dryslot Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Just now, PWMan said: How does the ME coast look? Assuming we're tenuous at best in this setup. 8-12" this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Solid warning here on this 12z GFS run. GL. Hope you northerners get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 20 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: If it indeed trends weaker then the goal posts will be a narrow range of latitudes that get the best lift and totals. Your call for Monads out to Hunter would probably be on. I was really hoping to see the Whites buried b/c I have a few weekends planned up there in early Feb but MWV totals look meh'. I was hoping the whites will get the goods too, as well as NVT. Theres no coverage in the southern mtns right now so even with a good bit of snow the trees are mostly a no go. Seems like NVT is getting shadowed by the whites or there's just not enough qpf making it up there from the east. I still think the whites can do okay though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Solid warning here on this 12z GFS run. AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: GL. Hope you northerners get crushed. We will see, Still a lot of time left to watch this up here, Don't need H5 tracking any further NW then it already is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: We will see, Still a lot of time left to watch this up here, Don't need H5 tracking any further NW then it already is. Don't look at the canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Just now, JC-CT said: Don't look at the canadian Already did, Don't care what it has, I'm still shoveling out from last years snow from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 GFS is a bamboo basher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: GFS is a bamboo basher Still wont kill it, Never seen anything so resilient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: 8-12" Thanks. I guess latitude has its benefits sometimes. Obviously still a lot of time for things to change further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Just now, PWMan said: Thanks. I guess latitude has its benefits sometimes. Obviously still a lot of time for things to change further. Yeah, I'm not endorsing anything quite yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Gem is ugly for everyone, ull ends up over Lake Ontario. Atleast the gfs still has it over SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, I'm not endorsing anything quite yet. You may have meh’d yourself to a jack. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 maybe we can do it all over again next weekend! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 I hope the Gem is correct. That will just be a fropa. In and out and hopefully keep the pack intact. I'm not giving this turd any more polish. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 It's impressive to me how the level of model agreement (at least in the OPs) is decreasing with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Will stopped posting . That’s always a bad sign 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 12 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: It's impressive to me how the level of model agreement (at least in the OPs) is decreasing with time. Effects of the grand solar minimum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Will stopped posting . That’s always a bad sign Nah working all morning. Just checked in at lunch and this has gotten even worse. GFS is becoming the southern outlier and it still stinks for SNE. Im guessing this trend has CNE in the crosshairs next for termination. Lol. Maybe powderfreak can still do well. Well see if the euro wants to change the trend but I'm skeptical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Already did, Don't care what it has, I'm still shoveling out from last years snow from it. What's the Ukie say? Uqam hasn't updated in days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: What's the Ukie say? Uqam hasn't updated in days. Yeah, That site has been down but weathermodels.com doesn't have it either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 21 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: It's impressive to me how the level of model agreement (at least in the OPs) is decreasing with time. I don't know diddly about the data assimilation mechanics of the individual modeling systems, but when the system was over the eastern Pacific and really only being sampled by satellite, we had pretty good agreement. (look at 00z Tue runs for example). But as soon as the system came onshore of the west coast and presumably was sampled by the radiosonde network, the goal posts between the individual modeling systems seem to be widening. Definitely from an OP perspective and a bit from an ensemble perspective. The GEPS is way west compared to EPS and GEFS (00z suite). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Yeah, That site has been down but weathermodels.com doesn't have it either. What about the site where you have to tilt your head sideways? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What about the site where you have to tilt your head sideways? It just came out, Primary is in the lakes, It tracks the SLP over kevins head due north over Mt Washington..........lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Yeah UK is similar to the gem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What about the site where you have to tilt your head sideways? lol. desperate times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Will stopped posting . That’s always a bad sign Once Dr. Dew starts posting in here, that's the nail in the coffin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 My little critter storm ain't looking so bad now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Its getting uglier as we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 Hate to say it but the Icon had this crappy solution for several days now. Had the storm moving over Eastport me while all the others had it well south. I thought at the time, it was just being the Icon but it looks like it found the nut early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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