ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I'd expect the Ukie to come southeast given how amped it was at 00z. If we get that model coming SE and the Euro going NW, then it's not a bad spot at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1'-3' cancel? Mass-migration to the panic thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: 1'-3' cancel? Mass-migration to the panic thread. Even better odds of it today based off on how these work. Trend East then back NW . Miller A’s always do. S streams FTW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Ukie is way flatter with the ridge at 84 hours...definitely gonna be east of that zonked 00z run. But will still probably hit us with a snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 34 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This has sped up too which isn’t a good thing if you want the main northern stream energy to dive in. It’s close to gone and to Clairify ...gone means ...less than warning event which without blocking almost always happens to “ potential” phases maybe ...like the good ole jack Clark ...we can connnect on a bomb about one of of 15 times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Gefs is way further southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Why is it so hard to get a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 12 minutes ago, Albert A Clipper said: this is supposed to be a Feb Discussion thread, but it quickly morphed into a single storm thread....secs starved weenies, INCUDING mods!!!! If you read back a couple pages there has been discussion on every thing related to NewEng weather for the month. An upcoming storm will always dominate the discussion until it’s own thread is created around d4, maybe later today. Not sure what is so wrong about this that you have to throw mods under the bus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: Why is it so hard to get a snowstorm. Climo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 What ever analogy we want to use....too many turds in the bowl; or too many pigs in the feed sack, it's all the same. Too much energy/SW's that never ever come together like they should for a strong system by us. I said this yesterday when Dendrite posted the picture of all the SW's all over the place, and he said good luck trying to figure this out. Those rarely deliver imo. The Euro will seal the deal in 90 minutes or so, it'll be east/a whiff for sure, and that's gonna be that. Sure, Yes this can turn around like boxing day did on a dime; but the Tenor so far is for disappointment this winter...and this is following right along with that idea...to a "T." If this indeed does go down the toilet like its looking like currrently. I'm ready for Spring around here for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If you read back a couple pages there has been discussion on every thing related to NewEng weather for the month. An upcoming storm will always dominate the discussion until it’s own thread is created around d4, maybe later today. Not sure what is so wrong about this that you have to throw mods under the bus? calling mods weenies is throwing them under the bus.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Climo Climo? Even the Lake weenies are complaining that their winter sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Gefs look like crap.... she going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Why is it so hard to get a snowstorm. We have been way to spoiled this past decade with thread the needle events that actually worked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Ukie still a pretty good hit for eastern areas (minus the bias of flooding the marine air) and Maine/SE NH. Advisory type event in western third to half of SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Climo? Even the Lake weenies are complaining that their winter sucks. Lake weenies are having a rough year yes i was saying climo for the NYC , Coastal SNE group climo I believe is one storm of over 6” per year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I'm glad Will is here to talk sense into weenies, though some aren't listening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: calling mods weenies is throwing them under the bus.. lol He’s saying they are so starved for snow that they aren’t doing their job. What do you think that means? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Ukie still a pretty good hit for eastern areas (minus the bias of flooding the marine air) and Maine. Advisory type event in western third to half of SNE. that's a good sign, hopefully EURO start ticking west a bit.. we've all seen bigger moves from the GFS so not throwing in the towel yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Ukie still a pretty good hit for eastern areas (minus the bias of flooding the marine air) and Maine. Advisory type event in western third to half of SNE. Aaaa, it's trending in the wrong direction too...it's just still Hung over from the bender it went on last night. It'll be a whiff on the next run. And the Euro will close this out for sure in an hour with a whiff/Miss. Man, the winter that just can't deliver rolls on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Why would anyone even think about tossing in the towel when nothing has come onshore yet out west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, WinterWolf said: Aaaa, it's trending in the wrong direction too...it's just still Hung over from the bender it went on last night. It'll be a whiff on the next run. And the Euro will close this out for sure in an hour with a whiff/Miss. Man, the winter that just can't deliver rolls on.... Dude, relax. Head your own advice...”it’s 4/5 days out anything can happen”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 We’ll want to see the EURO make a move NW by 0z tonight, 12z tomorrow the latest. Otherwise, let’s hope for sun and low 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Keep in mind sometimes models tend to “overcorrect” I wouldn’t be surprised to see them move back west a bit after such a big shift East this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He’s saying they are so starved for snow that they aren’t doing their job. What do you think that means? sure, I just thought it was funny, mods can be weenies also. You are free to defend the honor of the mods, sorry for my interruption Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Why would anyone even think about tossing in the towel when nothing has come onshore yet out west? Because it's an emotional response and not a scientific one. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: What ever analogy we want to use....too many turds in the bowl; or too many pigs in the feed sack, it's all the same. Too much energy/SW's that never ever come together like they should for a strong system by us. I said this yesterday when Dendrite posted the picture of all the SW's all over the place, and he said good luck trying to figure this out. Those rarely deliver imo. The Euro will seal the deal in 90 minutes or so, it'll be east/a whiff for sure, and that's gonna be that. Sure, Yes this can turn around like boxing day did on a dime; but the Tenor so far is for disappointment this winter...and this is following right along with that idea...to a "T." If this indeed does go down the toilet like its looking like currrently. I'm ready for Spring around here for sure. As things stand right now, every winter forecast that called for a cold and snowy winter stands as a complete fail. There is still some time left to raise the grade from an F to a D/C but the time to do so is getting shorter with each passing day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Why would anyone even think about tossing in the towel when nothing has come onshore yet out west? we get all kinds of conflicting data on this.. has to be onshore or not..i guess i wonder how the west coast mets forecast if all their weather is affected by stuff offshore.. maybe I'm simplyfing things.. IDK. maybe that is it.. west coast mets have less to worry about? northern streams and southern streams.. interactions etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dude, relax. Head your own advice...”it’s 4/5 days out anything can happen”. You're correct. But it just has that "Feel" unfortunately.....the feeling of the season has showed it's hand....and it can't be changed. I know, it's a stupid idea, but it has that feel. I hope I'm wrong. You like to Hedge Berg...what's your call for the upcoming 12z Euro? I think it will be a Whiff....more east and progressive due to the western ridge flattening out...not good signs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I think it’s been so long since we’ve been in a north trend pattern. First one in maybe 2 years. Have people forgotten how these work? They start as hits, then go way East then they trend back NW in the days leading up until precipitation issues happen in coastal regions. Why is this so hard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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