CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 A glorified overrunning event is what I think were looking at! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: A glorified overrunning event is what I think were looking at! Agreed. Two waves, 2-5" each. Yawn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: Agreed. Two waves, 2-5" each. Yawn. With quite a bit of taint too, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Part two isn’t over running. It’s a anomalous LP in the mid 980’s.. Dang. This winter crushed ur spirits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 NAM coming in amped for western NY and cold with 1st wave. Hoping for a big hit for all of us. NAM at 28 certainly looks better for western NY than last run. Overunning substantially better through 33 on 12km. more expansive shield slightly weaker system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: NAM coming in amped for western NY and cold with 1st wave. Hoping for a big hit for all of us. NAM at 28 certainly looks better for western NY than last run. "Amped" is not the best word. I noticed you have used it a couple times this week. Amped would imply it is wound up and usually about to go farther north or Northwest because it is stronger. Just a heads-up for ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: "Amped" is not the best word. I noticed you have used it a couple times this week. Amped would imply it is wound up and usually about to go farther north or Northwest because it is stronger. Just a heads-up for ya! better lift!? Sorry. In amped I meant a stronger overunning look. But in fact it ended up looking weaker now that the run went on.colder for sure though.Time for round 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: better lift!? Sorry. In amped I meant a stronger overunning look Got ya. Stronger shield...it does look colder. I bet you're amped! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Got ya. Stronger shield...it does look colder. I bet you're amped! I am very amped.Round 2 is brewing on the NAM. Trough is sharper. This is gonna be big. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 If the NAM is correct Plattsburgh doesnt dry slot at all. Nice area of lift passing through at 45 before round 2. Air is moist and ready to go. Trough in gulf of mexico. Lots of convection associated with this. RGEM and other mesos show that well already. AT 45 trough is digging nice. This is usually a very nice look. I would take that H5 any winter day. Further south trough digs more energy and moisture i believe we can funnel into the SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 994 at hour 48. This wants to blow up. Had that look early on. Just look at that H5 digging into the gulf aiding development Storm 1 off cape cod. Storm 2 in the south. Rock and roll boys. Neutral ready to tilt negative at 48 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 HR 54 precip shield filling in. I have not stopped snowing since hr33. This is gonna slam a lot in the forum. 990 rapidly blowing bomb in NC. THIS trough went negative at 48 and it was game on from there. Involving decent polar air from NS when it went negative. Storm one in Nova Scotia and storm 2 undergoing RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 OMG crushed 986MB than jumped to 984 as Norther stream caught in. What a weenie run . BIG hit for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Congrats upstate NY forum cause if the NAM is right we all will be VERY happy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 The capture from hr 60 to 63 is beautiful to watch and if correct will deliver 1-2 inch snowfall rates across a large chunk of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: with more to come. that is pretty much non stop for the dacks. neat. Thanks for the graphics as usual. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Divide by 3 or 4? Asking for a friend.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Might be a big one. 18z euro ens 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 I am liking that the cold air seems to be deeper as we get closer now. Refreshing. Hopefully this trend, along with increasing moisture, continues. Looks like the Rgem came in a bit milder though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 ICON is also very strong. Clearly whatever data was ingested into 0z wants to dig that trough more allowing a stronger and more wound up system to develop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Little more ice than I'd like.. Surface stays in 20s verbatim.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 ICON really delivers the goods. That CCB over the dacks is nice. Thats 2 inches an hour easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Pretty warm on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 We'll get more after the system passes for sure with ample moisture! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 l'm loving the LE after she passes for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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