poolz1 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 If models were showing some weak surface low forming and racing out it would be one thing...Maybe a long shot but with something like this on the table it's worth following. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 The GFS and CMC are almost identical with the track on their runs. Pretty wild to see at such a long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 St Louis getting NAM'ed at 84 hr....Henry Marguisity weenie rule says if St Louis gets dumped on, so does DC/Balt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 8:21 PM, poolz1 said: If models were showing some weak surface low forming and racing out it would be one thing...Maybe a long shot but with something like this on the table it's worth following. Expand GFS hangs a lot more cold air back in Ontario and Quebec than any other model. All models have been trending away from that idea so I wouldn't count on it verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 7:53 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Wow. No snow in Leesburg? We have some posters who have lied. Expand Me apparently... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 only in this winter can this surface map not work out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bsperlin Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 7:35 PM, mattie g said: The densest posters live in the highest concentration population areas? Expand Mattie g's version of vice versa is funnier than the actual "vice versa" version, which would be the macabre: The densest population areas live in the highest concentration of posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 9:01 PM, Ji said: only in this winter can this surface map not work out Expand Yup..if I saw that and didn't know what came next, I'd be pretty excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 9:10 PM, stormtracker said: Yup..if I saw that and didn't know what came next, I'd be pretty excited. Expand We need that 999 low out in the Atlantic to pull our storm off the coast. For the life of me i cant remember what that effect is called lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 8:57 PM, Amped said: GFS hangs a lot more cold air back in Ontario and Quebec than any other model. All models have been trending away from that idea so I wouldn't count on it verifying. Expand Come on...we've got a 5 day gfs sounding and a h84 nam with a ull over N Arkansas. What more do you want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Icon with a perfect Apps runner. For five days out, the globals are in decent agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 9:01 PM, Ji said: only in this winter can this surface map not work out Expand And the winter of 2017. And 2018. And like 75% of all of our other winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 9:26 PM, MD Snow said: Icon with a perfect Apps runner. Expand Until it jumps to northern Indiana to sit and spin a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 9:21 PM, Baltimorewx said: We need that 999 low out in the Atlantic to pull our storm off the coast. For the life of me i cant remember what that effect is called lol Expand The Fujiwhara effect? Snowicanes collide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 = On 1/20/2020 at 9:23 PM, poolz1 said: Come on...we've got a 5 day gfs sounding and a h84 nam with a ull over N Arkansas. What more do you want? Expand I want a NAM who cares about meteorology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 9:40 PM, Amped said: = I want a NAM who cares about meteorology. Expand The NAM is a person now. Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 I'm up to 60 hours and the NAM's thermals are vastly different than the GFS, lol. GFS has it raining all the way up to IA. NAM has it snowing down to AR . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 9:51 PM, stormtracker said: I'm up to 60 hours and the NAM's thermals are vastly different than the GFS, lol. GFS has it raining all the way up to IA. NAM has it snowing down to AR . Expand Yeah vastly different, like the MLK pic by the way....classy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 More ridging over southern Canada this run. probably not a good thing since that's what the CMC and Euro had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 @WVclimo @WinterWxLuvr @poolz1 @clskinsfan Theres about 15 to 18 eps members that say stay interested if your close to 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Hell of a rainstorm on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 10:04 PM, stormtracker said: Hell of a rainstorm on the GFS. Expand The only way we pull this off is if the upper and mid level lows stay south and then pass east. Overhead or nearby or anywhere west at our latitude is a complete fail. I'll reserve my excitement for when all ops agree on the south then east track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 10:04 PM, stormtracker said: Hell of a rainstorm on the GFS. Expand Great, just what we need, another wash-out Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 GFS 18z too far North. There are still a few 12z EPS members to give the NW suburbs a little hope, about 10 percent. But better than 0 so I will keep a quarter of an eye on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 10:08 PM, Bob Chill said: The only way we pull this off is if the upper and mid level lows stay south and then pass east. Overhead or nearby or anywhere west at our latitude is a complete fail. I'll reserve my excitement for when all ops agree on the south then east track Expand This is a goner, IMO. I'm focused on what you were focused on in the pipeline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 10:38 PM, stormtracker said: This is a goner, IMO. I'm focused on what you were focused on in the pipeline. Expand Yeah, when the mountains only have a 50% chance of 3 inches per eps...the writing is pretty much on the wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 9:56 PM, Solution Man said: Yeah vastly different, like the MLK pic by the way....classy Expand Agree, I like that photo too, @stormtracker (have see you use that every year around MLK day). Sorry to be too off-topic, but it reminds me that I have been meaning to go out to the MLK memorial either early enough in the morning or in the evening, to get a photo of the granite carving of him. I've walked by there on a few occasions early evening, and think a side profile shot of that carving with the light at that time of day would be amazing if I can capture it right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 The @Bob Chill storm is this weekend’s rainer on steroids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 10:44 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Agree, I like that photo too, @stormtracker (have see you use that every year around MLK day). Sorry to be too off-topic, but it reminds me that I have been meaning to go out to the MLK memorial either early enough in the morning or in the evening, to get a photo of the granite carving of him. I've walked by there on a few occasions early evening, and think a side profile shot of that carving with the light at that time of day would be amazing if I can capture it right! Expand Yeah, it's an amazing memorial. And you noticed I swapped it out every year around this time! High five brotha. Ok, to be on topic, I think we're cooked for Saturday....although I will be in NYC...unfortunately. I would have cancelled of course if we were going to get anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 10:46 PM, jaydreb said: The @Bob Chill storm is this weekend’s rainer on steroids. Expand 979! Well we can’t say precip has been the issue this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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