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Feb To Forget? - 2020 Discussion


TalcottWx
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14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Mar 4-6 2001 was the slowest mover i think i've ever seen. Nearly 60hrs. Would love another one of those demons, and have it all snow this time.

As far as the UKMET, the snow maps are awful. It appears its counting anything above 0C at the surface as rain. My location is just barely above 0C at the surface (bottom 25mb or so) and the rest of the column is below and another 0.35 falls after that, so id have to say we at least get several inches but the snow map is showing near zero.

Yup. Not sure why Sunny believed it verbatim.

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3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Count how many over .4

KORH_2020012800_precip_360.png

QPF shouldn't be a problem with this system (which hopefully will work out to our benefit) but take a look at the individual members for 12z and 18z Saturday...just all over the place. Really tough to generate any sort of idea right now on what to expect. 

Just now, OSUmetstud said:

I'm pretty sure miller Bs are less predictable anyway. Northern stream is tougher for models to handle than the southern. 

Very true. 

All the reason why I think in this situation you have to be careful with using just an EPS mean. 

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