wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Nam is notorious for playing catch up lol Looks just like the gfs did a couple days ago, by tomorrow it will be in Detroit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 The issue is getting cold enough behind the Thursday cutter, would be nice to see some better spacing.. Like 3-6 hours lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Another thing I'm noticing is secondary development.. We want the primary to keep going NE not transfer off the coast lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Dang. It’s dead in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Another thing I'm noticing is secondary development.. We want the primary to keep going NE not transfer off the coast lol I thought transfer usually dragged down cold faster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Either way the system could drag down colder air since it's to our SE..A transfer could pull the heaviest precip east though..Cold with no precip isn't any fun lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 My attention is starting to turn to wed night into Thursday as the European has been extremely consistent with a 4-6 hr period of mod-heavy snow ahead of another warm front.. Keep in mind 6 hours of Snowfall has already occurred before the mixing line approaches..(still snow during this frame verbatim).. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: My attention is starting to turn to wed night into Thursday as the European has been extremely consistent with a 4-6 hr period of mod-heavy snow ahead of another warm front.. Keep in mind 6 hours of Snowfall has already occurred before the mixing line approaches..(still snow during this frame verbatim).. NAM is trending in the right direction. Decent hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 BTW picked up 1" yesterday, 1/2" in the morning and another 1/2" overnight lol All melted now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Torch. F thiswinter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Syracuse to the mid 50’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2020 Author Share Posted February 3, 2020 First one cuts, second one goes southeast. Theme of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 How do you get a 986 LP over Albany and not give WNY a snowstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2020 Author Share Posted February 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: How do you get a 986 LP over Albany and not give WNY a snowstorm? The winter of 2019-2020, the one in which there is no cold air on this side of the globe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 airmass is trash. I would think an 988 LP would chuck precip further west. I think the convection in the Atlantic is having an effect. But typical with winter, rain to maine. I just hope the western shifts stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: How do you get a 986 LP over Albany and not give WNY a snowstorm? This system never closes off at any level now and is basically a wave along the front. It zips from northern Virginia to exiting Maine in 12 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 CMC is a best case scenario. Pretty decent run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Canadian looks better than the gfs which is not saying much lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 I don't like to be the early doomsayer, but I really think this winter is officially gone now. May as well bring some early 50s. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 27 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: This system never closes off at any level now and is basically a wave along the front. It zips from northern Virginia to exiting Maine in 12 hours. I’m gonna testify to my stupidity here; how does one know if a system closes off. Do you look at the 500 and want a full circle at the base of the trough? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Just now, Leelee said: I don't like to be the early doomsayer, but I really think this winter is officially gone now. May as well bring some early 50s. It's February 3rd. I'm pretty sure winter isn't over...;) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 12 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: I’m gonna testify to my stupidity here; how does one know if a system closes off. Do you look at the 500 and want a full circle at the base of the trough? Yes. Seems like the winds at the H5 level are so strong, it's not able to close off a low. Uneducated guess. Checking in your group, since our interests are aligned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2020 Author Share Posted February 3, 2020 Buffalo finished at +8.1 for January and -18.8" for snowfall to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2020 Author Share Posted February 3, 2020 40 and full sunshine out right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 36 minutes ago, vortmax said: It's February 3rd. I'm pretty sure winter isn't over...;) For people who "use" winter it's over. At least locally in WNY. Winter doesn't really count or matter if we get 12" of snow and it's gone in a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, Geez150 said: For people who "use" winter it's over. At least locally in WNY. Winter doesn't really count or matter if we get 12" of snow and it's gone in a day or two. Most of WNY lower elevations pretty much rarely keep significant snow on the ground consistently in even a 'normal' winter. The winter 'users' (ski, snowmobiling, snowshoe, etc.) are not typically at lower elevations - unless you have different users defined. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 42 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: Yes. Seems like the winds at the H5 level are so strong, it's not able to close off a low. Uneducated guess. Checking in your group, since our interests are aligned. More also that the flow is super progressive giving it no time to amplify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2020 Author Share Posted February 3, 2020 Holiday valley is at a 24-61" base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: I’m gonna testify to my stupidity here; how does one know if a system closes off. Do you look at the 500 and want a full circle at the base of the trough? Sort of. You are looking for one or more closed DAM contours on the H500 panel. Similar idea for different levels. http://www.theweatherprediction.com is a good resource to wander around in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 23 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Holiday valley is at a 24-61" base. I have to honest. That's a hell of a number considering a +8° temp anomaly and being so far behind in snowfall department (I'd imagine it's even greater in the hills as we've had very little lake effect to speak of save for a few nickle events). Not calling them fabricators but they must've spent a fortune on making the fake stuff the last 6 week's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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