Ogmios Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Storm on the 6Z looks better for New England with the Nova Scotia Coastal huger on this run with Hazey doing okay but going to a messy rain with Halifax and east rain and Truro west snow and ice split. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 I think this will go either way, lets hope a solid signal is there come Thursday or Friday ......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 23 minutes ago, 512high said: I think this will go either way, lets hope a solid signal is there come Thursday or Friday ......... This far out it can definitely go either way imo considering GEFS has a more westerly solution and EPS more easterly (more favorable for good snow). I guess if you split the difference it puts it just west of the 40/70 benchmark. More ensemble members on EPS put it over the benchmark despite op solution too far east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Deterministic guidance, while useful to indicate potential for some kind of storm in the vicinity of the east coast, continues to flip flop which is 0% surprising at the 7-8 day time range. Ensemble spread indicates potential for anything from a rainy inside runner to heavy snow to a fish storm that misses us to the south. Details on next weekend will come into better focus the further removed we get from this weekend. Stay I think it means it's not a lock 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: Deterministic guidance, while useful to indicate potential for some kind of storm in the vicinity of the east coast, continues to flip flop which is 0% surprising at the 7-8 day time range. Ensemble spread indicates potential for anything from a rainy inside runner to heavy snow to a fish storm that misses us to the south. Details on next weekend will come into better focus the further removed we get from this weekend. Stay I think it means it's not a lock as expected way early what a rollercoaster winter, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 EPS still has a good signal. Funny the op was nada. Either way it’s pretty far out so volatility expected. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 It’s Always Rainy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 hour ago, 512high said: I think this will go either way, lets hope a solid signal is there come Thursday or Friday ......... That's a really ballsy call. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 3 hours ago, dendrite said: If people want to post this crap at d8 we can start dishing out 5ppds and weenie tags. Yeah....this. Some pretty horrendous posts lately about 168 or 204 hour solutions. Maybe we need to make a model thread again like before subforums. A place to discuss OP clown range solutions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Are you ever not under the influence when you type? Just wait until they lose the SB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 4 hours ago, dendrite said: If people want to post this crap at d8 we can start dishing out 5ppds and weenie tags. Plus you locked in the 18Z GFS for us yesterday so obviously that will become the solution. We all know calling locks before the next run is the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 EPS improvements or did it reverse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 eps and gefs look fine at d7. Not sure what some are hoping for, esp from an op, at this stage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: EPS improvements or did it reverse? Much better. Much more precip last night and stronger LP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 I think he means beyond next weekend. It looks fine. I didn’t see reverse. The ridging is more in the longitude of AK so storm track probably is near East Coast I’d imagine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Much better. Much more precip last night and stronger LP Yeah I had seen it for the storm. I meant long term with EPO and pig punched out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think he means beyond next weekend. It looks fine. I didn’t see reverse. The ridging is more in the longitude of AK so storm track probably is near East Coast I’d imagine. Yea he’s already called for rains to the border for the weekend so onto d8 and beyond. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah I had seen it for the storm. I meant long term with EPO and pig punched out Every picture tells a story, don't it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Every picture tells a story, don't it That’s looking pretty weeniesh right there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Off the board for a day and come back in here and read all these 6 pages of crap post about a storm 8 days out that will waffle more then Aunt Jamima use to make, They should be in the panic thread. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Yeah the 11-15 held steady. Looks good. I wouldn’t say it looks overwhelmingly great, but far better than we’ve had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Ens look ok for SB weekend... EPS has a decent signal, GEFS & CMC looking a bit offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Here is the latest NAO, AO and PNA forecast. There is a little kink on all those tellies right near the storm. This is interesting. Maybe a chance ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the 11-15 held steady. Looks good. I wouldn’t say it looks overwhelmingly great, but far better than we’ve had. This would be probably exactly what we want. EPO bump, NAO block, energy diving into the East Coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Ens look ok for SB weekend... EPS has a decent signal, GEFS & CMC looking a bit offshore offshore? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think he means beyond next weekend. It looks fine. I didn’t see reverse. The ridging is more in the longitude of AK so storm track probably is near East Coast I’d imagine. There was a reduced amount of ridging in ak around day 10 so it looked like less of a weenie look then it did at 12z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 GEFS not quite as robust as EPS. It's still favorable, but more subtle. Keep your weenies in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, It's Always Sunny said: GEFS not quite as robust as EPS. It's still favorable, but more subtle. Keep your weenies in. It's the worst looking of the three packages. Wants to maintain more toughing in ak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: There was a reduced amount of ridging in ak around day 10 so it looked like less of a weenie look then it did at 12z yesterday. That’s the concern . Reverting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: It's the worst looking of the three packages. Wants to maintain more toughing in ak. Alaskan people are tough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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