Typhoon Tip Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Eps looks good! what ...is it showing yet another cycle with a 1002 mb low S of ISP ... woooh I will say this much, if this Euro run goes on to score with that, that's a big win for the early spring camp. wow... That is a f'n late March faux extended prick tease story line if ever we lived through a spring in NE - just happens to be setting up in late January. It's been a spring look all along. Some of us have been bringing this to light - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: what ...is it showing yet another cycle with a 1002 mb low S of ISP ... woooh Someone has winter depression, you need some vitamin D... Deeze... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Several members look great for SNE even down here . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 EPS definitely ticked north with the ULL. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, DotRat_Wx said: Someone has winter depression, you need some vitamin D... Deeze... No ... factually, it's been showing a 1002 type low for many cycles. That's not really very exciting - though by definition, exciting is subjective I guess. To each his own - but let's not over sell 1002 mb low either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: No ... factually, it's been showing a 1002 type low for many cycles. That's not really very exciting - though by definition, exciting is subjective I guess. To each his own - but let's not over sell 1002 mb low either way. It's an ensemble mean.. usually higher slp than actual, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: EPS definitely ticked north with the ULL. Figured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: It does look like an improvement EPS has been better all along but OP getting worst, either there is a weenie solution in there or OP will catch up by 0z tonight once everything is sampled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: EPS definitely ticked north with the ULL. It looks like it ticked well south on tropical tidbits. Which one of us is looking at the wrong run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: It looks like it ticked well south on tropical tidbits. Which one of us is looking at the wrong run? Probably you. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Yes IMO, watching how this interaction plays out will be pivotal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: It looks like it ticked well south on tropical tidbits. Which one of us is looking at the wrong run? It's north of the both the 00z and 06z ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: It looks like it ticked well south on tropical tidbits. Which one of us is looking at the wrong run? i don't think it went well south on 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 It went north 06z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 This run is also a bit faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Was comparing 12z to 0z. I forgot about 6z. So I'm only half an idiot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, DotRat_Wx said: Was comparing 12z to 0z. I forgot about 6z. So I'm only half an idiot. Half baked instead of totally? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 10 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: It's an ensemble mean.. usually higher slp than actual, no? Ahh yeah..there's probably some deeper members in there...but D 5, we'd like to see that < 1000 .. Again, this could all be moot if this comes on board out west overnight and suddenly .. we dawn tomorrow with more substantively sampled/resulting model panoply. The Euro morphology between the 00z and 12z is telling - we need more time. Too much grousing...too much faux elation...too much everything when patience is warranted. I will say this much ... despite the 2-page morning campaign to sack the GFS lobbied by the collective, the 850 and 700 mb set ups out there at 120 hours are tasty. Isothermal snow sounding with deep >90% RH through 500 mb is plenty to get a good old fashioned pasting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNurse Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 14 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks good right where it is, The muthafukkers do too. I’ll take this too. With side of Hell yes. Keep the snow in the Mtns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Was comparing 12z to 0z. I forgot about 6z. So I'm only half an idiot. Well it's still north of both. It's more subtle between 00z and 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, OSUmetstud said: Well it's still north of both. It's more subtle between 00z and 12z. Yes, Its north of 0z too, Poor Jay.................. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Pretty solid for the interior. I guess some expected Dec 92? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: Well it's still north of both. It's more subtle between 00z and 12z. wasn't it south an hour ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Pretty solid for the interior. I guess some expected Dec 92? I'm in that 4-6 range, probabbly good guess currently, still long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 1 minute ago, 512high said: wasn't it south an hour ago? We're talking Ensembles not Op runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes, Its north of 0z too, Poor Jay.................. I need to lay off the medicinal 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Just now, DotRat_Wx said: I need to lay off the medicinal Maybe add a dose? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 And I did acknowledge ULL went further north on eps in my most recent post modifying it literally a minute after the first one. Weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 36 minutes ago, weathafella said: Eps looks good! Edit....could stand to have the ULL further south Yeah they are in a good spot right now, but you are right the ULL did trend north too...still, this solution would work for a lot of SNE if we can actually hold the line on this type of solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: And I did acknowledge ULL went further north on eps in my most recent post modifying it literally a minute after the first one. Weenies The ULL can go a bit north but you need good dynamics if it does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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