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Feb To Forget? - 2020 Discussion


TalcottWx
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  On 1/28/2020 at 1:40 PM, shanemacdonald23 said:

Looks rather interesting for us in Halifax nova Scotia hello all my name is Shane Macdonald from Halifax nova Scotia, found this weather weenie forum so thought to sign up.  Alot of sleepless nights model watching.  Lol 

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Totally impressive out your way. Welcome to the camp we all know why you are here....

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  On 1/28/2020 at 1:42 PM, DotRat_Wx said:

Guys... We're right where we want this to be at this range.

1. Harvey is leaning bullish

2. We're seeing more offshore tracks on the ensembles, and a good deal of them are hits.

3. It's still several days out

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  On 1/28/2020 at 1:44 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Keep it east and I'll take my chances.

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Yes. 

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I said last night, OP Euro whiffing is concerning because much of the SW interaction is taking place within its 120hr wheelhouse. However I would wait until 12z tomorrow before assuming any clarity, as everything will have been sampled by then.

I would rather risk a whiff than a hug...just me.

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  On 1/28/2020 at 1:39 PM, Chrisrotary12 said:

00z EPS looked great. 06z EPS was a let down. Really wish something besides the UKMET & 00z GFS would jump on board. 

Is everything onshore with 12z tomorrow's soundings?

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The last piece of energy looks like it's coming on shore on Thursday morning/aftn

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When does any potential major system not go through this east jog Whiff, just after everything shifted west the run before.  It's all fruitless to think either way on what modeling is showing currently.   

 

I realize that Persistent forecasting is not prudent...but the Tenor of the winter has been up and in...or a miss.   This winter doesn't seem to want to produce much since the 1st of Dec., so I'm thinking a miss if we don't get at least a Partial Phaze of some sort.   But it's still too early to say one way or the other...and that's just where we are currently.  Lot's of S/W's running around..lots yet to resolve.   Everything later tmrw or Thursday could go back tucky and west...or be miss altogether.   Long way to go with this one. 

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  On 1/28/2020 at 1:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Why are the consternation and sweats? This is falling into the storms of the 20 teens when they’d be modelled East or OTS, weenies would congrats E Ma or think OTS and they trend NW closer in. This is the perfect storm for that. Textbook . I truly think the coast is going to ultimately have Ptype issues 

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The past doesn't predict the future 

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