Rtd208 Posted February 14, 2020 Author Share Posted February 14, 2020 Picked up 0.22" of rain for the day. Four day total 1.06" Current temp 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 5 hours ago, uncle W said: so far this winter NYC had only two days with a maximum 32 or lower...the record is two set in 1952-53... winter...# of days max 32 or lower... 2019-20......2 so far... 1952-53......2 1997-98......3 2001-02......3 1931-32......5 2007-08......6 2011-12......6 1918-19......7 1990-91......7 1992-93......7 1974-75......8 Very good stat Uncle, and it confirms my earlier sentiments that this year has lacked days with cold high temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Wantage NJ (8 s High Point) 0.1" fm snow showers ~ 2-3A. Season 19.6. Roads salted. Pavement mostly bare with dusting of snow just on grass/roofs/cars/wooden decks etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 37 degrees at 6 am. Was supposed to be 32-33 for overnight low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Next 8 days are averaging 35.5degs., or about 1deg. AN. Month to date is +8.7[42.6]. Should be about +5.8[39.9] by the 22nd. All models are snow less. Remainder of February is averaging 37degs. so we should end near +4.2[39.5]. 37* here at 6am. 35* at 7am. 33* at 7:30am. 32* at 7:45am. 31* at 8am. 30* at 9am. Essentially 30* all the way to 31* by 3pm. 28* by 6pm. 26* at 7pm. 23* by 9pm. 21* by 11am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Several stations just recorded their warmest first 13 days of February on record. Places like Newark beat 1990. I guess it’s fitting since the +AO recently topped the previous all-time record set in February 1990. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Feb 1 to Feb 13 Missing Count 1 2020-02-13 42.6 0 2 1990-02-13 42.2 0 3 1991-02-13 40.8 0 4 1999-02-13 40.5 0 5 1998-02-13 39.5 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 4 years ago today - the last NYC below zero day I believe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Today's still above normal with the midnight high but we should be in the low 20s by tonight to get to a -2 or 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Tonight will probably be the coldest night of the season. 12F is the current forecast. Afterwards there'll be one more cold shot next week and then we should fully moderate and finally put this miserable winter behind us. It'll be interesting to see how the current pattern reacts with the seasonal changes though. There's some talks of a cold April a la 1990 and that seems very possible at this juncture. Course by then it'd be useless and just lead to a chilly/wet month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Models really dry things out over the next 10 days with high pressure dominating. Only 1 cutter showing up for next Tuesday. It will be a nice break from all the clouds and showers during the first half of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Sne thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 24 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Sne thread Too bad average is mid to upper 40s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Temperatures were falling through the 20s this evening in the northern Middle Atlantic region. The minimum temperature tomorrow morning could fall into the teens in New York City and Philadelphia. Readings in the lower teens and perhaps single digits are likely outside both cities. But then winter's latest effort to take hold will fail again. Warmer air will quickly return. It is likely that the second half of February will be warmer than normal overall. During that time, cold shots will likely be of a short duration. Consistent with the pattern and supported by most of the guidance, no significant snowfalls (6" or more) are likely in the major Middle Atlantic cities through at least the first three weeks of February. There is a greater but still fairly low probability for Boston to see such a snowstorm. Winter 2019-2020 became the 19th winter on record that saw New York City receive less than 6" seasonal snowfall through February 14. Mean total snowfall for the 18 prior cases was 12.5" vs. the historic mean figure of 28.8". In addition, 39% of such winters wound up with less than 10" seasonal snowfall vs. 6% of winters in the historic record. 89% of such winters wound up with less than 20" seasonal snowfall vs. 31% of winters in the historic record. Just 11% of such winters wound up with 30" or more seasonal snowfall vs. 41% of winters in the historic record. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around February 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.48°C. The remainder of winter 2019-2020 will likely feature neutral-warm to weak El Niño conditions. The SOI was -17.05 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +1.686. No significant stratospheric warming is likely through February 22, but the upper stratosphere above 3 mb will likely be warm. Wave 2 activity will remain relatively suppressed. Overall, most of the stratosphere is forecast to remain cold on the EPS into the third week of February. On February 13, the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.234 (RMM). The February 12-adjusted amplitude was 1.122. