SnoSki14 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 32 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: Try getting a sun lamp. They do help and I switched our lights to Hue at home. That also helps, but this is God awful weather. Abysmal 1st half of Feb. Nonstop dreariness and it's just cold enough to irritate you. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 32 minutes ago, PB-99 said: @Isotherm Very nice call on the timing on the improvements at 500 man. Let`s see if this L/R ridge bridge is real. Want to learn, in that look would the cold air be trapped above the block? Or would the air under the block be good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Abysmal 1st half of Feb. Nonstop dreariness and it's just cold enough to irritate you. Gotta be either warm and sunny or cold and snowy. No more grey and meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 16 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Want to learn, in that look would the cold air be trapped above the block? Or would the air under the block be good enough. You would remove some of the PAC influence and you would create a ridge bridge over the top. You would just need to shorten the wavelenghts like the day 10 Euro operational and some members of the ensembles see. It would not be very cold - closer to N but LP would probably find it`s way S of you. Day 10 Euro OP ( prob not real ) would be an example These day 10 maps never verify, but it`s an example of what we would need for it to snow in a hostile pattern here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 30 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Abysmal 1st half of Feb. Nonstop dreariness and it's just cold enough to irritate you. So true. I didn't think first half of Feb. would be as bad as January but I was wrong. 9 degrees above normal so far with only 2 inches of snow. Sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 1 hour ago, JustinRP37 said: I am glad to be heading up to Vermont in just over 24 hours. Excited to actually see some snow! It should be a great weekend but frigid up there. Even when it is gloomy, snow makes everything so much brighter, and brighter makes me happy. I need it. It's heavy freezing mist all the way up to Stowe now. Several ski areas are actually talking about how ugly the crust is getting on all exposed areas. By Saturday the areas that have been groomed should be good but firm, open natural areas will be frustrating and the only tree areas that will be skiable are under dense pines hardwoods will be out of the question for a while. 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: 33.8° and dreary out. There is snow on the grass this morning from last night but no idea how much fell. I suppose I can safely say half an inch and log it in the books bringing the seasonal to 20.5 inches. Yup same here but 33.2. I think we're pretty close now on the seasonal total. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 The AO could hit +6 or better again after just breaking that record 2 days ago. The north Atlantic system will likely be sub 920mb (record is 914mb) and if that AO is any indication then they'll be more severely low pressure storms in the near future. Iceland and NW Europe are gonna take a lot of beatings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The AO could hit +6 or better again after just breaking that record 2 days ago. The north Atlantic system will likely be sub 920mb (record is 914mb) and if that AO is any indication then they'll be more severely low pressure storms in the near future. Iceland and NW Europe are gonna take a lot of beatings. One extreme after another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 so far this February is similar to some of the Aprils we got recently...rain almost every day with temps in the 40's and 50's... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC10023 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 14 minutes ago, uncle W said: so far this February is similar to some of the Aprils we got recently...rain almost every day with temps in the 40's and 50's... it's disgusting and depressing. I want my money back. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, ny10019 said: it's disgusting and depressing. I want my money back. models are dry at least for the long weekend-no rain til next Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 15 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: models are dry at least for the long weekend-no rain til next Wed. Dry and cold the next two days, actually two of the coldest days we've had all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 48 minutes ago, uncle W said: so far this February is similar to some of the Aprils we got recently...rain almost every day with temps in the 40's and 50's... Well, then March should be like May and April like June. I'm gonna go clean my golf clubs and put a new blade on the mower, I got the tennis racket restrung last week so that's good to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Seems like it's been a good rainfall but ewr is stuck at .35" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 We went from the highest 1/20 -2/12 snowfall to the lowest in just 4 years. Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Snowfall Jan 20 to Feb 12 Missing Count 1 2020-02-12 0.0 0 2 1981-02-12 T 0 - 1980-02-12 T 0 - 1960-02-12 T 0 Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Snowfall Jan 20 to Feb 12 Missing Count 1 2016-02-12 32.3 0 2 1961-02-12 28.5 0 3 1983-02-12 26.4 0 4 1994-02-12 25.8 0 5 2006-02-12 25.4 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 24 minutes ago, bluewave said: We went from the highest 1/20 -2/12 snowfall to the lowest in just 4 years. Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Snowfall Jan 20 to Feb 12 Missing Count 1 2020-02-12 0.0 0 2 1981-02-12 T 0 - 1980-02-12 T 0 - 1960-02-12 T 0 Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Snowfall Jan 20 to Feb 12 Missing Count 1 2016-02-12 32.3 0 2 1961-02-12 28.5 0 3 1983-02-12 26.4 0 4 1994-02-12 25.8 0 5 2006-02-12 25.4 0 you realize the 2016 number is extremely misleading.....most of it was one 30 incher... