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February 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208
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9 days in February with at least a T of rain so far. But not much total rainfall to show for it. We can remember the heavier rainfall forecasts for last Friday got lighter the close in we got. Welcome to Seattle.

Data for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Date
Precipitation 
2020-02-01 T
2020-02-02 0.07
2020-02-03 T
2020-02-04 T
2020-02-05 T
2020-02-06 0.51
2020-02-07 0.25
2020-02-08 0.00
2020-02-09 0.00
2020-02-10 0.37
2020-02-11 0.31
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11 minutes ago, CarLover014 said:

Yep, it's starting to take a toll on me too. The migraines have been constant since Friday. At least we can catch a break tomorrow.

This! For me I just cannot take our weather anymore. I feel like the number of gloomy/foggy days has increased exponentially over the past 3+ years. I don't know whether it is as I get older I need sun but the past few years have been brutal. It's one reason we are so focused on job hunt outside the area.

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10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Welcome to Seattle

I was just talking about that with my coworkers this morning. Back up to snowy Vermont for a three day weekend. Can’t wait. Our pain had been their gain lately. Amazingly there is no snow south of Vermont, even in the high elevations of the Berkshires 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

9 days in February with at least a T of rain so far. But not much total rainfall to show for it. We can remember the heavier rainfall forecasts for last Friday got lighter the close in we got. Welcome to Seattle.

Data for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Date
Precipitation 
2020-02-01 T
2020-02-02 0.07
2020-02-03 T
2020-02-04 T
2020-02-05 T
2020-02-06 0.51
2020-02-07 0.25
2020-02-08 0.00
2020-02-09 0.00
2020-02-10 0.37
2020-02-11 0.31

It's not about actual amounts it's about soggy, boggy ground and gloomy uncomfortable conditions. I just spent 11 days on the road with a 6 of those in S Florida. As the weather broke last Sunday and the sun came out I felt different. By Monday afternoon in Key West I had been wearing sunglasses and short sleeves for 2 days and I was thinking more clearly and feeling better. Over the course of the week I definitely felt like I was functioning better overall. On the drive up it was clear and sunny and all was still well but waking up to the gloom and mud here yesterday sent me right back. I'm having the hardest time getting back in the game and working again.

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17 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

It's not about actual amounts it's about soggy, boggy ground and gloomy uncomfortable conditions. I just spent 11 days on the road with a 6 of those in S Florida. As the weather broke last Sunday and the sun came out I felt different. By Monday afternoon in Key West I had been wearing sunglasses and short sleeves for 2 days and I was thinking more clearly and feeling better. Over the course of the week I definitely felt like I was functioning better overall. On the drive up it was clear and sunny and all was still well but waking up to the gloom and mud here yesterday sent me right back. I'm having the hardest time getting back in the game and working again.

It’s one storm system after another with this supercharged jet stream pattern. Another 200 kt jet max coming up. Numerous maxes in the 4 to 5 sd range this winter. January 25th was my last heavy rain storm since December. But a ton of small and medium rainfall events.

8169D22E-F109-4B13-9B9F-DEB19EECCED6.thumb.png.f0616f78e0762e57967b981c1b85bbd4.png

 

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8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It’s one storm system after another with this supercharged jet stream pattern. Another 200 kt jet max coming up. Numerous maxes in the 4 to 5 sd range this winter. January 25th was my last heavy rain storm since December. But a ton of small and medium rainfall events.

8169D22E-F109-4B13-9B9F-DEB19EECCED6.thumb.png.f0616f78e0762e57967b981c1b85bbd4.png

 

Maybe I'll fly to jolly old london for lunch.

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25 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

You dont see any signs of improvements towards the end of the month ?

Mjo looks to improve but the Ao and Pv are still way to strong. It could not be a improvement even if we are in the cold phases. Just need to wait and see. I think if we do get anything it will be in the first week of March. 

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Unfortunately it looks like aside from some snow showers or a storm or two that has a quick front end snow to rain that this winter is over. Nothing has changed in months so I don't see how between now & mid March we get changes so drastically. I guess we could get extremely lucky with a thread the needle MECS system but not holding my breath. Two shitty winters in a row but nothing we can do we've been lucky. Let's see 10 months from now if the pattern has changed. I've given up this year.

Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk

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1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Even with an improved MJO?

Screenshot_20200211-104455_Chrome.jpg

 

Yes, all you will do is force PAC air into any trough.

The forcing may push on the SE ridge but the flow has no Arctic influence.

You are left with a muted effect if the heights can`t build over the top. 

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Just now, SnoSki14 said:

Very benign honestly. Most winters we'd see at least one single digits reading. 

And it has moderated considerably from what was shown a few days ago. I think it'll continue to moderate.

Probably mid to upper 30s Fri/Sat highs and upper teens to low 20s for lows. 

it's just that it will feel bitter after the warmth of the last 7 weeks

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