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Feb To Forget? - 2020 Discussion


TalcottWx
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Another huge problem that I see on the GFS is that the N stream is now waiting until about 21z on Saturday to begin dropping into whatever s stream energy we have on the east coast. It was dropping in at 00z on Saturday 24 hours ago....I think this, coupled with the turd lead SW near SNE is the death knell for this quicker phase right now. We have been without the energy near Baja for a few days now, so that can be overcome.

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Another huge problem that I see on the GFS is that the N stream is now waiting until about 21z on Saturday to begin dropping into whatever s stream energy we have on the east coast. It was dropping in at 00z on Saturday 24 hours ago....I think this, coupled with the turd lead SW near SNE is the death knell for this quicker phase right now. We have been without the energy near Baja for a few days now, so that can be overcome.

The energy out west is crashing the PNA ridging faster, too.

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Another huge problem that I see on the GFS is that the N stream is now waiting until about 21z on Saturday to begin dropping into whatever s stream energy we have on the east coast. It was dropping in at 00z on Saturday 24 hours ago....I think this, coupled with the turd lead SW near SNE is the death knell for this quicker phase right now. We have been without the energy near Baja for a few days now, so that can be overcome.

cautiously pessimistic ..it's a dicey setup. 

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1 minute ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said:

Ryan on air, “not too worried about snow” She’s slipping away...

Probability is pretty low right now so it's a realistic statement to make.

Once the energy starts to come onshore tomorrow we'll have better sampling and a better idea. Don't throw in the towel just yet.

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