showmethesnow Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 WB 18Z GFS on board for one run for the weekend. Anxious to see 18Z EPS in an hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2020 Author Share Posted February 2, 2020 Makes these maps believable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2020 Author Share Posted February 2, 2020 On 2/2/2020 at 10:14 PM, Solution Man said: I'm interested Expand That’s fine. So am I. Just don’t get emotionally invested. I think it’s actually possible but would like to see that low a little farther East a little faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 Nothing has been settled yet for the weekend. OPs aren’t really in range and until EPS on board I won’t be optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 On 2/2/2020 at 11:36 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: That’s fine. So am I. Just don’t get emotionally invested. I think it’s actually possible but would like to see that low a little farther East a little faster. Expand This is almost like wrap around and we know how that often goes. This is moisture chasing cold as depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 On 2/2/2020 at 11:33 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Makes these maps believable. Expand Only three people looking at the weather during the Super Bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 On 2/2/2020 at 10:29 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO Control throws a 7 Day bone to the NW suburbs. I am actually wanting to believe we will see something this coming weekend somewhere close by if not IMBY. Expand Talk about a gradient Wow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 On 2/2/2020 at 11:46 PM, Weather Will said: Only three people looking at the weather during the Super Bowl. Expand Super Bowl is boring. I’d rather look at weather maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 WB D’Aleo says consensus in the long range, 10 day plus growing. How far south the snow goes depending exactly how strong SE ridge will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/2/2020 at 11:52 PM, BristowWx said: Super Bowl is boring. I’d rather look at weather maps. Expand Commercials, and halftime show! Oh and food! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/2/2020 at 11:36 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: That’s fine. So am I. Just don’t get emotionally invested. I think it’s actually possible but would like to see that low a little farther East a little faster. Expand Yep, totally agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/2/2020 at 11:52 PM, BristowWx said: Super Bowl is boring. I’d rather look at weather maps. Expand Brother, we have lost you. Seem to remember back in the dim time when frontal boundaries would move far enough to occasionally benefit the mid Atlantic. Maybe this will be one of those times. One more jump to the SE by the lp and we'll be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 12:35 AM, Wonderdog said: Brother, we have lost you. Seem to remember back in the dim time when frontal boundaries would move far enough to occasionally benefit the mid Atlantic. Maybe this will be one of those times. One more jump to the SE by the lp and we'll be in business. Expand I’m fading Wonderdog. This winter has broken me like a circus elephant. Still have a dim light lit for late Feb. but it’s not looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 18Z EPS Day 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 3, 2020 Author Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 1:28 AM, Weather Will said: 18Z EPS Day 6 Expand That’s well after the gfs system. What does it look like 48 hours prior to that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 1:50 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: That’s well after the gfs system. What does it look like 48 hours prior to that? Expand That is a raging ++NAO. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 I don’t see any EPS support for any winter precip during this work week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Incoming on 0z 12k NAM at the end of its run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 2:45 AM, MD Snow said: Incoming on 0z 12k NAM at the end of its run. Expand NAM'd at the end of it's run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 2:45 AM, MD Snow said: Incoming on 0z 12k NAM at the end of its run. Expand Quick frozen to rain for most probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 3:10 AM, yoda said: Quick frozen to rain Expand Extendes nam?? Dgex lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 3:12 AM, Chris78 said: Extendes nam?? Dgex lol Expand Nah just following the 850/925 lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 3:10 AM, yoda said: Quick frozen to rain for most probably Expand While obviously acknowledging that it's not worth parsing details 84 hours out, that NAM solution verbatim at 12z Thursday has surface temps a few degrees below freezing in the local area, and even though the sfc high is shifting east across New England, surface winds in the mid-Atlantic are progged weak and from the northeast, suggesting a damming scenario that could persist well into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 3:37 AM, high risk said: While obviously acknowledging that it's not worth parsing details 84 hours out, that NAM solution verbatim at 12z Thursday has surface temps a few degrees below freezing in the local area, and even though the sfc high is shifting east across New England, surface winds in the mid-Atlantic are progged weak and from the northeast, suggesting a damming scenario that could persist well into Thursday. Expand Agree. I cant pull soundings on TT right now for some reason but surface is northerly and midlevel is WNW. It's a good setup for a long period of snow/mix/ice on the 12k NAM. Can't trust it but it provides some interesting things to look at and think about with future runs. We've backed out every single event this year as we approach the short range and this seems to be ripe for the same trends. The risk of trending warm/rainy over the next 2-3 days if far greater than trending cold/frozen. I'm personally not enthused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 3:59 AM, Bob Chill said: Agree. I cant pull soundings on TT right now for some reason but surface is northerly and midlevel is WNW. It's a good setup for a long period of snow/mix/ice on the 12k NAM. Can't trust it but it provides some interesting things to look at and think about with future runs. We've backed out every single event this year as we approach the short range and this seems to be ripe for the same trends. The risk of trending warm/rainy over the next 2-3 days if far greater than trending cold/frozen. I'm personally not enthused. Expand Gfs and icon went warmer so yeah NAM being nam at range likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 My attention is quickly turning to next Sundays potential. Go take a peak at hr180 of the 0z cmc. Gfs has something trying to get going in this timeframe as well along with the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On 2/3/2020 at 4:45 AM, MD Snow said: My attention is quickly turning to next Sundays potential. Go take a peak at hr180 of the 0z cmc. Gfs has something trying to get going in this timeframe as well along with the euro. Expand PSU is fringed on the CMC... so we are good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Gfs has a big winter storm middle of next week too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Nsm already fell apart. Way warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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