Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Rev gon' chuck AWTs all day long Just wait. When this thing comes in full beast . I’ve been collecting names 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 God the models are toying with our emotions...lol. It's like they are jockeying for position. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: speed up the northern stream another 6-12hrs I haven't seen the run, so not to undermine reported progress, but we have been hearing exactly this for three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 It's pointless to worry about precip type.. if it's rain that means it's a weak POS out to sea. If the potential is realized with respect to the northern stream phasing..it's snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: It's pointless to worry about precip type.. if it's rain that means it's a weak POS out to sea. If the potential is realized with respect to the northern stream phasing..it's snow. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 700mb closes off as it passes by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Sad that the temps are so warm. Gonna need dynamics or else its drizzle mist Ya that’s the other part . Would advisory level intensity be snow ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Yeah airmass is total garbage so will need dynamics. But man that’s close. That is night and day from 00z. Compare that s/w at 00z near Kansas City is now in Illinois and being incorporated into the trough at hr 60 on the 12z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: A few little changes and it’s major snow and you know it. I know that if my Aunt had balls she would be my uncle. I cant call this a trend. It is yet another solution. I mean many EPS members had a similar scraper solution and some big had hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya that’s the other part . Temps ....light drizzle would be a real laugh If its light drizzle, the system is crap, anyway, so who cares....if there is a big storm, most will see big snow. The one aspect of this that isn't at all complicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah airmass is total garbage so will need dynamics. But man that’s close. That is night and day from 00z. Compare that s/w at 00z near Kansas City is now in Illinois and being incorporated into the trough at hr 60 on the 12z run. So scooter , how is the airmass for coastal folks , advisory amounts will not cut if for snow there ? Go big or go home ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Did the Euro change the duration/timing at all? If its moving as fast as previous runs it would limit the potential correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: If its light drizzle, the system is crap, anyway, so who cares....if there is a big storm, most will see big snow. The one aspect of this that isn't at all complicated. Sure but we have a whiff we have advisory level and we have major hit . A few options . I believe many are ok with advisory level and that may not cut it with dynamics . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Starting to remind me of some of those late 1980's ticker-tape bombs that used to scroll at the bottom of TWC updates... portending doom..only to have the low shift just a c.h. SE at the last minute after suffering three periods in a row of blizzard headlines and 1978 comparisons... only now, the models might just have a clue that a near miss is in the tea leafs.. (sarcasm..but - ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah airmass is total garbage so will need dynamics. But man that’s close. That is night and day from 00z. Compare that s/w at 00z near Kansas City is now in Illinois and being incorporated into the trough at hr 60 on the 12z run. It got left behind at 06z, And the other models are doing that as well, Its makes all the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Sure but we have a whiff we have advisory level and we have major hit . A few options Yea I dont understand the either or stuff. A fringe can bring a 2 to 4 band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 minute ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Correct me if I’m wrong. But last nights euro was a shift in the right direction, then it lost it, now the new run is another shift in the right direction? 18 z was the good run. 0z was bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Sure but we have a whiff we have advisory level and we have major hit . A few options . I believe many are ok with advisory level and that may not cut it with dynamics . I am not...keep the advisory crap. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just wait. When this thing comes in full beast . I’ve been collecting names I’m buying my hat from the amazon discount section right now... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah airmass is total garbage so will need dynamics. But man that’s close. That is night and day from 00z. Compare that s/w at 00z near Kansas City is now in Illinois and being incorporated into the trough at hr 60 on the 12z run. And it’s got 4 more days to continue trending Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea I dont understand the either or stuff. A fringe can bring a 2 to 4 band I highly doubt that a faster phase would not lead to a closer track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Starting to remind me of some of those late 1980's ticker-tape bombs that used to scroll at the bottom of TWC updates... portending doom..only to have the low shift just a c.h. SE at the last minute after suffering three periods in a row of blizzard headlines and 1978 comparisons... only now, the models might just have a clue that a near miss is in the tea leafs.. (sarcasm..but - ) Well, TWC has all but written this off for us, so the Euro wants some payback now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m buying my hat from the amazon discount section right now... Children in 3’rd world counties will have shirts reading. “ Remember the storm Rev called in late January “ to go with their pats 2020 Super Bowl hats 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I highly doubt that a faster phase would not lead to a closer track. Could come closer for an advisory event even a 12 21 09 like line of heavy versus advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 7 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: wife and I have been watching this. we're late to the party, but the show is funny as hell. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 19 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: So scooter , how is the airmass for coastal folks , advisory amounts will not cut if for snow there ? Go big or go home ? Well, I think if it came close enough, it would flip to a 32 Fahrenheit isothermal paste. If it’s just very light precip, it’s more less inconsequential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 11 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Damn you. That lead me in to the Curb rabbit hole. There goes my afternoon at work! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Eps similiar to 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2020 Author Share Posted January 29, 2020 12z EPS. Looks pretty good at 78 but it kicks east pretty sharply at 84. Can’t see individual members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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