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Mid to Long Range Threats


Rjay
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  On 3/3/2020 at 5:54 PM, snowman19 said:

I should have said *total misses for snow* 

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Agree.

The Canadian is really painful  976 at the BM - 5 at 850  - 1 at 925 , 1 inch of liquid right along the coast and 37 LOL.

But we have been posting the BL issues in here for the last few days so no one should be shocked. 

 

 

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  On 3/3/2020 at 5:43 PM, PB-99 said:

 

No

37 B/L is the issue.

 

1583582400-dT0TRdY130o.png

 

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If this was 50mi NW, it wouldn’t be as much of an issue. The issue is that it seems like light-mod precip which wouldn’t provide the dynamics needed to cool the column. Could that happen? Maybe, I’d lean towards not given the atrocious overall pattern. 

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  On 3/3/2020 at 6:59 PM, PB-99 said:

 

You were never close. 

 

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The blocking is the issue, the phase doesn’t happen because the southern stream kicks due east. While the northern stream wave gives us the light snow showers and or rain. If this would have phased, it would have been a monster and we would have had a blizzard 

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  On 3/3/2020 at 7:04 PM, SnowFeen1 said:

The blocking is the issue, the phase doesn’t happen because the southern stream kicks due east. While the northern stream wave gives us the light snow showers and or rain. If this would have phased, it would have been a monster and we would have had a blizzard 

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But the fast PAC flow was pointed out. The flow was never buckled enough to drive the height falls all the way N. 

The ridge just rolled over and it could not phase. 

 

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  On 3/3/2020 at 7:07 PM, PB-99 said:

But the fast PAC flow was pointed out. The flow was never buckled enough to drive the height falls all the way N. 

The ridge just rolled over and it could not phase. 

 

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Next storm the one you just pointed out to Anthony, there may be some blocking with that one, still way too early to call anything but that’s like our last grasp.

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  On 3/3/2020 at 7:07 PM, PB-99 said:

But the fast PAC flow was pointed out. The flow was never buckled enough to drive the height falls all the way N. 

The ridge just rolled over and it could not phase. 

 

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It was obvious as could possibly be that Fri - Sat was doomed before it even began, well to some at least. 3/13 is totally bogus too 

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  On 3/3/2020 at 9:07 PM, Brian5671 said:

02-03 (President's day blizzard) followed 01-02 and 12-13 (great New England blizzard) after the dud of 11-12 so there's hope for next year

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I don’t know. I think we’ve entered a period of mild winters becoming the norm. Snow may become more and more rare in this region. We shall see though.

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