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 1 hour ago, mikem81 said: you realize the 2016 number is extremely misleading.....most of it was one 30 incher... What difference does that make for total snowfall over the period? There was also an additional 8.1” at JFK during the first 15 days of February. Some areas picked up 10”+ with the 2-5-16 storm. PLAINVIEW 10.5 110 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Snowfall Jan 20 to Feb 15 Missing Count 1 2016-02-15 38.7 0 2 1961-02-15 33.4 0 3 2014-02-15 27.8 0 4 1978-02-15 27.2 0 5 1983-02-15 24.7 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Snowfall Jan 20 to Feb 15 Missing Count 1 2020-02-15 0.0 3 2 1981-02-15 T 0 - 1980-02-15 T 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 6 hours ago, gravitylover said: It's heavy freezing mist all the way up to Stowe now. Several ski areas are actually talking about how ugly the crust is getting on all exposed areas. By Saturday the areas that have been groomed should be good but firm, open natural areas will be frustrating and the only tree areas that will be skiable are under dense pines hardwoods will be out of the question for a while. Yup same here but 33.2. I think we're pretty close now on the seasonal total. Well you just hurt me. Put that knife in and turned. All the way up to Stowe?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: Well you just hurt me. Put that knife in and turned. All the way up to Stowe?! Well hang in there. Take a look at the live cam. Thats snow now. I'd be more concerned with crowds this weekend. Presidents week is always busy. https://www.stowe.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/mountain-cams.aspx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 .62" in springfield. the last 1" or greater was on jan 26th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Another jet stream record. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 At 7 pm EST, the temperature was 10° in Chicago, 19° in Detroit, 33° in Pittsburgh, 43° in New York City,and 47° in Philadelphia. The cold that has now moved into the Great Lakes region will be pushing into the region overnight. As a result, readings will be much below normal tomorrow and on Saturday. The lowest temperatures on Saturday morning could fall into the teens in New York City and Philadelphia. Readings in the lower teens and perhaps single digits are likely outside both cities. But then winter's latest effort to take hold will fail again. Warmer air will quickly return. It is likely that the second half of February will be warmer than normal overall. During that time, cold shots will likely be of a short duration. Consistent with the pattern and supported by most of the guidance, no significant snowfalls (6" or more) are likely in the major Middle Atlantic cities through at least the first three weeks of February. There is a greater but still fairly low probability for Boston to see such a snowstorm. On this date in 2014, Philadelphia received a daily record 10.4" snowfall. This winter, the city is mired in a deepening snow drought. Winter 2019-2020 is just the 7th winter on record that saw Philadelphia receive less than 2" seasonal snowfall through February 13. Mean total snowfall for the 6 prior cases was 3.8" vs. the historic mean figure of 22.6". In addition, 100% of such winters wound up with less than 10" seasonal snowfall vs. 16% of winters in the historic record. The snowiest case from those prior winters was 1931-32 with 8.0" seasonal snowfall. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around February 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.48°C. The remainder of winter 2019-2020 will likely feature neutral-warm to weak El Niño conditions. The SOI was -12.49 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +1.860. No significant stratospheric warming is likely through February 21, but the upper stratosphere above 3 mb will likely be warm. Wave 2 activity will remain relatively suppressed. Overall, most of the stratosphere is forecast to remain cold on the EPS into the third week of February. On February 12, the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.121 (RMM). The February 11-adjusted amplitude was 1.211. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 84% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal February and an implied 50% probability that February 2020 will be among the 10 warmest such months on record. Finally, a sizable majority (>80%) of years during which the AO has been, on average, strongly positive during the first 15 days of February were followed by a warmer than normal March. The preliminary February 1-12 AO average is +2.926. Recent rapid warming in ENSO Region 1+2 has also typically preceded a warmer than normal March and spring in the Middle Atlantic region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 so far this winter NYC had only two days with a maximum 32 or lower...the record is two set in 1952-53... winter...# of days max 32 or lower... 2019-20......2 so far... 1952-53......2 1997-98......3 2001-02......3 1931-32......5 2007-08......6 2011-12......6 1918-19......7 1990-91......7 1992-93......7 1974-75......8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stemwinder Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Thanks for the Philly info here, Don. Your posts are always great. Forgive me everyone if I do not know this, since my lack of interest is due to this awful winter: Has Central Park recorded a temp below 20 degrees F. so far this winter? Thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 feb 1990 (previous +ao record) was followed by a warm march and a cold april. sounds about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, stemwinder said: Thanks for the Philly info here, Don. Your posts are always great. Forgive me everyone if I do not know this, since my lack of interest is due to this awful winter: Has Central Park recorded a temp below 20 degrees F. so far this winter? Thanks. 16 in DEC... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, stemwinder said: Thanks for the Philly info here, Don. Your posts are always great. Forgive me everyone if I do not know this, since my lack of interest is due to this awful winter: Has Central Park recorded a temp below 20 degrees F. so far this winter? Thanks. The temperature fell to 16 degrees on December 19. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stemwinder Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Thanks Uncle! I shudda remembered that. PS much appreciated, Don! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 2 hours ago, JustinRP37 said: Well you just hurt me. Put that knife in and turned. All the way up to Stowe?! LOL Sorry dude. I bet that the groomers that get done will be good just be aware that places that weren't touched or sheltered ought to be crunchy under some fresh stuff that's falling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 2 hours ago, uncle W said: so far this winter NYC had only two days with a maximum 32 or lower...the record is two set in 1952-53... winter...# of days max 32 or lower... 2019-20......2 so far... 1952-53......2 1997-98......3 2001-02......3 1931-32......5 2007-08......6 2011-12......6 1918-19......7 1990-91......7 1992-93......7 1974-75......8 We'll know if this year's record(tie) will stand by Saturday. Just a disgraceful winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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