Baltimorewx Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 52 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: I think many were surprised yesterday with the coverage. We don’t get that luck two days in a row. The air mass today feels a touch more bearable versus yesterday. Not to me over here in the Baltimore region. It’s more humid today than yesterday for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 23, 2020 Author Share Posted June 23, 2020 24 minutes ago, high risk said: mesoanalysis currently shows 3000+ sfc-based cape for much of the region.... that said, most of the CAMs are not as enthusiastic as they were yesterday and seem to favor locations north and northwest of DC Looks like DCAPE is where we really took a hit versus yesterday. Down AOB 500 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 20 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Looks like DCAPE is where we really took a hit versus yesterday. Down AOB 500 today. ML Lapse rates are poop and the shear is really lacking. This is isolated wet microburst / flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 been cloudier today up my way, 83/74 currently. about the same as yesterday. saw the flash flood watch to my west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Mes'd from WPC for flash flooding . Kinda surprised given the radar but I guess there is some activity up that way and there was a nice thump of rain yesterday in that area. Does seem like even those storms likely miss north and west unless there is more development. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Just now, osfan24 said: Kinda surprised given the radar but I guess there is some activity up that way and there was a nice thump of rain yesterday in that area. Much quieter than yesterday. That said I still didn’t get a drop of rain yesterday and I probably won’t today either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Highest SBCAPE values in a long time, pocket of 4,000 J/kg centered right over me. Forecast has the highest chance of precip late tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Just now, Baltimorewx said: Much quieter than yesterday. That said I still didn’t get a drop of rain yesterday and I probably won’t today either I didn't end up really cashing in like I thought I would yesterday but I still got something. Crazy you missed it completely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 12 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Wow...radar looked good for Baltimore. I know west Baltimore did real well . Where r u ? East , southeast side . Yeah, East. Dundalk. The southern portion of that storm just fizzled out rain got to about White Marsh but no further south than that. Just some dark clouds here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 This storm in Germantown is so lovely. Tons of lightning and wind and rain and it popped up out of nowhere. I heard the first crack of thunder before there was anything on the radar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Just now, ErinInTheSky said: This storm in Germantown is so lovely. Tons of lightning and wind and rain and it popped up out of nowhere. I heard the first crack of thunder before there was anything on the radar. Just noticed that one myself. Quick popcorn development on that one. Looks like it’s pretty much heading due north? Been some weird movement to some of these storms too the last few days, hard to track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said: Just noticed that one myself. Quick popcorn development on that one. Looks like it’s pretty much heading due north? Been some weird movement to some of these storms too the last few days, hard to track It’s been a very slow mover. Kind of just meandering. I’ve loved it, one of the better rain and lightning storms this last week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 And just like that, some popping around the metro area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, osfan24 said: And just like that, some popping around the metro area. Like someone flipped a switch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Any chance of rotation with these storms today? I'll defer to those more knowledgeable... Looks like a little rotation passing through Inwood right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Hey! I may actually get some rain from an isolated storm to my southwest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Ummmm. Is there some rotation on that Catonsville storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Got severed. Lots of thunder, lightning, and rain, but nothing too heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 1 minute ago, Scraff said: Ummmm. Is there some rotation onthat Catonsville storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 15 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Back building around Baltimore Still missing most of it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Thought there might have been a very tiny bit of rotation on the Catonsville storm. The lightning that is striking way outside of the storms is incredible right now. The storm in Baltimore just had a lightning strike around Laurel. I wanted to try to go running but got chased back inside by lightning. Lightning so far away from the storm is making it impossible to go out right now because you don't know when you are safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Getting slaughtered here in Roland park/Hampden area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 Great storm. Not much wind but a ton of T&L...torrential rain and pretty long duration too. 1.27" from that one. 1.65" for the day so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 Maybe a lil something this afternoon from DC south? Morning AFD from LWX seems to think so: As instability builds, showers and thunderstorms are expected to form across the area this afternoon and persist through the evening hours. Very weak flow is in place at low- levels, but decent shear exists in the mid-levels, along with counterclockwise curvature in the hodograph. With the jet core overhead, strong speed shear continues all the way to the equilibrium level. With supercellular shear in place, and counterclockwise curvature in the hodograph, wouldn`t be surprised to see some left movers today. Given the long hodographs with strong speed shear at mid-upper levels, some storms may be capable of producing severe hail, especially to the south and east of DC where instability is greatest. While flow will be weak at low-levels, some models hint at inverted V type soundings, especially to the north and west of I-95, where there`s a bit less low-level moisture. These inverted V profiles will aid in accelerating downdrafts, and could result in at least some potential for damaging winds in any stronger storms that form. Think that the tornado potential is near zero, given the lack of low-level flow. In terms of timing, storms could form as early as noon over the higher terrain. As the afternoon progresses, these storms should work east across the area, with the best chance for storms in the metro areas falling between roughly 4 and 8 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 I missed out all weekend and on Tuesday so bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 5 hours ago, yoda said: Maybe a lil something this afternoon from DC south? Morning AFD from LWX seems to think so: today definitely has sneaky potential. as noted by LWX, low level shear is miserable, but deep layer shear is really good, and there is also a fair amount of downdraft cape. I'd say now that while the best threat is definitely south of DC, where the better instability will reside, I'd say "I-70 and points south" for the threat, as the HRRR has definitely trended further north with good reflectivity signals since LWX wrote that discussion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 Ava had their futurecast on this morning, storms popping 3-5pm in central maryland. obviously take it with a grain of salt, but i could go for another afternoon of thunderstorms 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 Another nice thunderstorm here in Germantown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 absolute torrential downpour. there will be some severe reports from this line. i'm on the southern edge, but still getting my money's worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 Chesapeake bay shields activated for the cell that was crossing over the bay towards me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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