nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 The gfs. You’re kidding me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 GFS at 0z had the ull over Chicago....12z over paducah ky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 GFS is a paster for the good spots lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 GFS is trying. Still not there for the cities, but every run gets a bit closer. We might have a legit event to track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS is trying. Still not there for the cities, but every run gets a bit closer. We might have a legit event to track. GEFS will be telling. Will be looking for any shift east in low track. It really wouldn't take much for a shift east of about 100 miles at a 5 day lead. So close and yet so far away given the winter we've had up to this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS is trying. Still not there for the cities, but every run gets a bit closer. We might have a legit event to track. Now it’s just small adjustments for the cities. Interesting. Very. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS is trying. Still not there for the cities, but every run gets a bit closer. We might have a legit event to track. Getting real close, looks like Dr. No was on to something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Just now, Solution Man said: Getting real close, looks like Dr. No was on to something We’re talking miles as PWC is split in half now R/S. Not a bad place to be 5 days out in peak climo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 Absolutely craziest storm evolution/track I’ve ever seen. Maybe more experienced people have seen similar but I can’t think of a time that I’ve ever seen this. You can still count me in the I’m not a believer camp. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Absolutely craziest storm evolution/track I’ve ever seen. Maybe more experienced people have seen similar but I can’t think of a time that I’ve ever seen this. You can still count me in the I’m not a believer camp. It's much more like a mid march storm than Jan. Slow rolling cutoff under a big upper level ridge is a spring pattern. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Now it’s just small adjustments for the cities. Interesting. Very. Plenty of time to have the system get under us; a little bit each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: We’re talking miles as PWC is split in half now R/S. Not a bad place to be 5 days out in peak climo. Correct Bristow, a good spot 5 days out. Best chance this year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 It's much more like a mid march storm than Jan. Slow rolling cutoff under a big upper level ridge is a spring pattern. Exactly what I thought yesterday. Sign of the times..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: It's much more like a mid march storm than Jan. Slow rolling cutoff under a big upper level ridge is a spring pattern. March like storm in Jan. That has to be good...or not. Can’t get better time climo wise. Who knows. It’s tracking so what the hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Just a couple more ticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Crazy trends, would be fitting for something to almost kind of just pop up out of nowhere and give us our awaited storm in a set up that isnt ideal. But I guess my question is how much better can this trend? I guess we can get it done with dynamics but with a stale cold air mass im just not sure how cold it can get in the metros 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 I wonder what would happen if that gulf coast low didn’t transfer north. Would it climb the coast? And yeah, a March type storm in January? I’ll admit it’s got me seeing visions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 There is obviously a lot more too it than this simple .gif of the surface, but you can't hate where its going. ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 we need @psuhoffman to tell us how this can happen and why it wont....does anyone have any information about the FEb 88 storm...it was 53 degrees before the storm and we got a foot of snow with temps in the 36-37 range 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: March like storm in Jan. That has to be good...or not. Can’t get better time climo wise. Who knows. It’s tracking so what the hell Brother, you're either all in or all out. You decide. If you're in, I nominate you to start the thread, on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: There is obviously a lot more too it than this simple .gif of the surface, but you can't hate where its going. ninja'd You could get rid of that area of low pressure in Ohio 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 WB 12z GFS. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ji said: we need @psuhoffman to tell us how this can happen and why it wont....does anyone have any information about the FEb 88 storm...it was 53 degrees before the storm and we got a foot of snow with temps in the 36-37 range Then it can be done with our current setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 im more interested in bobs storm 10 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Good thing is our energy that gets the ball rolling is diving through the plains at inside 72 hrs....so that's short range . lol always looking for the positive. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ji said: we need @psuhoffman to tell us how this can happen and why it wont....does anyone have any information about the FEb 88 storm...it was 53 degrees before the storm and we got a foot of snow with temps in the 36-37 range That was Feb 87. Temps hit upper 40s where i was but were at 37 when it started and hoovered around 32 all storm. Was a triple phaser actually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Mersky said: i forget which winter it was but a couple of years ago we had january storms and january like cold in march. thats every winter DT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Ji said: im more interested in bobs storm 10 days out Let’s see if that gulf coast low jumps to Kentucky as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Just now, Huffwx said: That was Feb 87. Temps hit upper 40s where i was but were at 37 when it started and hoovered around 32 all storm. Was a triple phaser actually. that storm was nuts...so picturesqe...heaviest wet snow ive ever seen. think it all melted the next day lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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