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 89% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal February and an implied 55% probability that February 2020 will be among the 10 warmest such months on record. Finally, a sizable majority (>80%) of years during which the AO has been, on average, strongly positive during the first 15 days of February were followed by a warmer than normal March. The preliminary February 1-12 AO average is +2.926. Recent rapid warming in ENSO Region 1+2 has also typically preceded a warmer than normal March and spring in the Middle Atlantic region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 lowest minimum so far this winter is 16 set back in December...the record highest winter minimum in Central Park is 19 set in 2001-02... winter...winters min temp... 2001-02......19...Feb/Mar... 2019-20......16...Dec... 1931-32......15...Mar... 1974-75......15...Jan... 1997-98......14...Jan... 2000-01......14...Dec... 2005-06......14...Dec... 2016-17......14...Jan/Mar... 1936-37......13...Dec... 2009-10......13...Jan... 2011-12......13...Jan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 1 minute ago, uncle W said: lowest minimum so far this winter is 16 set back in December...the record highest winter minimum in Central Park is 19 set in 2001-02... winter...winters min temp... 2001-02......19 2019-20......16 1931-32......15 1974-75......15 1997-98......14 2000-01......14 2005-06......14 2016-17......14 1936-37......13 2009-10......13 2011-12......13 Met winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Met winter? the whole season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Made it to Bomoseen Vermont! Currently 0 outside! Have about 8 inches of snow on the ground here at the lake. Even here below average season but it looks great! Finally enjoying a winter weekend! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 19. Coldest it has been here since December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 37 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: Made it to Bomoseen Vermont! Currently 0 outside! Have about 8 inches of snow on the ground here at the lake. Even here below average season but it looks great! Finally enjoying a winter weekend! Such a great spot, I went to school at Castleton for a while. Have fun! Did they get the freezing mist other places near there got? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 It's still pretty breezy here, so temp's dropping at a snail's pace... only 8F currently. The HRRR holds that winds will go dead, or close to it, by 2 am. With sunrise before 7 now, that wouldn't leave a ton of wiggle room in the quest for <0F. It's amazing how some years I need everything to go right for a subzero low, and in others they're a dime a dozen. I think I was pushing 20 nights below zero in 14-15. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 2 hours ago, JustinRP37 said: Made it to Bomoseen Vermont! Currently 0 outside! Have about 8 inches of snow on the ground here at the lake. Even here below average season but it looks great! Finally enjoying a winter weekend! Is there fishable ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Just got in from Manhattan. Cold but not bitterly so. Ran into Janice Huff in the lower level at 30 Rock....was past her before I thought I should have asked her where all the snow went this year.....not sure she is an actual meteorologist or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Some of us have never experienced subzero temperatures. JFK hasn’t since 1985. 17 here, officially the coldest night of the winter (so far). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Only 13F right now, coldest night of the winter. A good early bug killer so I'll take it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Currently 6.1, sub zero does not look like it’s happening tonight. In this pattern we may not get another shot at it this season. I can’t even remember the last year we didn’t go below zero. It’s been a long time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 5 hours ago, weatherpruf said: Is there fishable ice? Yes but just starting to get there. Very late in the season. Ice fishing derby this weekend up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 17 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 The next 8 days are averaging 35degs., or just Normal. Month to date is +7.6[41.6]. Should be +4.8[39.2] by the 23rd. The last 15 days of February are averaging 36.5degs., or about Normal. 8" of Snow near the 27th. There was no snow on the three prior runs, however. February should end near +3.8[39.1]. 18* here at 6am. 19* at 7am. P is 1037.6mb. 21* at 8am. 24* by 10am. 26* by 1pm. 31* by 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 9F Shocked to see single digits this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Clear skies and +4° @ 6:30 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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