Brian5671 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, snowman19 said: It does not change the fact that there is no high latitude blocking, a strong PAC jet, and a very strong SPV. The first week of March is very likely only transient. we had a 7-10 day window last year-locally, we had 3 events which dropped about 12-14 inches of snow allowing us to salvage something from the ratter of last year.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 So glad that eastern Nc and S.C. might leapfrog over NYC in seasonal snow soon. Was worried about that not happening in this so called winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: So glad that eastern Nc and S.C. might leapfrog over NYC in seasonal snow soon. Was worried about that not happening in this so called winter. The icing on the cake! A southern slider 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: So glad that eastern Nc and S.C. might leapfrog over NYC in seasonal snow soon. Was worried about that not happening in this so called winter. I doubt it. I wouldn't be shocked to see a big storm for our area in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: It does not change the fact that there is no high latitude blocking, a strong PAC jet, and a very strong SPV. The first week of March is very likely only transient. And if it's not transient and we get snow ? Will you stop posting ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I doubt it. I wouldn't be shocked to see a big BUST for our area in March. Fixed 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Another WET Tuesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, PB-99 said: Another WET Tuesday Wouldn’t call today a wet Tuesday. Haven’t seen a drop. Later we’ll get mainly a couple of passing light showers. The timeframe for the snow potential is after that wave 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: And if it's not transient and we get snow ? Will you stop posting ? Will you when the very cold and snowy March fails? 1 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: I doubt it. I wouldn't be shocked to see a big storm for our area in March. The evolution for late Feb to start March looks similar to late Oct/early November. This would fit well with raindancewx's forecast actually. If this idea proves correct then March could turn out a lot colder/stormier than many are expecting. It could be a false flag but the idea of a cold end of Feb/early March is looking more likely as supported by ensembles. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 27 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The evolution for late Feb to start March looks similar to late Oct/early November. This would fit well with raindancewx's forecast actually. If this idea proves correct then March could turn out a lot colder/stormier than many are expecting. It could be a false flag but the idea of a cold end of Feb/early March is looking more likely as supported by ensembles. The only way to save this winter would be a March Blizzard 2001 reverse redux where the storm hits us with all its fury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 4 hours ago, MJO812 said: And if it's not transient and we get snow ? Will you stop posting ? Never happen, Anthony. S19 is too passionate regarding his beliefs and he only has five bites out of the apple as it is. As always .... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 1 hour ago, NutleyBlizzard said: The only way to save this winter would be a March Blizzard 2001 reverse redux where the storm hits us with all its fury. But that year had already featured a nice blizzard earlier. This year has been as putrid as they come. I guess we get our few storms early on now and then nada for the remainder with a possible shot in March, when the snow can melt as fast as it falls.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 3 hours ago, weatherpruf said: But that year had already featured a nice blizzard earlier. This year has been as putrid as they come. I guess we get our few storms early on now and then nada for the remainder with a possible shot in March, when the snow can melt as fast as it falls.... I don't think NYC has had any days of snowcover this year outside of the day of the storm, the biggest storm of the winter the 1.8 inches from the GLC melted by the end of the night so March can't be any worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Euro keeps showing a coastal storm for next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 If I had a $1 for every fake day 8 euro snowstorms shown this year , I would have a lot of $`s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Models and ensembles hinting at something along the east coast next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Models and ensembles hinting at something along the east coast next week. Nice low and yet still rain. Wtf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro keeps showing a coastal storm for next week. so does GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, NEG NAO said: so does GFS Low is too close to the coast. Thank god this is a million years away but we cant get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, NEG NAO said: so does GFS Cmc has it also. Something to keep a eye on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Low is too close to the coast. Thank god this is a million years away but we cant get lucky. Stacked Low if it gets strong enough could generate enough cold air to get a changeover but 997 won't do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Low is too close to the coast. Thank god this is a million years away but we cant get lucky. that'll be over Detroit in a few days... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, Brian5671 said: that'll be over Detroit in a few days... I tend to to disagree with that with the NAO trending negative around that time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: that'll be over Detroit in a few days... Yep, yet another all rain event coming up next week. Another horrible setup all around, zero blocking with a total junk airmass 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Low is too close to the coast. Thank god this is a million years away but we cant get lucky. The placement is fine. The B/L at this distance is a little too warm. ( which fits the winter ) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: I tend to to disagree with that with the NAO trending negative around that time IF and a big if we can get at least a -1SD NAO we might have a chance, but a fair amount of members keep it in positive territory...but based on seasonal trends (zero coastal lows too) I''ll be skeptical not to mention a marginal airmass at the end of Feb-meh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: IF and a big if we can get at least a -1SD NAO we might have a chance, but a fair amount of members keep it in positive territory...but based on seasonal trends (zero coastal lows too) I''ll be skeptical not to mention a marginal airmass at the end of Feb-meh. Yep. The airmass sucks. Among other big issues. This is a rain event again 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, snowman19 said: Yep. The airmass sucks. This is a rain event again Stop making predictions a week out 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Stop making predictions a week out er um, you do that all the time.... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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