DeltaT13 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: Monroe county really got skunked. Probably 2” for the entire event (and that’s generous). Snowpack actually diminished over the last few days. Imagine if BUF had pulled the trigger on warnings... Looking ahead I don’t see anything fun for at least a week. March will be great (say it will pa, please, say it will). Yeah, 2 inches would be the top end of what I received in my backyard. Saw some 12"+ totals coming in from Central Wayne county overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: Yeah, 2 inches would be the top end of what I received in my backyard. Saw some 12"+ totals coming in from Central Wayne county overnight. It’s crazy. How did Wayne do so well on a Northerly flow? Dang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: The next 10 days look pretty lame with very little snowfall expected. Yeah, thinking the same after breezing through the 12Z runs. Temps might actually come in around normal, but not seeing much in the way of snow chances either. Hoping the sun can make a regular appearance next week if nothing good to track. Too many gray and damp days this winter with temps within a few degrees of 40. Today is a nice exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 About 3 inches total between the "system" and small amount of lake effect. The 3-week rule I have for this winter would put us getting our next event right at the end of February/Beginning of March. I am basing this off of our "event" from last Friday. This week was lame, and the winter pattern I have observed would suggest the next 2 weeks will be as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Looks like our high temp was recorded at midnight, 8°, had a day time high of 6.8° and back down to 5°.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 2 hours ago, rochesterdave said: It’s crazy. How did Wayne do so well on a Northerly flow? Dang It was coming down quite heavily from about 9pm-6am or so....1"/hr fluff. The SR models had a band sitting in the same spot for the night...seems they were right and even under-called it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 A model that usually runs pretty warm is surprisingly cold for next week. Should be some cold out ahead of this system with HP slowly retreating.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Could be something to watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Only 300 hours out lol Not many other threats before this.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Kbuf for next week.. Cold air both at the surface and aloft will hold longer east of Lake Ontario. Model point soundings suggest precipitation will begin as snow, with several hours of accumulating snow Tuesday morning prior to a change to mainly rain in the afternoon. There may be several inches of accumulation, especially east of I-81 and near the Saint Lawrence River where surface temperatures will stay at or below freezing the longest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Average splits for the first half of February were 31.6/16.7.. What's funny is I have only had below freezing max temps 3 out of the 14 days lol Yet my average high for the 2weeks is below freezing..Shows how deceiving Avg temps can be. Overnights have been a torch for the most part, 9 of the 14 lows in the 20's, a few negative and single digit nights have skewed the mean the other way lol I finished the second half of January at 31/13, so the last month hasn't been terrible from an average standpoint.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 You know the weather is boring when nobody has posted anything in 8hrs haha. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 WRT seasonal Snowfall ksyr is doing the worst followed by kbuf.. Binghamton, Albany and Rochester are doing ok compared to average.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 Entire country looks to be dry next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 7 hours ago, Revracer800 said: You know the weather is boring when nobody has posted anything in 8hrs haha. Winter is basically over. It might get cold in March, but snow is pointless then other than for counting stats and being a nuisance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 WTF! Just woke up to my screen door slamming against the house. Went outside and the winds are just howling. Checked the radar and bam! Nice... oh wait we’re at 36*... Love the AFD... Upstream radars showing a narrow swath of snow, mixed with a bit of rain sliding toward the area. We expect to see this area of snow(rain?) move into western New York by about midnight or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2020 Author Share Posted February 16, 2020 One of the best skiing days I can remember at holiday valley tonight. 28 deg, no wind, 30-70” base, and a fresh 2-3” of powder on top. Just perfection. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 So weird... Should be right under something falling from the sky but only seeing a few flurries. Wonder why the radar looks so good but there’s no precip making it to the ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 This system Tuesday is in and out in like 6 hrs lol Nam doesn't even have any rain.. Temps max out in the mid 30s for a few hours before the CF swings through.. I-81 east with a few inches verbatim.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 Still looks better towards the end of the month.. AO starting to head downward.. Which I guess it has no other choice lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 Next 10 days still look dull AF. Peace. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 80 miles away from Savannah, Georgia. Will be in Orlando by this evening. 60 degrees here in SC. Get ready, Upstate NY...this will be your view in future winters: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 I'm thinking the Canadian guidance is to cold but it's what they show lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 Another 100 miles SE and we’d be in the money. It won’t. But fun to imagine a 5mm snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 Well for me here, east of Ontario it's about damage control. Two days ago it was mid 40s and Rain..Now the European has 4"-6" in a 6 hr period and then we dry out. Should hit mid-upper 30s behind the warm front for several hours before the CF comes through.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2020 Author Share Posted February 16, 2020 When we start talking damage control you know this winter has seen its end. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2020 Author Share Posted February 16, 2020 Consistent all year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 19 hours ago, wolfie09 said: WRT seasonal Snowfall ksyr is doing the worst followed by kbuf.. Binghamton, Albany and Rochester are doing ok compared to average.. In all honesty how can anyone from the other reporting sites not call bullshit on Rochester reporting that much more than the rest of upstate? They investigated Erie a couple years back might be time to do the same there... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 55 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Consistent all year God damnit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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