weatherwiz Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 As we make strides towards the second half of winter that means spring is right around the corner!!! This is usually a great opportunity to start shifting the brain towards convective forecasting. Great time to discuss previous events and start throwing out ideas on how the global pattern may evolve as we move through spring. This May is extra special as I am likely going to go tornado chasing out west for the first time ever!!!! But with that said...can't lose focus on our severe season as once the Plains season winds down we quickly ramp up. 102 Days to go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 More elevated convection please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Let's get this ugly, stale winter out of here and start discussing some interesting wx 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23, 2020 Author Share Posted January 23, 2020 Well folks we are now under 100 days!!! 99 days to go!!!! 99 calendar days to go 99 calendar days to go you rip a date down then its one less day to go!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Well folks we are now under 100 days!!! 99 days to go!!!! 99 calendar days to go 99 calendar days to go you rip a date down then its one less day to go!!!! thank goodness. we'll watch the southern radars light up soon. FL does well too in weak Ninos Feb./Apr. iirc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 I'm (hopefully) applying to a boatload of Hazardous Weather Testbed and Spring Forecast Experiment opportunities at OUN this spring, so let's rock. They're doing a radar applications course on new tornado and meso detection algorithms, a satellite applications course, a course on probabilistic warnings, and then the Spring Forecast Experiment which is more of a research to operations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23, 2020 Author Share Posted January 23, 2020 Just now, OceanStWx said: I'm (hopefully) applying to a boatload of Hazardous Weather Testbed and Spring Forecast Experiment opportunities at OUN this spring, so let's rock. They're doing a radar applications course on new tornado and meso detection algorithms, a satellite applications course, a course on probabilistic warnings, and then the Spring Forecast Experiment which is more of a research to operations. That sounds pretty exciting! I'm actually strongly considering pursuing masters in the fall...doing the online route at Mississippi State. Some of the classes offered look like a ton of fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: That sounds pretty exciting! I'm actually strongly considering pursuing masters in the fall...doing the online route at Mississippi State. Some of the classes offered look like a ton of fun Now that I'm edging towards the middle of my career I find I rarely have time to learn anything new. It's hard to keep up. So it's nice when the learning something new is part of work instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23, 2020 Author Share Posted January 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Now that I'm edging towards the middle of my career I find I rarely have time to learn anything new. It's hard to keep up. So it's nice when the learning something new is part of work instead. I bet haha. Much easier and more fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I bet haha. Much easier and more fun Well if it's for work I don't pay out of pocket for one. AMS SLS at Stowe was $1000 week and 3 vacation days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 34 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Well if it's for work I don't pay out of pocket for one. AMS SLS at Stowe was $1000 week and 3 vacation days... And that was just for the microbrews you brought home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23, 2020 Author Share Posted January 23, 2020 38 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Well if it's for work I don't pay out of pocket for one. AMS SLS at Stowe was $1000 week and 3 vacation days... that's a good point...but yikes thats a bit of money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: that's a good point...but yikes thats a bit of money he's underpaid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 17 minutes ago, mreaves said: And that was just for the microbrews you brought home! I mean you're not wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 I'm itching for that first big severe event to track. in the central/south of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 27, 2020 Author Share Posted January 27, 2020 95 days to go!!! Will be doing a countdown post every Monday morning. Will also be incorporating one or two or five posts per week dedicated to a previous convective event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 12 hours ago, weatherwiz said: 95 days to go!!! Will be doing a countdown post every Monday morning. Will also be incorporating one or two or five posts per week dedicated to a previous convective event. If you go chasing this year I'm hoping you get to see a tornado Noone deserves it more than you! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just missed the 6 month anniversary of the Cape Cod tornadoes. That was a fun event to dissect once it was over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 25 minutes ago, It's Always Sunny said: Just missed the 6 month anniversary of the Cape Cod tornadoes. That was a fun event to dissect once it was over. That was pretty crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 30, 2020 Author Share Posted January 30, 2020 June 5, 2007. That was a fun day. It was a Tuesday. I was at work and this is where my memory is faded but I remember checking something...possibly on a phone but I didn't have a phone at the time but there were I think tornado warnings very nearby. I remember going home and getting onto the computer and there were supercells firing off...like classic supercells. The storm structures were amazing...never seen anything like it (up until that time). I think I may even have a picture of the satellite from that day. What I recall happening was llvl winds backed around the pre-frontal trough as it was coming through and the shear became highly favorable for supercells. Everything also started on the earlier side (late morning). I wonder if it held off a few hours longer if it would have been a bigger event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 On 1/23/2020 at 6:18 AM, Dr. Dews said: thank goodness. we'll watch the southern radars light up soon. FL does well too in weak Ninos Feb./Apr. iirc Awt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said: Awt Good call, thunderstorms in the SE in winter, unprecedented 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Good call, thunderstorms in the SE in winter, unprecedented why are you so angry? it's only weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 13 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: why are you so angry? it's only weather Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 40 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 ww.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/sleepless-night-in-southeast-after-deadly-severe-outbreak-rocks-the-area-with-tornado-reports/675726/amp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 11, 2020 Author Share Posted February 11, 2020 Approaching mid-February! Is that pattern change still coming? Getting closer and closer to spring 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 everyone should be in a great mood, sun and warm temps right around the corner! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 13, 2020 Author Share Posted February 13, 2020 We are down to 79-days to go!!! Once the 0z GFS completes tonight..it will be into March (well technically still Feb 29 but 0z March 1st!!!) which means there would only be ONE full month left in the model world before May 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 My Brother moves to Nashville Sunday . Seems like Decent Severe potential for him this season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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