BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, frd said: And where was the - EPO ? The driver that winter was the - EPO, and I believe and the warm pool in the NE Pac. At what point did the EPO tank? Early that winter was a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Rain I think that was about where it was at 12z (except 12 hours later) before it transferred and gave west of 95 something. (Hey I asked yesterday about why rain-to-snow was more rare around here. And I was wondering about how it happened with Commutageddon!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If we get a flip it’s unlikely to be solely mjo driven. Agreed. I am thinking you may mean the NAM state. A week ago, for a period of a few days, it appeared the NAM state may change to the better, at least neutral, along with some indications even going slightly negative. Now it is a steady + 1 to +2 AO . Getting anything to change up North has been a case in futility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 WB EURO at 12z looks like an improvement over 0z but still rain. 100-150 miles is doable over 5 days. At least it is something to track other than a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Euro colder at 12 on Sunday...Using 24 hour maps I can't tell what happened between 120 and 144... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I think that was about where it was at 12z (except 12 hours later) before it transferred and gave west of 95 something. (Hey I asked yesterday about why rain-to-snow was more rare around here. And I was wondering about how it happened with Commutageddon!) still close enough to track.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Euro colder at 12 on Sunday...Using 24 hour maps I can't tell what happened between 120 and 144... it rained 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Just now, Ji said: still close enough to track.... Indeed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Not certain how some are seeing the primary over Allentown now as an improvement on the ECM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Just now, RedSky said: Not certain how some are seeing the primary over Allentown now as an improvement on the ECM I'm with you, I just didn't say anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I'm with you, I just didn't say anything. Can't say improvement...but it remains close enough to track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 0z was much better. Angle of attack on the primary and transfer was much more favorable. Events like this usually drop some snow even with a west track. With the mids torching in front the only way to get real snow is to be west or nw of the low at all times. 0z was trying to do that. 12z isn't even close 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Looks like a good weekend to be in Canaan. Which just happens to be my plan. Wouldn’t mind a WSW event to materialize while I’m there! Sure beats praying for a miracle to see a sloppy inch in Montclair lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 there goes the chill storm...too slow and all the cold air is gone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 what a disaster run by the dr no...as expected 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 i think we can officially end winter today 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ji said: there goes the chill storm...too slow and all the cold air is gone It's so far out there and this winter has been such a dumpster fire that I can't believe anyone is actually paying attention to that already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 7 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Looks like a good weekend to be in Canaan. Which just happens to be my plan. Wouldn’t mind a WSW event to materialize while I’m there! Sure beats praying for a miracle to see a sloppy inch in Montclair lol Me Too! If I get snow in Canaan I am good with this dumpster fire of a winter! If it can’t snow there it can’t snow anywhere! Hopefully this storms winds up and we get favorable lake effect. I am there sat to to Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 hours ago, Ji said: we need @psuhoffman to tell us how this can happen and why it wont....does anyone have any information about the FEb 88 storm...it was 53 degrees before the storm and we got a foot of snow with temps in the 36-37 range Please no....keep him away. I'm convinced he is our hex. Seriously joking but since he decided to take a hiatus things began looking up. Funny how that works. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Please no....keep him away. I'm convinced he is our hex. Seriously joking but since he decided to take a hiatus things began looking up. Funny how that works. And right on cue next model up sh!t the bed. Cant make this stuff up lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 This is such a crazy setup that I think model swings might just be as crazy. Typically you’d get a bad feeling from the euro run but this time might be different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: This is such a crazy setup that I think model swings might just be as crazy. Typically you’d get a bad feeling from the euro run but this time might be different. Maybe things have a way to pan out for your area, but I just dont see a way to get metros and I95 into this ballgame 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is such a crazy setup that I think model swings might just be as crazy. Typically you’d get a bad feeling from the euro run but this time might be different. I tend to agree...the craziness of the setup certainly makes it worth keeping an eye on, imo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 13 minutes ago, GATECH said: Me Too! If I get snow in Canaan I am good with this dumpster fire of a winter! If it can’t snow there it can’t snow anywhere! Hopefully this storms winds up and we get favorable lake effect. I am there sat to to Tuesday I’m there Thursday night to Sunday. I was there for a week after Christmas. A couple of the days it was like 60 degrees. I did see some grappel one night lol. So I’m hoping for 6-12 out of this storm and I’ll be sound as a poynd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is such a crazy setup that I think model swings might just be as crazy. Typically you’d get a bad feeling from the euro run but this time might be different. There arent really crazy swings at the surface tho. Haven't seen one hit for I95 cities yet. This has been and still is a far inland and elevation event. Hope I bust wrong and we get plastered but not seeing it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 No way we know where that low will end up cutting too yet. We have a gulf low with HP over the top at 78 on the euro. It very well may end up an Apps runner. But we dont know yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: Just like any regional forum... the highest concentration of posters live in the densest population areas and vice versa. The densest posters live in the highest concentration population areas? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 9 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: No significant changes on the Eps for the weekend. If anything at h5 Eps is a bit south of the Op. Mean Lp local did bump a bit nw of last run but also some stronger lows in the mix . so still worth watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ji said: so still worth watching Unless you have ended winter 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Ji said: winter is over dude...its a total bust. now its just trying to salvage one storm. We have no snow so far this year in leesburg Wow. No snow in Leesburg? We have some posters who have lied. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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