wishcast_hater Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 57 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Let’s get that same low the GFS shows in the same position at 72hrs and I’ll be happy believe me that low will make its own cold air and cool all columns down yes my weenie is coming out but it’s true it’s a sub 980 low come on guys haven’t we learned here that the global suck at thermals What time do you think this storm will start? My neighbor invited me over for his super bowl party and I don’t want to get stuck crossing the street. Will I have time for a bread and milk run? /sarcasm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 8 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said: What time do you think this storm will start? My neighbor invited me over for his super bowl party and I don’t want to get stuck crossing the street. Will I have time for a bread and milk run? /sarcasm Do you have a raincoat and rubber boots? Cause that's the theme this winter..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 2 hours ago, NEG NAO said: Lets stop arguing and listen to MT. Holly : SATURDAY AND BEYOND. A STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO APPROACH (POSSIBLY TAKING THE FORM OF A COASTAL LOW) NEXT WEEKEND BUT DETAILS REGARDING THE TRACK AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION AND THERMAL FIELDS ARE UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME. LEFT POPS IN THE CHC.RANGE DUE TO TIMING UNCERTAINTIES. Well yeah that clears things up doesn't it...there could be a storm. We don't know what it's gonna do. But being winter it might snow. Or not. Stay tuned. Maybe we could sacrifice a goat and read the entrails..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 36 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said: What time do you think this storm will start? My neighbor invited me over for his super bowl party and I don’t want to get stuck crossing the street. Will I have time for a bread and milk run? /sarcasm I think the storm will be over by the Super Bowl. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 last nights 0Z EURO was a complete miss to the right - models really struggling with the upcoming pattern change - while 0Z GFS is inland of the coast and all rain here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 06Z GFS - Benchmark track where in most winters at the very beginning of Feb would be a MECS at least with cold air in the vicinity BUT this winter ? Anyone's guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 To continue on - since everyone's sleeping the 0Z Canadian has a 3rd option - the syem with the colder air is racing across the upper Midwest and forces the coastal LP too far off shore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Here is the 0z eps. Weak low pressure but more amplified than the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 WPC has precip here next weekend at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Here is the latest NAO, AO and PNA forecast. There is a little kink on all those tellies right near the storm. This is interesting. Maybe a chance ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 also with the Euro continuing to stay well off the coast chances are this will not cut west of us - more then likely a close to Benchmark track BUT that positioning of HP to the north with the cold enough air flowing in is the key ingredient...……..a negative NAO would help quite a bit to keep HP with the cold air from escaping too fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Gfs looks like it’s going to be a big storm, whether it’s going to cut or be a snow event remains to be seen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Gfs looks like it’s going to be a big storm, whether it’s going to cut or be a snow event remains to be seen! It takes a perfect track and colder than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: It takes a perfect track and colder than previous runs. Yes it does but still looks weak to me. But overall an improvement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 971 is weak ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 971 on the BM but little precipitation. Someone explain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 971 is weak ? It’s not weak on paper just looks like the precip shield isn’t distributed the right way. This has to look better on the precip maps if it’s bombing out like that. Hour 144 to hour 162 which would be 18 hours the pressure falls 31 millibars. This would be a blizzard but it just doesn’t show that! i think it would help if this was maybe 25 miles west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: It’s not weak on paper just looks like the precip shield isn’t distributed the right way. This has to look better on the precip maps if it’s bombing out like that. Hour 144 to hour 162 which would be 18 hours the pressure falls 31 millibars. This would be a blizzard but it just doesn’t show that! I agree - will be more precip then currently shown on this model run with that LP in that position and strength - still not individual storm thread worthy IMO - have to see this type of solution keep repeating itself the next 2 days IMO GFS was locked into the same solution for a week prior to last weekends event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 What time NWS releases a discussion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, David-LI said: What time NWS releases a discussion? late afternoon around 3 - 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Even up near Maine it's down to 957 and still doesn't have much precip. You would think the NW side would have more even down by us. It starts off with more down near the gulf compared to last run but loses it as it comes up the coast while strengthening. Odd but it's the GFS. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Cmc is a monster storm for the coast and just inland . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 13 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Cmc is a monster storm for the coast and just inland . This would work! Boxing Day? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Is there a Canadian clown map? Would love to see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 11 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Cmc is a monster storm for the coast and just inland . SUPERBOWL 2020 Blizzard ? - we have Boxing Day Blizzard - 2 President Day Blizzards - time for a Superbowl Blizzard 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Still too early of course but nice to see a D6/7 threat amongst the globals with many tracks just or further offshore for a change. A nicely placed HP would be helpful though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, David-LI said: Is there a Canadian clown map? Would love to see it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, David-LI said: Is there a Canadian clown map? Would love to see it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 6 days is an eternity in the forecasting world. At least something to track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: 6 days is an eternity in the forecasting world. At least something to track. Waiting on the EURO - Dr. NO.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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