Brasiluvsnow Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 10:26 PM, Snow88 said: Dr No has been awful this winter Cmc just had a big upgrade Expand CMC and the GEM = the same model correct ? asking for a friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 10:28 PM, Brasiluvsnow said: CMC and the GEM = the same model correct ? asking for a friend Expand Same model bud 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 10:28 PM, Brasiluvsnow said: CMC and the GEM = the same model correct ? asking for a friend Expand Yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 10:28 PM, Brasiluvsnow said: CMC and the GEM = the same model correct ? asking for a friend Expand CMC is the Canadian Meteorological Centre where GEM is the product, the Global Environmental Musticale Model 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 10:29 PM, weatherpruf said: Umm, they will certainly not be celebrating a hit up there. I know many people there. They feel lucky when a snow storm fizzles....if you like snow and cold, Maine is your place. Though upstate NY is harsher. Expand Syracuse is my place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Hey Allsnow , your storm keeps popping up on the gfs for the 7th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 10:26 PM, Snow88 said: I see Allsnow laughing but its the truth.Who cares about temps this far out ? Gfs sucks with thermals. Expand Not to mention the GFS is underestimating the precip on the western side of the storm. Its an issue I've seen this model do at times in the past with the big storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Pretty bad info given, the GFS wasn’t a “solid hit” unless 1-2 inches total is considered a solid hit now: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnowd&runtime=2020012618&fh=198 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 10:49 PM, Mersky said: How do the temps look?? Expand Keep trolling and see what happens 2 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 What a weenie run for the area on the gfs. Storm after storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 The pattern doesn't look great but we will have our shots this month especially early and late. We have pulled a rabbit out a hat quite often since 2000. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 10:53 PM, snowman19 said: Pretty bad info given, the GFS wasn’t a “solid hit” unless 1-2 inches total is considered a solid hit now: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnowd&runtime=2020012618&fh=198 Expand It certainly is this year lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 11:12 PM, Snow88 said: What a weenie run for the area on the gfs. Storm after storm. Expand I don’t think I’ve ever seen a run like that before. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 11:17 PM, Rjay said: It certainly is this year lol Expand This is true My biggest so far is 1.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 11:17 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: I don’t think I’ve ever seen a run like that before. Expand We have. I remember some gfs runs from 2010-2011 when it was snow storm after snow storm for the entire run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 11:19 PM, Rjay said: We have. I remember some gfs runs from 2010-2011 when it was snow storm after snow storm for the entire run. Expand What ended up verifying? Rain and cutters I’m assuming lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 11:38 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: What ended up verifying? Rain and cutters I’m assuming lol Expand A couple snow storms, a couple rain storms and a couple misses/never happened. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 11:38 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: What ended up verifying? Rain and cutters I’m assuming lol Expand My point was we've seen this before lol. One storm at a time Tony. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 11:38 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: What ended up verifying? Rain and cutters I’m assuming lol Expand 61.9 inches of it verified at Central Park 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 We have a week for this to come together. You don’t want to see us in the bullseye this early. The fact that they are all showing something is encouraging. A well placed strong storm will dynamically cool the atmosphere and make snow. Start Worrying Thursday if things look crappy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 I like the threat for next weekend. Haven’t been watching that closely but the ingredients are there for a big one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 On 1/27/2020 at 12:00 AM, NJwx85 said: I like the threat for next weekend. Haven’t been watching that closely but the ingredients are there for a big one. Expand It's all about timing with the northern and southern streams which always makes me skeptical in these thread the needle setups. Not to mention the Euro is either out to lunch or onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 On 1/26/2020 at 11:19 PM, Rjay said: We have. I remember some gfs runs from 2010-2011 when it was snow storm after snow storm for the entire run. Expand At least that winter had a great pattern for those 6 weeks. This year's pattern has none of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 On 1/27/2020 at 12:41 AM, NutleyBlizzard said: It's all about timing with the northern and southern streams which always makes me skeptical in these thread the needle setups. Not to mention the Euro is either out to lunch or onto something. Expand Out to lunch since the ensembles are west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 On 1/27/2020 at 12:57 AM, Snow88 said: Out to lunch since the ensembles are west. Expand I'm pretty sure you mean the 12z EPS cause even though it only goes out to 144hrs, the 18z EPS are even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 On 1/27/2020 at 1:41 AM, NutleyBlizzard said: I'm pretty sure you mean the 12z EPS cause even though it only goes out to 144hrs, the 18z EPS are even better. Expand Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Navgem looks like it’s brewing something big 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 On 1/27/2020 at 2:31 AM, NYCweatherNOW said: Navgem looks like it’s brewing something big Expand Inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 GFS caves to euro, OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 On 1/27/2020 at 4:06 AM, David-LI said: GFS caves to euro, OTS. Expand not totally yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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