Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Ji said: Just can't phantom waiting 10 to 15 more days for a decent chance ugh 1 hour ago, Yeoman said: Phantom is more apropos than what you meant to say 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: The best Broadway play ever was The Fathom of the Opera 1 hour ago, Grothar of Herndon said: We know how the last act of the Phantom of the Snow opera plays out. For those not in know^^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Remember when the mods erased banter from these threads. Entertainment always wins out 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I like these names over member user names. I think Bob is the only member to ever have a storm verify that someone named. The other 999 that posters name for other posters end up in the sh!tter. Some sort of curse. PSU's infamous Jan 2011 storm is the high bar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 18 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Another one moves in a day later, lol. That 4 day span may change alot of opinions on this winter. We'll except for @Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 6 hours of timing could bring the weekend storm to the forefront of all the discussion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: 6 hours of timing could bring the weekend storm to the forefront of all the discussion. Im definitely not giving up. So many moving pieces. Especially the northern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 12 minutes ago, Ji said: Remember when the mods erased banter from these threads. Entertainment always wins out Context matters 1. It’s been awful 2. everyone is having fun with it 3. Everything is still a loooong ways out 4. No one is being a jerk or antagonizing anyone 5. No one is going overboard and trying to intentionally derail the thread. If people go too far and it turns ugly then moderation is needed. I’m not in favor of heavy mod. But in the past we have had a few people who didn’t have any concept of boundaries or common sense. Or they were intentionally trying to troll the thread over and over. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Anybody have the UKmet from earlier today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 WB UK 12z 3 minutes ago, MD Snow said: Anybody have the UKmet from earlier today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 WB 18Z GEFS prob of 3 inches or more thru Day 16. Note most of this probability is still 10+ days away. I am going to be very disappointed if there is nothing inside of 10 days by the end of next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2020 Author Share Posted January 27, 2020 10 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS prob of 3 inches or more thru Day 16. Note most of this probability is still 10+ days away. I am going to be very disappointed if there is nothing inside of 10 days by the end of next weekend. For all intents and purposes every one of these maps you post, no offense to you, look exactly the same. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: For all intents and purposes every one of these maps you post, no offense to you, look exactly the same. They always tell us the same thing- we suck at snow. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 44 minutes ago, Ji said: Remember when the mods erased banter from these threads. Entertainment always wins out There's nothing going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 21 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: They always tell us the same thing- we suck at snow. Yes but you can travel 100 miles north of the outer limits of our forum and they aren’t killing it either. 100 miles south and nothing but tears. We all suck at snow. Except for Maine. They don’t suck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Yes but you can travel 100 miles north of the outer limits of our forum and they aren’t killing it either. 100 miles south and nothing but tears. We all suck at snow. Except for Maine. They don’t suck. Yeah Maine is doing great this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Me waving goodbye to this weekends snow chance... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 For the love of God, just once have this come true. I always say you have to have big digital snows show up fist and then have a Southward placement of them to feel there may be potential down the road. Total speculation, but if the EPS were to start gaining members and the numbers increase overall I say this period has merit. On a side note, there also seems to be some connection at this time from a pv elongation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 52 minutes ago, stormtracker said: There's nothing going on. really? The 18z gfs just gave us 20 inches of snow lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 13 minutes ago, frd said: For the love of God, just once have this come true. I always say you have to have big digital snows show up fist and then have a Southward placement of them to feel there may be potential down the road. Total speculation, but if the EPS were to start gaining members and the numbers increase overall I say this period has merit. On a side note, there also seems to be some connection at this time from a pv elongation. thats a really cool animation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ji said: really? The 18z gfs just gave us 20 inches of snow lol 18z GEFS gave us like 3 over the next 16 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, Ji said: thats a really cool animation I know Bob and psu commented about HM recently struggling with the pattern , but I enjoyed reading Anthony's latest series of posts just now about the "potential " period of interest as it relates to the vortex, wave driving and maybe some pressure going forward. I suggest you check it out. Very interesting series of events in early Feb, but the timing could coincide better as HM mentions to the vacillation period that we have seen the past few months in a row between the 15 th and the 20th versus early in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 26 minutes ago, frd said: For the love of God, just once have this come true. I always say you have to have big digital snows show up fist and then have a Southward placement of them to feel there may be potential down the road. Total speculation, but if the EPS were to start gaining members and the numbers increase overall I say this period has merit. On a side note, there also seems to be some connection at this time from a pv elongation. 10 hP is the Stratospheric Polar vortex, right? Does this actually influence our weather in any meaningful way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, cbmclean said: 10 hP is the Stratospheric Polar vortex, right? Does this actually influence our weather in any meaningful way? There have been times this winter, more so back in November and December where the vortex can become more prone to displacement events and elongations. Folks will look at the 10 hP winds GPH for clues as to what may happen down the road. During these times our weather was effected with cold intrusions. The animation above was focused more so on a possible split, but note the orientation as well, it becomes stretched and elongated and almost splits at 10 hP. But, there is more to it than that, as the animation only focused on 10 hP. But, yes, it can effect our weather is the short answer. But it would take pages to explain the various effects from each type of event and to cover both the SPV and the TPV, including coupling , top up event and a bottoms up event , and the geographic target zones of where each event is most likely to impact. Some events favor the impacts targeting Eurasia, others Europe and some the Eastern US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 @Ji keep an eye on early Feb., just as a period of interest , goes along with Simon Lee's post and HM's as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS prob of 3 inches or more thru Day 16. Note most of this probability is still 10+ days away. I am going to be very disappointed if there is nothing inside of 10 days by the end of next weekend. That worthless map could be valid for any 15 days between any given November and March. For the love of might, stop posting it 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Yeoman said: That worthless map could be valid for any 15 days between any given November and March. For the love of might, stop posting it Thanks! He can even just sleep through his 6 am postings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 We need some Jebman positivity to kick off the 0z runs. ICON will lead us off with a healthy storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2020 Author Share Posted January 27, 2020 7 minutes ago, Mersky said: 18z EPS 978 just off the Delmarva would make most happy Need the 12z map for comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Need the 12z map for comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Need the 12z map for comparison Low location plot looks good but under the hood sucks... lots and lots of rainstorms and half of them are sliders. Not a good run at all imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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