Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:20 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO for this weekend. Still a fish storm, but the fish are now getting wet on the Delmarva not off of the coast. Expand this storm was especially disappointing because had it been a legit noreaster, it would of been a heavy wet snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:19 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: The euro took a substantial jump nw. Not enough but noteworthy. Expand yes took us from drier to dry 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 Interesting that now both the gfs and the euro show a little light snow here on Thursday afternoon. ICON first floated this idea but then backed away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:23 PM, Ji said: yes took us from drier to dry Expand Gotta see the positives dude. The fact that the euro and UKIE took pretty radical jumps is indicative that there’s a lot up in the air with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 we cant even get snow with the ULL coming thru. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:24 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Gotta see the positives dude. The fact that the euro and UKIE took pretty radical jumps is indicative that there’s a lot up in the air with this one. Expand didnt the ukie go from wet and close to out to sea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:27 PM, Ji said: didnt the ukie go from wet and close to out to sea? Expand Yes. That’s my point. When good models are jumpy it tells me there’s a lot going on with this setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I know it is hard. But can we please keep the thread a little cleaner. I know we are all guilty of banner in the main threads... but it is starting to get out of control. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 5:51 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12z GEFS has about 40% of it Members with perfectly acceptable solutions for NEXT weekend. At least it is not looking like a torch for next weekend. Expand That's a positive ensemble run. The one constant I take away from this is the look to our NW. Theres enough cold for snow and 60-70% of members give western Maryland/pa some snow. Which to me means that there something can break a little more in our favor (inside 3-4 days). Just a WAG On 1/28/2020 at 6:13 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z Can. Ens. has about 30 percent for NEXT weekend. Expand Same thoughts. Like the look to our NW. Way better than a shut out, raging SE ridge look On 1/28/2020 at 6:19 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: The euro took a substantial jump nw. Not enough but noteworthy. Expand Ninja'd. I noticed the same. The trough is sharper but our wave is not tucked. Little too late. It will be cool if something popped inside 3 days On 1/28/2020 at 6:23 PM, Ji said: yes took us from drier to dry Expand Haha, that's too funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 4:11 PM, mappy said: No offense, but if you aren't interested in following the models and what could or could not happen, regardless of where you live and how big or small the unicorn is, then please don't comment anymore in this thread. Expand This is a weather discussion thread and not solely a model affirmation thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:35 PM, WEATHER53 said: This is a weather discussion thread and not solely a model affirmation thread Expand this is just a banter thread now anyways. have it at weenies, we can only ask yall so much to pull it together. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 The latest Euro is showing exactly what we want to see for this weekend. Notice the deep, deep drop we are now seeing in a very favorable locale for our region. If we were to see that SS energy/system running in front of it lag back another 6-12 hours we might very well be talking game on. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:44 PM, showmethesnow said: The latest Euro is showing exactly what we want to see for this weekend. Notice the deep, deep drop we are now seeing in a very favorable locale for our region. If we were to see that SS energy/system lag back another 6-12 hours we might very well be talking game on. Expand Showme to the rescue -- I don't care if you have to fudge the dates and post old snowmaps...anything to pull folks back from full tilt.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:45 PM, WEATHER53 said: Odd that model worship is wonderful but factually assessing them is “banter” Expand the post i quoted had no assessment to the models whatsoever. perhaps you have me confused with someone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:44 PM, showmethesnow said: The latest Euro is showing exactly what we want to see for this weekend. Notice the deep, deep drop we are now seeing in a very favorable locale for our region. If we were to see that SS energy/system lag back another 6-12 hours we might very well be talking game on. Expand why would the SS energy lag back 6-12 hours? thats an eternity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:47 PM, Ji said: why would the SS energy lag back 6-12 hours? thats an eternity? Expand crankyweatherguy @crankywxguy 34m34 minutes ago Lead system hasn't moved much if at all. Our incoming storm is starting to slow in response. The kicker won't. Eye on the lead system and how the storm system behaves in kind in its wake the next 24-30 hours. Refer to Videos for "why" that matters (1 of 2 capture related issues). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:43 PM, H2O said: Ok. Have at it, y'all. Its all yours. Enjoy winter. Expand if they only realized how it drives decent posters away...... ..........so in other weather news, GFS came towards the Euro, and the Euro came towards the GFS (ish). I still think this is in play for many, as we've seen too many jogs north in the last few years to ignore. does anyone know if they worked out the north trend in the new and improved FV3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:48 PM, PivotPoint said: Light banter keeps EVERYTHING readable.. If you have a problem with having to cruise past a couple banter posts when a full page is like 20 posts long, then the stick is very far up....lol Bring on the heat. It's that type of winter..... it will snow in 2020 wink wink Expand that might not even be the warmest day of next week lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:50 PM, MountainGeek said: crankyweatherguy @crankywxguy 34m34 minutes ago Lead system hasn't moved much if at all. Our incoming storm is starting to slow in response. The kicker won't. Eye on the lead system and how the storm system behaves in kind in its wake the next 24-30 hours. Refer to Videos for "why" that matters (1 of 2 capture related issues). Expand I still think this is more of an interesting situation for Cranky's backyard (Eastern NE) than here, but I still think this one's worth casually monitoring for another day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I fwe I feel like this look has loads of potential. Seriously though. Deep trough digging, ridge acres will slide east. High in the NE is probably to Far East at this frame but geez... could happen!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Euro has a Gulf storm brewing at the usual time frame(Day 9-10) after a pair of 70 degree days! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:47 PM, Ji said: why would the SS energy lag back 6-12 hours? thats an eternity? Expand I am thinking the odds of that SS energy/Storm lagging behind are much better then you stopping your Hissy Fit. By several orders of magnitude. 5 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:53 PM, Ji said: Euro has a Gulf storm brewing at the usual time frame(Day 9-10) after a pair of 70 degree days! Expand looks like its still too warm though...even after the cold comes after the front lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 6:57 PM, Ji said: looks like its still too warm though...even after the cold comes after the front lol Expand So you mean to tell me that we have something that looks like a 50/50 and it still rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 So is this warm temp projection for next week new or was it being ignored previously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 7:11 PM, stormtracker said: So you mean to tell me that we have something that looks like a 50/50 and it still rains. Expand looks like the surface temps are okay but too warm aloft lol...exact opposite of this weekend smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Way too early to know what will happen on DAY 10. WB EURO OP has 5 lows east of the Mississippi. Looks confused like the NAM usually does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 On 1/28/2020 at 7:11 PM, leesburg 04 said: So is this warm temp projection for next week new or was it being ignored previously? Expand we ignored it because the cold pattern was suppose to start after we hit 75 in early feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I'd guess it's trying to transfer from AL/GA to off ORF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 with the -NAO...my guess is the next panels...it would transter to the coast and begin to pound snow on us....looks like a wild/fun storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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