romba Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 5:00 PM, Snow88 said: The Rivera game was a great game I was so happy when he blew it. Expand I hope they over-salt your street 4 times in anticipation of this weekends blockbuster 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 4:56 PM, Hitman said: I was fortunate to be at all of those games. Good times. my seats were a few rows from the field out in left, where the Wall started to get higher. I’ll never forget seeing those balls flying into the seats especially the Boone shot.2001 was the hardest one. With what happened with the attack and then those comebacks in the home games you didn't think there was a chance they wouldn't win. I remember when Soriano hit the HR off Schilling I thought it was over. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 4:50 PM, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I was at the Tino GS vs Langston game too. I remember this huge guy about 5 rows in front of me that made me look like a midget, and I'm 6 2, 210, pulled his chair out of the ground and raised it over his head while he was cheering after the homer. I may have had a few that night, and I know those chairs were bolted in the ground, so it was either loose, or he was Superman, but still one of the more impressive feats of strength I've ever seen at a baseball game.And yes that may have been the loudest game I've ever attended. It felt like the upper deck might fall and crush us. Expand That 2 -2 pitch tho.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 We shift the vortex from Alaska to Greenland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Hello Europe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 5:51 PM, PB-99 said: We shift the vortex from Alaska to Greenland Expand 384 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 5:00 PM, Snow88 said: The Rivera game was a great game I was so happy when he blew it. Expand Howdy' 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 I hate snow and even I know it's wayyy too early too say it's overSent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 6:08 PM, Dan76 said: Howdy' Expand Jorge grounded out to end the game. Was at that one too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 6:03 PM, Snow88 said: 384 Expand That`s aimed at Europe, not here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 5:33 PM, PB-99 said: That 2 -2 pitch tho.... Expand Yep, with an automated strike zone he probably goes down looking, but even if he did they weren't losing that series. No one was beating them in 98. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 6:03 PM, Snow88 said: 384 Expand Their verification scores at 384 must be around 90%, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Weeklies basically saying it’s over! We are above normal until mid March. I would welcome a early spring. Yes, we can still snow but any deep winter pattern is definitely trashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 8:53 PM, Allsnow said: Weeklies basically saying it’s over! We are above normal until mid March. I would welcome a early spring. Yes, we can still snow but any deep winter pattern is definitely trashed. Expand wow-the weeklies are usually like JB, holding out to the bitter end. If they say it's over it's over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 8:57 PM, Brian5671 said: wow-the weeklies are usually like JB, holding out to the bitter end. If they say it's over it's over. Expand They really have not bought into any type of cold/snowy pattern. They did a good job in sniffing out the dateline ridge in January and rna pattern for February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 8:53 PM, Allsnow said: Weeklies basically saying it’s over! We are above normal until mid March. I would welcome a early spring. Yes, we can still snow but any deep winter pattern is definitely trashed. Expand I’d say get it over with and be done with “winter” if we won’t go into any sustained cold pattern with snow. I’m fine with wall to wall warm then. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 9:09 PM, jm1220 said: I’d say get it over with and be done with “winter” if we won’t go into any sustained cold pattern with snow. I’m fine with wall to wall warm then. Expand Yeah. With the Mjo going into p4-5-6 I think the response could be pretty warm in mid February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 8:53 PM, Allsnow said: Weeklies basically saying it’s over! We are above normal until mid March. I would welcome a early spring. Yes, we can still snow but any deep winter pattern is definitely trashed. Expand Just looked after I saw your post and if they are correct, wow, say goodnight and goodbye winter 19-20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 9:12 PM, Allsnow said: Yeah. With the Mjo going into p4-5-6 I think the response could be pretty warm in mid February. Expand Agree with you here, that look by mid-February and beyond isn’t just above normal, it looks way above normal. This winter has been Deja Vu 2011-2012, it’s uncanny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 8:53 PM, Allsnow said: Weeklies basically saying it’s over! We are above normal until mid March. I would welcome a early spring. Yes, we can still snow but any deep winter pattern is definitely trashed. Expand Didnt the weeklies have a good pattern going into February? I dont want to see long range forecasts next winter. They rarely pan out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 10:13 PM, Snow88 said: Didnt the weeklies have a good pattern going into February? I dont want to see long range forecasts next winter. They rarely pan out. Expand 18z GFS just shows how bad winter has been for most of us for the Feb 7th storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 10:13 PM, Snow88 said: Didnt the weeklies have a good pattern going into February? I dont want to see long range forecasts next winter. They rarely pan out. Expand They were actually pretty spot on this year though. Not one was sustained on showing cold and snowy, but we all had our reasons. I'm doing a lot of head scratching and I think I allowed myself to think that maybe they weren't seeing something right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 This was a great tweet. I have been saying this for a while about old analogs not matching the new climate. The expansion of the WPAC warm pool has been favoring these warmer MJO phases for us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 9:57 PM, snowman19 said: Agree with you here, that look by mid-February and beyond isn’t just above normal, it looks way above normal. This winter has been Deja Vu 2011-2012, it’s uncanny Expand 2011-2012 seems to be the trajectory given the CONUS wide torch and rather dry weather too. Pretty much every indicator out there screams warm/dry too. We'll def know by mid Feb. That's the last time we've had a huge dud so we're due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 10:27 PM, bluewave said: This was a great tweet. I have been saying this for a while about old analogs not matching the new climate. The expansion of the WPAC warm pool has been favoring these warmer MJO phases for us. Expand If this expansion is correct which it appears to be then could winter as we know it be over? If every year will favor MJO 4-6 then what would this mean, is it a forever change or temporary? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 10:27 PM, bluewave said: This was a great tweet. I have been saying this for a while about old analogs not matching the new climate. The expansion of the WPAC warm pool has been favoring these warmer MJO phases for us. Expand I honestly think people use analogs way too much. Back in October NOAA released this: https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/winter-outlook-warmer-than-average-for-many-wetter-in-north They honestly nailed this winter back in the beginning of October for us, but notice they bombed for Alaska. But that didn't stop JB and Twitter WX from saying EPIC COLD AND SNOW!! Perhaps we should all do what NOAA does: "NOAA’s seasonal outlooks provide the likelihood that temperatures and total precipitation amounts will be above-, near- or below-average, and how drought conditions are favored to change. The outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations as snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance. Even during a warmer-than-average winter, periods of cold temperatures and snowfall are expected." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Great track and of course a rainstorm Please end this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 10:27 PM, bluewave said: This was a great tweet. I have been saying this for a while about old analogs not matching the new climate. The expansion of the WPAC warm pool has been favoring these warmer MJO phases for us. Expand I agree 100%. Enso states, analogs, snow cover, and NPAC warm pools are becoming less informative on the coming winter. It’s really all about the Pv and mjo. Stuff that is very hard to predict from months in advance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 10:27 PM, bluewave said: This was a great tweet. I have been saying this for a while about old analogs not matching the new climate. The expansion of the WPAC warm pool has been favoring these warmer MJO phases for us. Expand They really changed their tune after their horrible December forecast. Good for them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 10:27 PM, bluewave said: This was a great tweet. I have been saying this for a while about old analogs not matching the new climate. The expansion of the WPAC warm pool has been favoring these warmer MJO phases for us. Expand Great find. IMO, those who assume a static climate put themselves at greater risk of error in extended range and subseasonal forecasting where the risk of error is already high. The paper to which you posted a link referencing a longer residence of the MJO in the Maritime Continent phases is but one example. Bamwx deserves a lot of credit for being open to what the evidence is suggesting, even if it means changing forecasting approaches and questioning the premises deployed in making forecasts. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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