wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Could be more of a timing thing with the gfs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Last one I promise lol Just for some giggles.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Last one I promise lol Just for some giggles.. 956mb...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Clearly NAM had some issues there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Euro Kuchera looking grand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Euro Kuchera looking grand This might be the storm of the decade for many in NNE! It’s obviously the only one of the decade so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Keep in mind global models don't do the best with any type of enhancement/LES..We clear out extremely quick on the European.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Have fun guys At least someone is having a decent winter I will be here looking at pictures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Keep in mind global models don't do the best with any type of enhancement/LES..We clear out extremely quick on the European.. Still a little more moisture to be had I think.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Thanks for posting great stuff Wolfie! Any chance u got the 12z euro ensembles yet? Or UKie? Does UKIE print ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 25 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: This might be the storm of the decade for many in NNE! It’s obviously the only one of the decade so far Decade is what, a month old? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Not that I know about Dave.. Canadian ensembles with a little more spread than the gefs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 What's euro with ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, tim123 said: What's euro with ratios? I posted kuchera a few back. Roc with a foot. SYR 17”. Adirondacks 24”+. BUF 9. Wayne county 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 What’s your thinking Tim? I really like this set up. It’s a tough one tho. Could slip SE or move too quick. But generally it looks great. I’m gun shy after this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2020 Author Share Posted February 5, 2020 EPS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: EPS So the winter weather advisory is still in place for N. Erie from 7pm tonight until 6pm tomorrow...but the difference is they upped the accums from 1 to 3 to 3 to 5 during the first part...if the second part is the same 6 to 10 is what is I've been thinking all along, but wouldn't meet WSW criteria because it's more that 24 hours. Oh well still so much better than the grass I've seen far too often this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 IDK but on the 12Z GFS CNY gets a shitload of FZRN for hrs and hrs with surface temps in the mid 20's and H850's above +2C so we can see some serious icing after an initial 1-2" of wet snow, then once the coastal takes over than it all collapses and we go over to a thumpimg Snow but IMO tomorrows event is hurting us big time, but thats just me! I'm still loving the LE after this goes by and it doesn't move too fast either! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2020 Author Share Posted February 5, 2020 Someone between Roc and Tug get 2' out of this IMO or close to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 5 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: IDK but on the 12Z GFS CNY gets a shitload of FZRN for hrs and hrs with surface temps in the mid 20's and H850's above +2C so we can see some serious icing after an initial 1-2" of wet snow, then once the coastal takes over than it all collapses and we go over to a thumpimg Snow but IMO tomorrows event is hurting us big time, but thats just me! I'm still loving the LE after this goes by and it doesn't move too fast either! One thing the NWS has said is the GFS, for once, is the warmer model and is being discounted. Latest afd states what we've been saying now for about 24 hours is that the precip buff north and east will have almost no changeover. That may include the Syracuse area north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 If the H850LP gets anywhere near Central PA North, CNY is toast as far as a mix or changeover is concerned but the one thing we have going is the warmer temps get somewhat shunted Eastward but if its stronger, look out. I dont trust any system this yr TBH because the warmth wins over, most of the time at least here in CNY but I hope I'm wrong. If when you wake up and its already a mix we're toast, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 NAM is a significant hit for many! HUGE. Really tucked in. 100 miles west and 5mb stronger than last run. better capture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: NAM is a significant hit for many! HUGE. Really tucked in. 100 miles west and 5mb stronger than last run. better capture You could tell early on, the trough was sharper/ higher heights 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Nam is snow for both events but we knew this and it looks like a bomb out for the second event right over NYC LI so Nam is doing its usual, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 even KBUF gets in on the heavy action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Best look all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Wow. Smoked! We just got NAM’d. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Possibly a decent amount of freezing rain if we don't dry slot. Areas in far NE New York look good for all snow, as well as parts of Central and Western NY. I'd prefer a cold rain while it blizzards in Rochester over any ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Divide this total by 2 and it would still be acceptable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 9 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Wow. Smoked! We just got NAM’d. Lol We all knew it was coming lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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