RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, Kitzbuhel Craver said: This thing has the thus far EMA=>NH=>ME look... It has and will continue to do so. Don’t invest and hopefully we can pick up a handful of inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It has and will continue to do so. Don’t invest and hopefully we can pick up a handful of inches. It could easily still end up as an interior job. It’s within the envelope. Especially at 5+ days out. I just wouldn’t be throwing down even money on that type of solution....your Vegas favorites are the eastern ones. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It could easily still end up as an interior job. It’s within the envelope. Especially at 5+ days out. I just wouldn’t be throwing down even money on that type of solution....your Vegas favorites are the eastern ones. Need some Eli Manning to David Tyree magic for westerners. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Need some Eli Manning to David Tyree magic for westerners. Lol, I wouldn’t say it’s THAT desperate yet. Maybe if it doesn’t improve by Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It could easily still end up as an interior job. It’s within the envelope. Especially at 5+ days out. I just wouldn’t be throwing down even money on that type of solution....your Vegas favorites are the eastern ones. Yea I’m leaning that way pretty heavily but that doesn’t mean I’m oblivious to a different outcome. Part of the fun, for me, is leaning a certain way based on all the data and some experience...and watching it come to fruition. If I end up wrong, then it’s a learning experience. I don’t have to forecast for a living so no offense to those that do...but I don’t need to toe the ‘anything is on the table’ line. That’s the way to go, obviously, as a pro but far too boring as a weenie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Nice cluster near the benchmark. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Need some Eli Manning to David Tyree magic for westerners. It could easily be a longitude deal. These things are notorious for those ticks west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, 78Blizzard said: Nice cluster near the benchmark. I’d take that 74 near east of cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Don’t. Want. To. Invest...Must. Resist... Tractor beam... pulled me right in. FU&k. Hopes and dreams of a Super Bowl biggie. Its like when you were younger and out with the boys and you come across that super hot, next level lady and you’re posturing to the fellas... “what? I got this, I’m going over there, I’m doing it.” Every bit of discernment tells you stay away, this is crash and burn territory. You forge ahead, only to be dissed and dismissed, the fellas high-fiving and In hysterics as you walk of shame back to your spot, two drinks in hand... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea I’m leaning that way pretty heavily but that doesn’t mean I’m oblivious to a different outcome. Part of the fun, for me, is leaning a certain way based on all the data and some experience...and watching it come to fruition. If I end up wrong, then it’s a learning experience. I don’t have to forecast for a living so no offense to those that do...but I don’t need to toe the ‘anything is on the table’ line. That’s the way to go, obviously, as a pro. I'm into the chase, And when its over, I'm looking for the next one to track. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: It could easily be a longitude deal. These things are notorious for those ticks west. I have no lean right now. Just having fun at the expense of the western folks. It’s going to boil down to timing/ location of the streams. Gotta wait till Wednesday/Thursday to get a better idea. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It could easily be a longitude deal. These things are notorious for those ticks west. the gulf low has juice to work with 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Our storm starts to develop within 84 hours over the western Gulf of Mexico and eastern Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Holy Monkey Balls.. Southern New England special. 954 on the benchmark.. If Only.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Sub 975 millibar low south of the benchmark or at the benchmark location suggests an early phase and a much colder storm solution overall. This means that whatever precipitation falls on the coastline will likely be snow unless the low tracks over Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: Holy Monkey Balls.. Southern New England special. 954 on the benchmark.. If Only.. I'm actually surprised its not 40mb weaker and supressed and shunted to the SE.. Not like the NAVGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It could easily be a longitude deal. These things are notorious for those ticks west. wouldn't surprise me at all to see this track near or over SNE in the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 I like how the isobars kink nw on the gefs mean at hr138 towards Jimmy’s hood. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: I'm actually surprised its not 40mb weaker and supressed and shunted to the SE.. Not like the NAVGEM YUP. Big red flag for a progressive model to be so amped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Local TV met @ 6pm, said storm is a miss for NH but stay tuned, ballsy move this far from game time ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 minute ago, 512high said: Local TV met @ 6pm, said storm is a miss for NH but stay tuned, ballsy move this far from game time ? It is now within 5 days, precip starts on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 58 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Until it's too late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 132 hours out, what could go wrong? I'm all in. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 navgem_mslp_pcpn_neus_22.webp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 That NAVGEM would be an all timer here. Sign me up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I'm actually surprised its not 40mb weaker and supressed and shunted to the SE.. Not like the NAVGEM NAVGEM?? I thought that was a button you press when your Chevy is stuck in a ditch. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 10 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Sub 975 millibar low south of the benchmark or at the benchmark location suggests an early phase and a much colder storm solution overall. This means that whatever precipitation falls on the coastline will likely be snow unless the low tracks over Cape Cod. James. Be careful with getting overly excited with the Navgem. I think it has it's place in for what it beings to the table..but...wouldn't take this run and roll with it ( actually..does anyone know if the Navgem ever scores a coup and had the right outcome over the titans, Euro & GFS )? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, kdxken said: NAVGEM?? I thought that was a button you press when your Chevy is stuck in a ditch. the model is quite the...'gem' 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Know what's funny ? that model has the best continuity from 12z to 18z out of all of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 15 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I'm actually surprised its not 40mb weaker and supressed and shunted to the SE.. Not like the NAVGEM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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