bluewave Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 The Pacific Jet continues to set records. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Unbelievable Good track and still rain for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/7/2020 at 10:39 PM, MJO812 said: Unbelievable Good track and still rain for the coast Expand Garbage airmass, no blocking. And that’s the severely cold-biased op GFS showing that, not to worry, that’ll verify as an all rain event for our entire forum by Thursday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 12:33 AM, snowman19 said: Garbage airmass, no blocking. And that’s the severely cold-biased op GFS showing that, not to worry, that’ll verify as an all rain event for our entire forum by Thursday Expand Pretty much. I won’t be optimistic at all for anything until those underlying conditions change. This likely rides the crazy SE ridge like the rest and cuts inland at the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 12:33 AM, snowman19 said: Garbage airmass, no blocking. And that’s the severely cold-biased op GFS showing that, not to worry, that’ll verify as an all rain event for our entire forum by Thursday Expand Unfortunately I agree, I would be surprised if the final outcome isn't a lot a warmer than whats being depicted on the GFS. It has just an absolutely nonexistent winter basically anywhere south of I84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 That day 4-5 threat is very interesting for the NYC area with potential for at least a few inches of accumulating snow. ICON and GFS hinting at this well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 4:08 PM, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: That day 4-5 threat is very interesting for the NYC area with potential for at least a few inches of accumulating snow. ICON and GFS hinting at this well Expand Hopefully it stays like that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 What are the odds in the next day or two the HP in Canada disappears and the storm cuts? Looks good now, I'll start buying in on Monday. Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 4:17 PM, Barman49 said: What are the odds in the next day or two the HP in Canada disappears and the storm cuts? Looks good now, I'll start buying in on Monday. Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk Expand Still interesting tracking today and tomm but by ..mon oz their should be some clarity.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 4:43 PM, NYCSNOWMAN2020 said: Still interesting tracking today and tomm but by ..mon oz their should be some clarity.. Expand 12Z GEM onboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 4:49 PM, NEG NAO said: 12Z GEM onboard Expand It has less than an inch of snow, total. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2020020812&fh=180 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 4:57 PM, snowman19 said: It has less than an inch of snow, total. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2020020812&fh=180 Expand has same general idea totals don't matter yet - lets see if suppressed EURO trends towards the others - the pattern doesn't support the suppressed idea IMO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 4:57 PM, snowman19 said: It has less than an inch of snow, total. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2020020812&fh=180 Expand Not the point 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Georgia 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 6:05 PM, MJO812 said: Georgia Expand favorable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Euro looks like it'll cut. No high up in Canada. Edit: Yup, cutter. Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 6:23 PM, Barman49 said: Euro looks like it'll cut. No high up in Canada. Edit: Yup, cutter. Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk Expand different then other OP 12Z models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 6:23 PM, Barman49 said: Euro looks like it'll cut. No high up in Canada. Edit: Yup, cutter. Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk Expand It does. It doesn't mean it will verify though. I believe it was wrong with yesterday's low in the medium range. It had it well west of our area at this time frame and we all know it basically went over the area. It has not been good this winter just like all the rest. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 12Z GEFS is trending north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 6:33 PM, HeadInTheClouds said: It does. It doesn't mean it will verify though. I believe it was wrong with yesterday's low in the medium range. It had it well west of our area at this time frame and we all know it basically went over the area. It has not been good this winter just like all the rest. Expand Euro - UKIE somewhat similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 6:40 PM, NEG NAO said: Euro is by itself Expand Ukie is similiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Even the 12Z is similar to GFS - GEM - GEFS trending north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 6:33 PM, HeadInTheClouds said: It does. It doesn't mean it will verify though. I believe it was wrong with yesterday's low in the medium range. It had it well west of our area at this time frame and we all know it basically went over the area. It has not been good this winter just like all the rest. I'm not saying it's right or wrong. No model has been great but I'd rather have the Euro showing snow than the icon. Curious what the ensemble will show. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 6:56 PM, Barman49 said: I'm not saying it's right or wrong. No model has been great but I'd rather have the Euro showing snow than the icon. Curious what the ensemble will show. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk Expand Absolutely. ICON is terribad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 6:59 PM, HeadInTheClouds said: Absolutely. ICON is terribad. Expand WPC has some precip mid - late week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 6:59 PM, HeadInTheClouds said: Absolutely. ICON is terribad. Expand once again the upper air configuration and the HP to the north if it can build in Quebec at the right timing will determine the track of LP 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Party like it’s the 1990’s 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 7:05 PM, NEG NAO said: once again the upper air configuration and the HP to the north if it can build in Quebec at the right timing will determine the track of LPThat's it. The GFS has a 1030 the Canadian 1040. The Euro nothing. Hopefully the Euro picks up on this going forward. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Snow mean on the eps through day 15 is 1-2 inches lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/8/2020 at 7:47 PM, Allsnow said: Snow mean on the eps through day 15 is 1-2 inches lol. Expand Hopefully it's wrong because I have never been this bored before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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