weathermedic Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Wind gusted to 31 mph and temp up to 57 at noon at my station in Sheepshead Bay. Barometer 28.83. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, weathermedic said: Wind gusted to 31 mph and temp up to 57 at noon at my station in Sheepshead Bay. Barometer 28.83. We have a separate thread for the wind and storm obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 3 hours ago, PB-99 said: We " may " head towards p8 to open March if this wave doesn`t die like the last one just did in late Jan. Although there are more 6 inch snows at KNYC in March than in December, the book has already closed for me on this winter. Why bother. That's actually not quite true. There have been 37, 6 inch or more events at KNYC in December and 31 in March. If you include April there are 38, 6 inch events from March 1 on which does beat December by 1. I posted a breakdown in the banter thread by month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 2 hours ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Icon shows a big snowstorm at the end of its run! 12Z GFS has potential - how do we get this to trend north ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: 12Z GFS has potential - how do we get this to trend north ? The Euro has your answer (but you're not going to like it) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, mob1 said: The Euro has your answer (but you're not going to like it) let me guess a cutter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, mob1 said: The Euro has your answer (but you're not going to like it) This is the 12Z EURO No HP in place - which one is correct GFS or EURO - based on seasonal pattern so far I lean towards the EURO right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 17 minutes ago, mob1 said: The Euro has your answer (but you're not going to like it) 8 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: This is the 12Z EURO No HP in place - which one is correct GFS or EURO - based on seasonal pattern so far I lean towards the EURO right now Euro keeps trending south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 12Z Canadian looks similar to the GFS we haven't had a suppressed system with cold enough air in place so far - we need some help from that southeast ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: That's actually not quite true. There have been 37, 6 inch or more events at KNYC in December and 31 in March. If you include April there are 38, 6 inch events from March 1 on which does beat December by 1. I posted a breakdown in the banter thread by month. I believe either Don S or Uncle had shown where there were more in March than Dec. I remember reading that in here. ( Possible It was combined as you say ) . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro keeps trending south and east. Not that's theres any precip anyway lol. Strange 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 12 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Not that's theres any precip anyway lol. Strange fitting for this winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 At 2:30 pm, temperatures were continuing to tumble after having set new daily record high readings in such locations as Islip, New York City (all three stations), Newark, Westhampton, and White Plains. Some low pressure readings included: Bridgeport: 28.73" (972.9 mb) Danbury: 28.72" (972.6 mb) Hartford: 28.65" (970.2 mb) New York City: 28.82" (976.0 mb) Newark: 28.80" (975.3 mb) Poughkeepsie: 28.73" (972.9 mb) White Plains: 28.74" (973.2 mb) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Eps is ugly. Outside a cold shot next weekend This goose is cooked. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Eps is ugly. Outside a cold shot next weekend This goose is cooked. Pattern is so hostile-too much to fix...even if the pattern became 50% better, it might not help....confidence growing that we just torch right into March 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Eps is ugly. Outside a cold shot next weekend This goose is cooked. Ugly is being nice. If that’s correct, no high latitude blocking at all, we go zonal and semizonal flow at the end of this month and all of Canada gets flooded with Pacific maritime air 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 16 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Eps is ugly. Outside a cold shot next weekend This goose is cooked. Yes if you follow the eps. There is a chance near the 14th. How many times have the eps been wrong ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Ugly is being nice. If that’s correct, no high latitude blocking at all, we go zonal and semizonal flow at the end of this month and all of Canada gets flooded with Pacific maritime air How has the eps been this winter ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Yes if you follow the eps. There is a chance near the 14th. How many times have the eps been wrong ? How many times has it snowed this winter?....yeah, I'll go with more futility. EPS is the highest verifying model to answer your question. Ignore it at your own risk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: How has the eps been this winter ? It’s has its flaws but has been good overall. It’s first to correct in the medium range. The lower hgts moving into Ak is no good for us and has been a theme this winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Just now, Allsnow said: It’s has its flaws but has been good overall. It’s first to correct in the medium range. The lower hgts moving into Ak is no good for us and has been a theme this winter. It has been awful but so has this pattern. Let's see which MJO is right between gefs and euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 24 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Eps is ugly. Outside a cold shot next weekend This goose is going to change in the next run. Literally changed every run and doesn’t make up its mind within 72 hours eps doesn’t know what it’s doing! FYP 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: 26 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Eps is ugly. Outside a cold shot next weekend This goose is going to change in the next run. Literally changed every run and doesn’t make up its mind within 72 hours eps doesn’t know what it’s doing! FYP Eps and euro have been horrible and yet people worship it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It has been awful but so has this pattern. Let's see which MJO is right between gefs and euro. The GEFS are wrong. It doesn’t match any of the roundy plots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Eps and euro have been horrible and yet people worship it. Give examples....what have they been wrong about 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Just now, Allsnow said: Give examples....what have they been wrong about About everything, give it a rest and read more and post less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 The light rain has flipped to wind-driven large snowflakes in the Bronx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 20 minutes ago, MJO812 said: What ? Go away troll. I would always be right if I forecasted warmth like you always do. When I see a cold pattern, I'll go cold, the last 3 years have been an inferno...deal with it. Just because the EPS has a solution you don't like is not reason to call it a terrible model when it has the highest verification score....had the model showed an ice age I'm sure you'd be saying it's great. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Did the roundy plots go into MJO 8--1-2 a couple weeks ago ? 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: The GEFS are wrong. It doesn’t match any of the roundy plots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 If there is a material amelioration of the z500 from hostile to mediocre, it won't occur until very late in February and into March, as I've been delineating in my past couple of updates. So, I wouldn't expect to see anything too striking on the D10-15 EPS right now. I am still monitoring a few indicators [not related to the high frequency intraseasonal signal] which may improve near the end of February and beyond; however, that is not a guarantee. Until further notice, the RNA structure continues: cool NW US/Mid-west, warmer SE US. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now