ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Wake me in 5 days. This is actually a good way to view the “threat”. Just ignore it for several days and then see what it looks like if its even still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 1 minute ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: why are we even looking at precip type verbatim atm? the signal is there for a significant storm. something we have not had to even track in a long time The setup favors a hugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: We will have dry slot and precip type issues, most likely, but lets get the storm first. Yeah.... storm signal is good. We’ll see where it goes. I’m just not a fan of Miller As in these parts. Usually leads to a mess or disappointment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s mostly liquid in the coast. Not that it matters but just sayin. funny folks talking about the snow/rain line .. weenies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Someone give me a list of memorable miller A so I can research.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Nice to see a man storm regardless. Who cares what Ptype it has at this point. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah.... storm signal is good. We’ll see where it goes. I’m just not a fan of Miller As in these parts. Usually leads to a mess or disappointment Take a look at our top ten events...littered with Miller B. That said, good signal for a significant event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Signal on 3 op models for a big storm. We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Just now, Bostonseminole said: funny folks talking about the snow/rain line .. weenies. I'm not talking about any single determinnistic run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: Someone give me a list of memorable miller A so I can research.. Jan 96, Feb 06.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jan 96, Feb 06.. boxing day 2010 http://cstar.cestm.albany.edu/PostMortems/CSTARPostMortems/2010/dec26_27blizzard/dec2010blizzard.htm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Jan 16 i believe would be an A, it didn't make it far north. I forget the evolution exactly of how that formed Edit: Jan 18 def an A "snow bomb" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Just now, Bostonseminole said: Someone give me a list of memorable miller A so I can research.. Feb 1958, Dec 1960, Dec 1969, Jan 1978, Feb 1983, March 1993, Jan 1996, Feb 2003, Dec 2009, Boxing Day 2010, Feb 2014...just a few that come to mind off top of my head that did pretty well in at least parts of SNE But I’d still rather have a Miller B. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 C-W CT i think would rather take our chances with an A. Bs seems to sting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 17 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: you are 100% right . looking at 168 it looks like it is just about to become a cutoff but by 196 that NS dives in quickly and perfectly to phase with it. I doubt we will replicate this solution verbatim again next run I just feel like if that trough digs any further south on the Euro it's either going to become cutoff which will suck for ya'll up there or it will still stay its course but with the low taking a more easterly track offshore, resulting in lower snow totals for many west of I-95 (as a tentative reference point). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, you would do better than I would in that case. Even if boxing day type happened again there would be different backyard results. You still do very well even if nyc does on phasers. Maybe just not what you’re used to, 30”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Signal is there on ensembles but obviously quite a bit weaker than the OP...which is no surprise when you are 7-8 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 21 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Someone give me a list of memorable miller A so I can research.. 2 years ago dude was a coastal hugger , the Miller A fallacy killer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Feb 1958, Dec 1960, Dec 1969, Jan 1978, Feb 1983, March 1993, Jan 1996, Feb 2003, Dec 2009, Boxing Day 2010, Feb 2014...just a few that come to mind off top of my head that did pretty well in at least parts of SNE But I’d still rather have a Miller B. Jan 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Signal is there on ensembles but obviously quite a bit weaker than the OP...which is no surprise when you are 7-8 days out. It's also faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 We prefer storm threats to pass the time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Signal is there on ensembles but obviously quite a bit weaker than the OP...which is no surprise when you are 7-8 days out. 12Z EPS pretty similar too: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Jan 18 Yeah that was definitely an A. Took a wide turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, not a fan of Miller A...someone in our area will get porked. Take it to the bank. Miller As are the best bet for SWCT. With Miller Bs, the low tends to redevelop tight to the NJ/DE shore, sending the first mega band through NJ into the Hudson Valley. Then you can get a triple point re-development further east, which bombs eastern New England...leaving us in the pork-hole. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 18 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: C-W CT i think would rather take our chances with an A. Bs seems to sting. I find that we have to have good blocking. We jacked in December. 2000 with the B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Even better are hybrids like 96 and 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 Miller A, Miller B. So long as it’s a snowy Miller-Time. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 EPS is actually a whiff OTS with dynamics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: EPS is actually a whiff OTS with dynamics It's fine this far out and way faster than the op 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2020 Share Posted January 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Miller A, Miller B. So long as it’s a snowy Miller-Time. Just funnel Miller’s down our throats...get naked and get crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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