ineedsnow Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Maybe the 7.7 earthquake south of Cuba will shake things up 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Another huge problem that I see on the GFS is that the N stream is now waiting until about 21z on Saturday to begin dropping into whatever s stream energy we have on the east coast. It was dropping in at 00z on Saturday 24 hours ago....I think this, coupled with the turd lead SW near SNE is the death knell for this quicker phase right now. We have been without the energy near Baja for a few days now, so that can be overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 10:37 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Another huge problem that I see on the GFS is that the N stream is now waiting until about 21z on Saturday to begin dropping into whatever s stream energy we have on the east coast. It was dropping in at 00z on Saturday 24 hours ago....I think this, coupled with the turd lead SW near SNE is the death knell for this quicker phase right now. We have been without the energy near Baja for a few days now, so that can be overcome. Expand The energy out west is crashing the PNA ridging faster, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 10:37 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Another huge problem that I see on the GFS is that the N stream is now waiting until about 21z on Saturday to begin dropping into whatever s stream energy we have on the east coast. It was dropping in at 00z on Saturday 24 hours ago....I think this, coupled with the turd lead SW near SNE is the death knell for this quicker phase right now. We have been without the energy near Baja for a few days now, so that can be overcome. Expand cautiously pessimistic ..it's a dicey setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 10:08 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Plus alot of energy is hanging back near Baja. Expand Plus it looks like someone fired #00 buckshot out of a shotgun @H5 with 5-6 spurious pieces moving around in the flow which the models cant resolve to phase with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 10:41 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: The energy out west is crashing the PNA ridging faster, too. Expand The ridge was supposed to be favorable for us for this weekend. Of course it went to crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 10:10 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I wouldn’t trust gfs to handle this properly but euro isn’t exactly bulletproof. Give it until 0z Thur. Expand Yea, GFS is no good at coastal systems never mind trying to figure out a Miller A no less, But it needs more time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 most euro/gfs ensemble members are a scrape or OTS which is a pretty big shift from the past two days when both had varying degrees of decent hits and a few that even hugged. worth watching, definitely but I'd feel better if that type of move were this past weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 10:21 PM, Damage In Tolland said: How can you look at this setup and think you’re not going to see a nice snowfall there? Like are you being serious? Expand The rev is not wearing any clothes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 N stream is so different on euro vs GFS. That’s going to be the key to getting a hit. The bigger N stream influence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 10:41 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: The energy out west is crashing the PNA ridging faster, too. Expand This could easily be 1-2” for James and nada W of CC. Tomorrow we get a much better read on the sampling. I’m all in 0z tonight through 0z tomorrow for foe or friend trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 11:11 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: This could easily be 1-2” for James and nada W of CC. Tomorrow we get a much better read on the sampling. I’m all in 0z tonight through 0z tomorrow for foe or friend trends. Expand Crap that Far East... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Ryan on air, “not too worried about snow” She’s slipping away... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 11:23 PM, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Ryan on air, “not too worried about snow” She’s slipping away... Expand Probability is pretty low right now so it's a realistic statement to make. Once the energy starts to come onshore tomorrow we'll have better sampling and a better idea. Don't throw in the towel just yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Harv hedged OTS tonight.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 11:29 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Harv hedged OTS tonight.. Expand Reasonable. I give it until 12z tomorrow. If it’s holds or trends E, time to punt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 11:35 PM, Albert A Clipper said: lets talk about the wave that develops on the cold front 2/5, it's only a week out as of tomorrow, but looks like the next best chance for New England. Expand Looks anafraudal to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 That nrn stream on euro continues to look dam potent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 18z Euro looked better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Keith Carson has 70/30 OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Euro had a closed low in the midwest. Low is much closer to the coast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 18z was better @H5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 On 1/29/2020 at 12:23 AM, dryslot said: 18z was better @H5 Expand Can you match that up with the gfs at 90? I’m looking on TT and big difference but obv a different h5 map so my weenie could be affecting judgement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 On 1/29/2020 at 12:13 AM, CoastalWx said: That nrn stream on euro continues to look dam potent. Expand is there a chance that southern stream energy scoots out and that northern stream ends up digging further south and becoming the main event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 On 1/29/2020 at 12:26 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Can you match that up with the gfs at 90? I’m looking on TT and big difference but obv a different h5 map. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 On 1/29/2020 at 12:27 AM, Spanks45 said: is there a chance that southern stream energy scoots out and that northern stream ends up digging further south and becoming the main event? Expand I suppose it could? There is some time left but the flow remains progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Thanks man. Huge difference. Euro looks like it could drop the N stream hammer there...but the lead vort in a prog flow could muck it up. I dunno... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Eh. I’m out. 1 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 On 1/29/2020 at 12:27 AM, Spanks45 said: is there a chance that southern stream energy scoots out and that northern stream ends up digging further south and becoming the main event? Expand That may have been what Bob was alluding to earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Hopefully a legit improvement and not another euro head fake. Eps will of course be better too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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