snowman19 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 10 minutes ago, PB-99 said: No 37 B/L is the issue. I should have said *total misses for snow* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I should have said *total misses for snow* Agree. The Canadian is really painful 976 at the BM - 5 at 850 - 1 at 925 , 1 inch of liquid right along the coast and 37 LOL. But we have been posting the BL issues in here for the last few days so no one should be shocked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 oops 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, PB-99 said: oops This would have been colder if the storm actually phased. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This would have been colder if the storm actually phased. Move on. We told you 2 days ago the BL wasn`t close. You need to be in the NW corner of NJ to see any snow. We were never close. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowFeen1 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 28 minutes ago, PB-99 said: Move on. We told you 2 days ago the BL wasn`t close. You need to be in the NW corner of NJ to see any snow. We were never close. Montauk may pick up a few inches out of this believe it or not! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 35 minutes ago, PB-99 said: Agree. The Canadian is really painful 976 at the BM - 5 at 850 - 1 at 925 , 1 inch of liquid right along the coast and 37 LOL. But we have been posting the BL issues in here for the last few days so no one should be shocked. it's the year with no cold air.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 1 hour ago, PB-99 said: No 37 B/L is the issue. If this was 50mi NW, it wouldn’t be as much of an issue. The issue is that it seems like light-mod precip which wouldn’t provide the dynamics needed to cool the column. Could that happen? Maybe, I’d lean towards not given the atrocious overall pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: it's the year with no cold air.... Thanks to the AO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Thanks to the AO and the MJO, EPO, NAO, warm water near Australia. Literally nothing worked in our favor this year....I was lucky to get the 4 inches here on 1/18, that was about it other than some ice and snow to rains in early December 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 24 minutes ago, PB-99 said: Move on. We told you 2 days ago the BL wasn`t close. You need to be in the NW corner of NJ to see any snow. We were never close. Yes we were 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Yes we were You were never close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yes we were I know you`re looking at this one already. Don`t lie.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowFeen1 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, PB-99 said: You were never close. The blocking is the issue, the phase doesn’t happen because the southern stream kicks due east. While the northern stream wave gives us the light snow showers and or rain. If this would have phased, it would have been a monster and we would have had a blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, PB-99 said: I know you`re looking at this one already. Don`t lie.... Had the Euro shown anything even close to resembling this, I'd be on it as well. But it did not, so not even looking twice (.....until 18z of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Just now, SnowFeen1 said: The blocking is the issue, the phase doesn’t happen because the southern stream kicks due east. While the northern stream wave gives us the light snow showers and or rain. If this would have phased, it would have been a monster and we would have had a blizzard But the fast PAC flow was pointed out. The flow was never buckled enough to drive the height falls all the way N. The ridge just rolled over and it could not phase. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowFeen1 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, PB-99 said: But the fast PAC flow was pointed out. The flow was never buckled enough to drive the height falls all the way N. The ridge just rolled over and it could not phase. Next storm the one you just pointed out to Anthony, there may be some blocking with that one, still way too early to call anything but that’s like our last grasp. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, SnowFeen1 said: Next storm the one you just pointed out to Anthony, there may be some blocking with that one, still way too early to call anything but that’s like our last grasp. I don`t think that will last through the 18z run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowFeen1 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, PB-99 said: I don`t think that will last through the 18z run. You’re probably right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 1 hour ago, PB-99 said: But the fast PAC flow was pointed out. The flow was never buckled enough to drive the height falls all the way N. The ridge just rolled over and it could not phase. It was obvious as could possibly be that Fri - Sat was doomed before it even began, well to some at least. 3/13 is totally bogus too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 28 minutes ago, snowman19 said: It was obvious as could possibly be that Fri - Sat was doomed before it even began, well to some at least. 3/13 is totally bogus too Yes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Eventually it will snow again (probably next winter) and this persistent forecasting will not work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Play Ball !!!! 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Lol. One of the ugliest met winter mjo I have ever witnessed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Lol. One of the ugliest met winter mjo I have ever witnessed. It's amazing how it missed the cold phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 02-03 (President's day blizzard) followed 01-02 and 12-13 (great New England blizzard) after the dud of 11-12 so there's hope for next year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt9503 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 30 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 02-03 (President's day blizzard) followed 01-02 and 12-13 (great New England blizzard) after the dud of 11-12 so there's hope for next year I don’t know. I think we’ve entered a period of mild winters becoming the norm. Snow may become more and more rare in this region. We shall see though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Let's all go out in the Atlantic and push this west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 19 minutes ago, matt9503 said: I don’t know. I think we’ve entered a period of mild winters becoming the norm. Snow may become more and more rare in this region. We shall see though. certainly possible. The party has to end at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 This is the first two years in a row since the 1990’s without at least a cat 1 Nesis snowstorm. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/nesis 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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