NEG NAO Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 12Z GFS - close call for the metro with cold enough air wrapping into the system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 39 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Going to northeast PA this weekend. Rented a ski house by big bear. So I’m pretty sure whatever happens Saturday there will be snow so I’m excited. That could be a really good spot for this one, west of NYC Metro and with some elevation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 we can only hope...……. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 9 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: we can only hope...……. Looks like a more powerful, slightly east version of your Monday post snip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 17 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Looks like a more powerful, slightly east version of your Monday post snip. Gfs is really active Let's hope we start cashing in. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Euro paints a more interesting picture. It also looks substantially better than what it showed 2 days ago. With a lot of luck something good could come out of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 7 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Euro paints a more interesting picture. It also looks substantially better than what it showed 2 days ago. With a lot of luck something good could come out of this. what does everybody think the chances are of this verifying ? My prediction is slim to none and Slim just left town...………. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: what does everybody think the chances are of this verifying ? My prediction is slim to none and Slim just left town...………. 30% chance of a 3 plus event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: what does everybody think the chances are of this verifying ? My prediction is slim to none and Slim just left town...………. I wouldn't say slim. Let's see where we are after this weekend. Pattern looks better as alluded by Coastalwx in the SNE thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Just now, EastonSN+ said: 30% chance of a 3 plus event. the place to be is on a fishing boat parked in the middle of that dark red area off the Monmouth County NJ coast - 30 miles or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: I wouldn't say slim. Let's see where we are after this weekend. Pattern looks better as alluded by Coastalwx in the SNE thread. was he referring to SNE and or here ? - they can end up with a boat load of snow and we get zip...……... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 16 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: what does everybody think the chances are of this verifying ? My prediction is slim to none and Slim just left town...………. EPS Idv have some hits around the 30th to 1st. The better look is around the 5th-6th when we have a colder airmass. I would say we have a chance but better shot inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 8 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: was he referring to SNE and or here ? - they can end up with a boat load of snow and we get zip...……... He thinks the pacific will be better than what it is now. Of course we also need the cold. Having the MJO possibly go into 1 and 2 will help if it does go into those phases. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 13 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: was he referring to SNE and or here ? - they can end up with a boat load of snow and we get zip...……... And of course the opposite happens quite often too. Especially for areas N & W of the city. People only remember the ones SNE cashes in on. When their to far east and in the warmer air everyone forgets those, especially in southern coastal CT, RI and MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Can`t get any closer to p8 than that Verification for the previous 7 days The GFS gets this into p8 for a day. So let`s see if that happens and that idea was at least right as the wave is collapsing. They agree on the next 7 days that we are in the middle of the Null p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Models really like the Jan 31 through Feb 2 time frame for storminess. There's a good +PNA spike ahead of it that helps with the two branches phasing. GFS has consistently shown some sort of east coast storm for 5+ consecutive runs now. A bombing coastal is one way to get snow in a poor airmass. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Models really like the Jan 31 through Feb 2 time frame for storminess. GFS has consistently shown some sort of east coast storm for 5+ consecutive runs now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 GFS with the day 10 superbowl bomb. It gets down to 954mb as it reaches our latitude while showing snow for areas only NW. I think not! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 maybe this one will happen! 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 On 1/19/2020 at 2:39 PM, Snow88 said: A week out and you know this ? he did 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 540 down in southern VA but still liquid - not going to get it done with this lousy setup - this is probably closer to reality IMO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: Oh yea! The old hr 240 snowstorm. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: Oh yea! The old hr 240 snowstorm. It's a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: maybe this one will happen! Extremely marginal PAC airmass in place and that’s putting it nicely, no arctic high in SE Canada, +EPO, no strong 50/50 low, no -NAO block to stop it from becoming an inland runner/lakes cutter should it amp up....what could possibly go wrong?? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Not a bad h5 set up but the airmass is kind of meh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 8 hours ago, NEG NAO said: the place to be is on a fishing boat parked in the middle of that dark red area off the Monmouth County NJ coast - 30 miles or so Of course it will happen because I'll be in Florida for a Bar Mitzvah. As long as this isn't a coastal storm that runs all the way up the few days before so I have good weather for the drive down leaving here Thursday the 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: Of course it will happen because I'll be in Florida for a Bar Mitzvah. As long as this isn't a coastal storm that runs all the way up the few days before so I have good weather for the drive down leaving here Thursday the 30th. You wouldn't be missing much from the looks of that..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 No but every week it doesn't snow 5" or so I fall that much further behind average from here on out. This would get me pretty close to 20" on the season which is just about right for the beginning of Feb, a little short but not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 What is the date of the last Miller A to hit the east coast?? We were so spoiled it seems like 5 years ago. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 6 hours ago, sussexcountyobs said: Oh yea! The old hr 240 snowstorm. Old and ever present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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