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Mid to Long Range Threats


Rjay
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1 hour ago, Snow88 said:

The little low that the models have ahead of the coastal is causing a weakness in the trough for the main low which allows the storm to escape without coming up the coast.  Combine that with some left over energy in the west and also a progressive trough and you will have yourself a non event.

 

I think it is over but you never know  with all these vorts flying down .

About time you gave up. The writing was on the wall a day ago.

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8 minutes ago, uncle W said:

1993 is a good analog and that year got started in February and climaxed in March...its going to be March or bust for me...

longer days - sun angles etc.etc. - BUT SECS and MECS still possible to overcome the obstacles...……...1992 -1993 had even less snow prior to Feb 1 - then 10.7 in Feb and 11.9 in March for NYC

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39 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

It's time for JB to hang em up, he's several years past his prime.

Granted he will be right again at some point with his cold and snowy tweets, but only for the same reason that a broken clock is correct twice a day.

He's been god-awful the past 3 winters.   

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53 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

longer days - sun angles etc.etc. - BUT SECS and MECS still possible to overcome the obstacles...……...1992 -1993 had even less snow prior to Feb 1 - then 10.7 in Feb and 11.9 in March for NYC

Well peak cold, climo, and lowest sun angle didn't help one bit so far. 

We're good till mid March and even late March some years. After that those factors mentioned overwhelm the pattern. 

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