MJO812 Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: Maybe only 168hrs to go for some passing white rain!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Maybe only 168hrs to go for some passing white rain!! Pattern has been so bad we can't even get that..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 On 2/27/2020 at 9:37 AM, CPcantmeasuresnow said: 70's mid month on? That would be about 25 degrees above normal. Maybe for a day or two but mid month on, I hope not. That would approach the March 2012 in Chicago, where they had 8 out of 9 days 80° or above. That was freaky and F'd up their trees big time. I could do without it. March 1990 was ours, mid to upper 80s in March and then a one inch snowfall in April! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 On 2/27/2020 at 12:13 PM, Brian5671 said: I'm surprised he's even posting weather stuff there after this winter.... it was even worse in 2001-02.....I never read anything JB said after that catastrophe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Maybe only 168hrs to go for some passing white rain!! Dont track it then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 You wear these for viewing Models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 16 hours ago, LibertyBell said: it was even worse in 2001-02.....I never read anything JB said after that catastrophe. Good move-look at all the time you've saved lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 Jb is on board for next week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Jb is on board for next week Kiss of death 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Jb is on board for next week Elaborate, on board with what? We are going to need an intense low in just the right position to draw in cold air for any chance at the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Elaborate, on board with what? We are going to need an intense low in just the right position to draw in cold air for any chance at the coast He’s apparently hyping a major east coast snowstorm as per usual for that fraud 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Elaborate, on board with what? We are going to need an intense low in just the right position to draw in cold air for any chance at the coast On board for a massive rainstorm perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 4 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Elaborate, on board with what? We are going to need an intense low in just the right position to draw in cold air for any chance at the coast For what? There will be enough cold air if we get a storm next week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: On board for a massive rainstorm perhaps? No 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 42 minutes ago, MJO812 said: For what? There will be enough cold air if we get a storm next week. We’ll see, no one wants a big storm more then me, but it’s going to be thread the needle for the coast no matter how you look at it. The predominate low tracks have been so incredibly constant ever suppressed or to our north. Why would that change? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 53 minutes ago, MJO812 said: For what? There will be enough cold air if we get a storm next week. Not according to the Euro to start the event - and the changeover the Euro shows as the storm moves slowly offshore and changes the precip to snow as colder air is drawn in - well - good luck with that IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowFeen1 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 15 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Not according to the Euro to start the event - and the changeover the Euro shows as the storm moves slowly offshore and changes the precip to snow as colder air is drawn in - well - good luck with that IMO. I think it will initially start as rain but as the storm phases and rides up the coast the rain could change to snow as the icon shows although I hate that model it does make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 Next weeks Euro storm doesn't exist on the 12Z GFS but I thought I would post this nonsense for entertainment purposes ONLY ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 If any other real meteorologist other than JB gets on board with it then I would watch. Right now I wouldn’t lose any sleep over it. Even if it did happen, we are right back into the the torch so why waste the taxpayers money plowing and salting when it will just melt a few days later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: If any other real meteorologist other than JB gets on board with it then I would watch. Right now I wouldn’t lose any sleep over it. Even if it did happen, we are right back into the the torch so why waste the taxpayers money plowing and salting when it will just melt a few days later. the other than list - I would add a few names to that - BUT I think we have enough qualified METS and other weather enthusiasts on this board to determine if March will deliver any snowstorm threats ……………….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 The 2/29/2020 12z GFS shows what would be a rare March snowstorm where Boston, New York City, and Philadelphia would pick up 8" or more snow. Since 1890, there have been just six such snowstorms. The composite 500 mb and temperature anomaly data for those cases illustrates that the solution shown on the 12z GFS is very unlikely to verify. In addition, the historic data based on cases when New York City had less than 6" seasonal snowfall and Philadelphia had less than 2" seasonal snowfall through the end of February argue strongly against such a scenario. None of those cases featured the kind of snowstorm shown on the GFS. In the end, the GFS scenario is likely a product of the significant cold bias that has plagued that model's extended range forecasts, a bias that has been particularly notable since the FV-3 core was introduced, delayed, and then implemented. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The 2/29/2020 12z GFS shows what would be a rare March snowstorm where Boston, New York City, and Philadelphia would pick up 8" or more snow. Since 1890, there have been just six such snowstorms. The composite 500 mb and temperature anomaly data for those cases illustrates that the solution shown on the 12z GFS is very unlikely to verify. In addition, the historic data based on cases New York City had less than 6" seasonal snowfall and Philadelphia had less than 2" seasonal snowfall through the end of February argue strongly against such a scenario. None of those cases featured the kind of snowstorm shown on the GFS. In the end, the GFS scenario is likely a product of the significant cold bias that has plagued that model's extended range forecasts, a bias that has been particularly notable since the FV-3 core was introduced, delayed, and then implemented. Do they have any plans to work on the model to correct the cold bias ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: Do they have any plans to work on the model to correct the cold bias ? I have not seen anything publicly posted toward that end. My guess from everything I have seen is that a sort of sunk cost fallacy applies. The decision to push ahead with the FV-3 core is irrevocable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 44 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: the other than list - I would add a few names to that - BUT I think we have enough qualified METS and other weather enthusiasts on this board to determine if March will deliver any snowstorm threats ……………….. Very true very true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 Utterly ridiculous - FIX THE MODEL PLEASE ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Utterly ridiculous - FIX THE MODEL PLEASE ! There’s a new algorithm to convert gfs snow totals to real world numbers- take the total and divide by 0 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 or just ignore day 12 threats 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowFeen1 Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 Euro shows some snow for next weeks storm. Long Island gets a little more but everybody gets a good a dusting to a few inches. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now