cleetussnow Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:50 PM, rochesterdave said: Are you in Oneonta? I can’t remember Expand I have a camp up in Old Forge in Herkimer county. Its not really a major LE area. need synoptics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Wolfie, show Paulie the kuchera- let’s see if we can stop his heart 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:50 PM, rochesterdave said: The only folks who should be bitching (well deserved) is those poor bastards near Buf and IAG. They could get a little skunked. North towns probably get a few. Expand I would bet you a garbage plate that northern Erie does better than advertised. I'll state 7" is the total for both events...you in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:52 PM, cleetussnow said: I have a camp up in Old Forge in Lewis county. Its not really a major LE area. need synoptics. Expand Old Forge gets a ton of snow, no? I’m looking to buy in the ADK. Right now I’m looking at Brantingham Lake. It’s the furthest SW and still be in the park. Piseco is also nice. I need water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:52 PM, rochesterdave said: Wolfie, show Paulie the kuchera- let’s see if we can stop his heart Expand 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 TT is adding sleet/ice so it looks more impressive lol Gfs freezing rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:54 PM, Thinksnow18 said: I would bet you a garbage plate that northern Erie does better than advertised. I'll state 7" is the total for both events...you in? Expand I think around 6-7 sounds good for N Erie. They should get some Ontario love Fri eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 That's my call as well. Looks fun. And I might have to dust off the snow blower yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:54 PM, 96blizz said: Expand wow! Most excited i have been since the November footer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:52 PM, cleetussnow said: I have a camp up in Old Forge in Lewis county. Its not really a major LE area. need synoptics. Expand Old Forge is in Herkimer County 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:54 PM, rochesterdave said: Old Forge gets a ton of snow, no? I’m looking to buy in the ADK. Right now I’m looking at Brantingham Lake. It’s the furthest SW and still be in the park. Piseco is also nice. I need water. Expand It does, but it's not like the Tug. I imagine 150 to 170 inches is around the normal winter. They've had some 450 inch winters in the old days, and a couple 300 inchers in this century. nowhere close to normal this year. The LE snow is probably half of the normal total, but that is a hard thing to know. I've been to Piseco area in the winter. Brantingham is probably snowier than OF since it is closer to the lake effect zone. We head that way from OF on sleds. I believe Brantingham is at a lower elevation than OF so snow doesn't hang on as long. I'd go for Brant if you wanted to get in on LE snows. Piseco may have orographics going for it same as Old Forge with some upslope, and elevation might help retaining the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:03 PM, CNY_WX said: Old Forge is in Herkimer County Expand Duh right. Lewis is the left, Hamilton to the right. fixed original post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Warmest frame on the gfs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2020 Author Share Posted February 5, 2020 Dacks looking really good next few weeks. Probably 40"+ depths at the tops? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 I lived in southern Herkimer county for 6 years and it always seemed like c/n Herkimer were getting smoked with LES lol West-wsw winds needed with elevation, winds are usually the strongest out of the west.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2020 Author Share Posted February 5, 2020 Looks like they are between 20-30" right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:48 PM, rochesterdave said: I’m gonna get you CNY folks excited if I have to carry you on my back into a blizzard. Lol. It’s a good storm guys!! Expand I agree it looks promising. I'm just leery of the modeling disparities and let's face it, this winter has found a way to snatch defeat from the jowels of victory with regularity... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:07 PM, Syrmax said: I agree it looks promising. I'm just leery of the modeling disparities and let's face it, this winter has found a way to snatch defeat from the jowels of victory with regularity... Expand It’s pretty crazy. I was flipping between the NAM hi Rez and RGEM at 48 and they look so different. NAM is forward leaning and RGEM is going negative big time. It’s a complicated set up. Reminds me a bit of one we had in 98. LP road a stalled front from WVA to Binghamton. Gave Roc area about 15 in 6 hours. Intense. Someone gets in that band if this thing gets cranking. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2020 Author Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:12 PM, rochesterdave said: It’s pretty crazy. I was flipping between the NAM hi Rez and RGEM at 48 and they look so different. NAM is forward leaning and RGEM is going negative big time. It’s a complicated set up. Reminds me a bit of one we had in 98. LP road a stalled front from WVA to Binghamton. Gave Roc area about 15 in 6 hours. Intense. Someone gets in that band if this thing gets cranking. Expand When do you leave for the Dacks? This week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:07 PM, wolfie09 said: I lived in southern Herkimer county for 6 years and it always seemed like c/n Herkimer were getting smoked with LES lol West-wsw winds needed with elevation, winds are usually the strongest out of the west.. Expand Where did you live in Herkimer County? I was born, grew up and spent my first 40 years in Little Falls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:17 PM, CNY_WX said: Where did you live in Herkimer County? I was born, grew up and spent my first 40 years in Little Falls. Expand I lived in east Herkimer on rt 5.. Probably 4 miles west of little falls.. Pretty much right across the street from the old "donnas diner" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:15 PM, BuffaloWeather said: When do you leave for the Dacks? This week? Expand Tomorrow. Thanks for asking! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:07 PM, wolfie09 said: I lived in southern Herkimer county for 6 years and it always seemed like c/n Herkimer were getting smoked with LES lol West-wsw winds needed with elevation, winds are usually the strongest out of the west.. Expand It can come in a hurry up there! The lewis county forecast office is different from the Herkimer office. Lots of times the snowfall forecasts differ right on that line. Herkimer is a skinny county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Wow cmc Enjoy guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:18 PM, wolfie09 said: I lived in east Herkimer on rt 5.. Probably 4 miles west of little falls.. Pretty much right across the street from the old "donnas diner" lol Expand I know the area well. If I had a nickel for every time I drove past there I’d be a millionaire, lol. My family is buried in the cemetery just down the road. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Canadian with 975 NW of NYC. Heavier precip all the way back to BUF with a deformation rotating N out of Finger Lakes. It would be great. 6-12 for all with CNY getting hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2020 Author Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:18 PM, rochesterdave said: Tomorrow. Thanks for asking! Expand What slopes you skiing up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:26 PM, BuffaloWeather said: What slopes you skiing up there? Expand Whiteface. I’m an intermediate+ skier, any recommendations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2020 Author Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:30 PM, rochesterdave said: Whiteface. I’m an intermediate+ skier, any recommendations? Expand You're better then me, I've never skied up there only hiked. @DeltaT13 has though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Total snow/sleet/ice on the rgem.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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