RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Wintry Fri at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS coming back in a little more amped again. Very subtle changes out in the southwest but they matter. Then it ends up more progressive than the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS coming back in a little more amped again. Very subtle changes out in the southwest but they matter. Upside on snow for us with these is usually like 2-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Amped. Ice to the border on Thur. Every single one of these models, every single run shows something slightly different, which tells me there hasn't been any trends besides chaos. Hopefully the 18z Euro and 0z Nam were onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: It seems early, even for you. At that rate you’ll be installing on March 1st. But I guess it’s sort of like a very long version of not being able to enjoy a snowstorm if you already know a cutter is coming 4 days later. Can’t enjoy snow in Feb/March because you know April is coming. Dude will be living in Florida in 10 years, all the signs are there. Loved seeing snow , obsessed at one point, never really knew how to enjoy it so as he gets older it's a hassle, now he just wants mood snow at Christmas, next will be the wintering in Florida 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Cmc and gfs has the euro wave for next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Apparently... This is completely up in the air and the weenies will go round And round w model runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Euro more amped up too like the rest of the guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 00z guidance definitely all ticked less sheared and therefore more west and warmer with this week. There’s been no consistent trend at all from run to run on this. We’ll see if we start getting some more consistent movement at 12z. The moisture seems to come in two slugs. The first one is early Thursday. That has looked mostly frozen/freezing at least over interior...varying degrees of snow on the front end depending on model. Then there’s a bit of a break and next round of real stuff is Friday...maybe late Thursday night. That’s the one that really could have a lot of QPF with it. Overnight it was mostly rain for SNE and even into a chunk of CNE/NNE depending on model...but should that end up ice or snow, it’s got high end potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Euro has a mini bomb for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 @weathafella 1 day closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 wow, speechless winter. words can't do it justice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Ukie is probably the most wedgy looking. Very complicated setup for late week inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Noyes has 40’s thru day 10 for BOS . Also showed his monthly forecast . AN temps thruout with AN precip. Thought things had looked colder after this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 South zones are mostly toast for late week and we keep digging troughs into the southwest in the LR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 frustrated weenies are beginning to long for COC days this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 The only thing "consistent" on the models has been that day 7 storm, especially on the Euro. Hopefully that works out. It might be a 1 storm winter for SNE at this rate if that works out, outside of early December which didn't do much down this way either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: The only thing "consistent" on the models has been that day 7 storm, especially on the Euro. Hopefully that works out. It might be a 1 storm winter for SNE at this rate if that works out, outside of early December which didn't do much down this way either. -PNA rules the roost which means we will be prone to cutters as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 So basically 2-3" on Thurs, changing to zr/rn Friday, ending as little snow Fri pm. Joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Feel like it will be tough to avoid a milder solution. That's a deep trough in the Midwest. I know you have meso low potential and what not, but when I see the 500 look...that would support mild air aloft at the very least. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Feel like it will be tough to avoid a milder solution. That's a deep trough in the Midwest. I know you have meso low potential and what not, but when I see the 500 look...that would support mild air aloft at the very least. Yup. I’m hoping the taint is limited in NNE. Maybe when it warms up there, it’s during a lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Feel like it will be tough to avoid a milder solution. That's a deep trough in the Midwest. I know you have meso low potential and what not, but when I see the 500 look...that would support mild air aloft at the very least. Have we lost huge ice potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Have we lost huge ice potential? Glad you’re coming around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 53 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: So basically 2-3" on Thurs, changing to zr/rn Friday, ending as little snow Fri pm. Joke. Yup, no thanks but unfortunately we have no right of refusal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 hour ago, Spanks45 said: The only thing "consistent" on the models has been that day 7 storm, especially on the Euro. Hopefully that works out. It might be a 1 storm winter for SNE at this rate if that works out, outside of early December which didn't do much down this way either. Stay on the shitty winter course, fade that one as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Have we lost huge ice potential? No but the guidance last night was less bullish...the mesolows were not pointing in as favorable direction as 12z. That would mean less refreshing drain so you rise slowly to 33F. We’ll see what happens today. Haven’t had any consistency. 06z euro came in a hair more sheared after 00z was zonked. Still not as good as 18z run yesterday though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Have we lost huge ice potential? I still think someone may have good ice, but not sure if it's in SNE or especially down by you. It's still early though. I'm just hoping for a few inches before it's washed away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: No but the guidance last night was less bullish...the mesolows were not pointing in as favorable direction as 12z. That would mean less refreshing drain so you rise slowly to 33F. We’ll see what happens today. Haven’t had any consistency. 06z euro came in a hair more sheared after 00z was zonked. Still not as good as 18z run yesterday though. So maybe by 12z tomorrow we have an idea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: So maybe by 12z tomorrow we have an idea? Depends on what happens today and tonight on guidance. I mean, if we get consecutive amped trends today and tonight...making 3 cycles in a row, then we probably know already. But if we’re going back and forth, then yeah, we might not know until tomorrow or tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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