stormtracker Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 3 hours ago, stormtracker said: It's going to be there 12z run. Promise. It's still there! But we get the screw! Bidness as usual..carry on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 WB 12Z Canadian snowfall thru Day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 27 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: No signs of meaningful changes in the HL on the ensembles. Our best shot at a more favorable pattern towards the end of the month probably still lies with some changes on the Pacific side- to get the ridge to migrate further east. Given the persistence there all winter, that's not much to hang onto either lol. Pretty much given up on that. Get a day of two of better looks/trends in that direction and yet inevitably it slides backwards. Has happened pretty much every time. Been one of the more frustrating winters in that regards because it wouldn't really take much in the way of shifting that PAC ridging eastward to get a somewhat half decent setup despite no N Atl help. Whatever. Think I am going to do what others have been discussing and travel to the snow. That is if I can get a decent storm to time up around the weekend in a local that is within 3-4 hours driving distance. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 34 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's still there! But we get the screw! Bidness as usual..carry on Lol. I’m grasping at straws... I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 12 Z EPS still not biting over the next 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 35 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's still there! But we get the screw! Bidness as usual..carry on Exactly. While slightly IMBY, I’m not seeing much to get excited about. Where’s the high pressure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 16 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Pretty much given up on that. Get a day of two of better looks/trends in that direction and yet inevitably it slides backwards. Has happened pretty much every time. Been one of the more frustrating winters in that regards because it wouldn't really take much in the way of shifting that PAC ridging eastward to get a somewhat half decent setup despite no N Atl help. Whatever. Think I am going to do what others have been discussing and travel to the snow. That is if I can get a decent storm to time up around the weekend in a local that is within 3-4 hours driving distance. I’m a skier so I’ve been watching 40north and obviously they have a good chance at multiple events in he next two weeks. They actually do well with a neutral or slightly positive nao. We get screwed unfortunately. Checkout Burlington. It’s a cool spot. PF (powderfreak)in the New England forum works at Stowe and can give good recommendations on things to do if you don’t ski. Our chances improve if we get a modest ridge to develop over Idaho and a neutral Atlantic. I’m done speculating though. I’ll believe it when we’re within 3-4 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO Day 7 Still rain under 534 line. That’s chuckle worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: 12 Z EPS still not biting over the next 7 days. What about the mountains in WV? Like snowshoe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, ChesterfieldVa80 said: What about the mountains in WV? Like snowshoe That appears to be covered in the map above... if my map knowledge is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 EPS continues to advertise a workable look mid month including a much better AO presentation. I’ll get interested beyond a casual glance each run once it gets inside day 10. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO Day 7 This models showed a blizzard for the same areas for today a week ago. Guessing we trend the same way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 23 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: That appears to be covered in the map above... if my map knowledge is right. Above is a surface snapshot from European operational Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 Will the GFS throw us a bone this afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Will the GFS throw us a bone this afternoon? No. No it won’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: No. No it won’t. Glad the Superbowl is on, cause there's nothing to see here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 The trend continues this afternoon with the AO forecast going up to extreme levels. The OP targets + 7 and the EPS targets over + 6. Remarkable. And don't look for the PNA to help, as it dives negative. The AO may drop back down mid month but not sure the improvement, if you want to call it that, is simply a temporary cycle down until it goes back up later in the month. I don't see any real improvement in the NAM state any time soon. Maybe in early March on a meaningful and sustained level. If the AO correlation holds for Feb., then any snow opportunities in our area will be limited, and as for significant events ( greater than 6 inches ) are off the table all together. Keep in mind as well, any snow events that do show up in the long range or medium range always seem to trend to either coastal huger, cutter or far South and sheared. This has been going on since last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 22 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Glad the Superbowl is on, cause there's nothing to see here Although I must say I did learn the many reasons why it does not snow here So if this type winter ever shows up again I am solid on what the result will be. Actually I am wondering how it ever snows. There are like 47 ways for it not to snow and like 4 that allow it to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 12 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Although I must say I did learn the many reasons why it does not snow here So if this type winter ever shows up again I am solid on what the result will be. Actually I am wondering how it ever snows. There are like 47 ways for it not to snow and like 4 that allow it to snow. You sure about that? Lol Around here you cam never be completely solid on a result...particularly not when we just started February. All it takes is one storm...there have been a few winters where it did happen like that...snowless and then boom--a storm (like Feb 2006). Of course it's hard to know if that happens or not (although my inner snow weenie is intrigued about Day 10, lol), but it is always possible if we get a tiny window and manage to score. And with all the waves we still have coming at us, all it would take is for the more hostile elements of our atmosphere to let up just enough...so we'll see. Never any guarantees. Edit: Well, I'm a bit hypocritical on this when it comes to ninas....now those? In the future, I will feel very solid on how those will look even before they start, lol They're AWFUL! But I digress... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 Gfs hr 120! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 Happy hour GFS lol 10” for PSU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 1 minute ago, MD Snow said: Gfs hr 120! Huh...wonder what that's all about... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2020 Author Share Posted February 2, 2020 1 minute ago, MD Snow said: Gfs hr 120! Rain to snow works well here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Rain to snow works well here. I'm interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 Lol basically no accumulation unless you are in N MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 1 minute ago, yoda said: Lol basically no accumulation unless you are in N MD Map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, yoda said: Lol basically no accumulation unless you are in N MD But we take... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 18 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: You sure about that? Lol Around here you cam never be completely solid on a result...particularly not when we just started February. All it takes is one storm...there have been a few winters where it did happen like that...snowless and then boom--a storm (like Feb 2006). Of course it's hard to know if that happens or not (although my inner snow weenie is intrigued about Day 10, lol), but it is always possible if we get a tiny window and manage to score. And with all the waves we still have coming at us, all it would take is for the more hostile elements of our atmosphere to let up just enough...so we'll see. Never any guarantees. Edit: Well, I'm a bit hypocritical on this when it comes to ninas....now those? In the future, I will feel very solid on how those will look even before they start, lol They're AWFUL! But I digress... Solid like Jell-O. You are right. That was a mini rant. This winter has been exhausting and for that I am certain like concrete is solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 WB 12Z EURO Control throws a 7 Day bone to the NW suburbs. I am actually wanting to believe we will see something this coming weekend somewhere close by if not IMBY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 20 minutes ago, yoda said: Lol basically no accumulation unless you are in N MD Dont worry. Rain to snow works well around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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