrow night. It’s out in the gulf of Alaska until then. 

Our initial northern shortwave that kind of becomes the “middle” one comes onshore tonight. 

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I've been saying this over and over but a bit more liberal with timing being Thursday afternoon the start and as you said fully sampled at 00Z tomorrow night, or 00Z Friday.

That is probably the definitive time to throw in the proverbial towel.

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  On 1/30/2020 at 2:33 AM, 78Blizzard said:

The orientation of those isobars at hr 60 doesn't bode well.  Those winds at 200 and 300mb still strong out of the west.

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No dice this run. 

Didnt look better than 18z either. Not that the NAM gets a lot of weight but we’re not seeing positive trends from any model since 12z. 

Still some time for realistic changes, but it’s getting late. This is definitely not a “stay up for the euro” type threat at the moment.

 

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  On 1/30/2020 at 2:35 AM, ORH_wxman said:

No dice this run. 

Didnt look better than 18z either. Not that the NAM gets a lot of weight but we’re not seeing positive trends from any model since 12z. 

Still some time for realistic changes, but it’s getting late. This is definitely not a “stay up for the euro” type threat at the moment.

 

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Does anyone still do that?  Lol

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  On 1/30/2020 at 2:47 AM, mreaves said:

Not me. When I saw “she gone” I just wanted to jump on the chance to post some Hall and Oates. 

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  On 1/30/2020 at 2:48 AM, CoastalWx said:

I can’t stay up for that, nooooo.....no can do. 

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Right there with you. 
14 hour work days make and old man gray.

 

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