The 4 Seasons Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: absolute NAM.. remember folks. absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 NAM is like 3-5” to drizzle here.... no substantial rain... that would be nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2020 Author Share Posted January 15, 2020 43 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: i just posted them.. Lol. I hadn’t even looked. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Getting to double digits with both storms? I think that was a given here anyways right now. Yeah, you look golden for 10-12, maybe 14-15 if it really goes well. I think over here it looks like 6-10, and 10 would be if things go really well. Trends seem to indicate an overperformer for tomorrow, but we'll see. Also I still have hope for something bigger this weekend...we'll have to see how it looks once tomorrow's storm gets past us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 gfs was slightly warmer no big changes that I noticed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said: 12Z EPS. 24hr snow totals. Right now based on everything i think a widespread 2-4 looks likely away from the immediate coast for most of SNE. This lines up pretty well with what i would go with atm. Probably go 4-6 N & W of I90. 2-4 everywhere else S. What's west of I-90? The Pacific? Nice look for all, though glad I'll be at Pit2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: gfs was slightly warmer no big changes that I noticed. Looked colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: Looked colder To me it looked like dog shit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: Looked colder wut? where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: To me it looked like dog shit. yeah and not chihuahua dogshit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 It looked the same as 12z, Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 The most important thing to take from the 18z NAM/GFS is that they continue with the theme of dynamic cooling. The biggest key is if we can maximize ratios...if we do I think wi widespread swath of 4-7” is very likely away from the immediate coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 GFS has a complete cutter going way further to the north and is no longer a by of Fundy Track but a central New Brunswick one with a longer duration of rain though not looking very intense as the precipitation looks along the lines of late December 2018 and early January 2019 type of weak system. That thump is looking less likely and is more of a straight out mild air event. I am still surprised that the highs are still only 37 degrees but I am expecting 40's as a probability and general snow lovers defeat as models continue to trend warmer, which leads me to think this storm is looking like more snow for Quebec, Northern New Brunswick, and Northern interior New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Can we define "immediate coast"? Is that 5 miles, 10 ? I've seen that phrase about a half dozen times in the last day or two and some clarity would be helpful, thanks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Can we define "immediate coast"? Is that 5 miles, 10 ? I've seen that phrase about a half dozen times in the last day or two and some clarity would be helpful, thanks. Just west of your house. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Does anyone have the ukmet clownmap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Does anyone have the ukmet clownmap? 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Btv going for 2 to 4 now and you can sense the disappointment to what was originally modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 I’d prob define it less than 5 miles in southern ct prob just 2-3 straight line as the crow flies. I’m about 10 miles from the shore and I definitely wouldn’t call that immediate shore 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: The most important thing to take from the 18z NAM/GFS is that they continue with the theme of dynamic cooling. The biggest key is if we can maximize ratios...if we do I think wi widespread swath of 4-7” is very likely away from the immediate coast. The triple pointing weenie is starting to show up, Will ftw. I have it at 2-4” with a bump up to 4-6” if we get more nam-ish like solutions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: The most important thing to take from the 18z NAM/GFS is that they continue with the theme of dynamic cooling. The biggest key is if we can maximize ratios...if we do I think wi widespread swath of 4-7” is very likely away from the immediate coast. Sell. 2-4 N CT and 1-2 S CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Gon’ snow where it wants to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 5 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro tickling colder. That's not a terrible look. Nothing amazing but probably 3-6 for everyone off the water in SNE. Sounds like another 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 18z euro colder. Nice 3-6” for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 18z euro colder. Nice 3-6” for CT. And we will continue with the colder trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 18z euro colder. Nice 3-6” for CT. Clownmap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: And we will continue with the colder trend. You came to the thread late but have been all over this wrt to how the dynamics could make this a more impactful system and I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sell. 2-4 N CT and 1-2 S CT I think someone hacked Kevin’s account. who is this reasonable man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Just west of your house. Hmmm...since half the time my phone’s weather app says Atlantic Ocean is my location, I’m guessing we get a coating or less here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: The most important thing to take from the 18z NAM/GFS is that they continue with the theme of dynamic cooling. The biggest key is if we can maximize ratios...if we do I think wi widespread swath of 4-7” is very likely away from the immediate coast. I'd sell good ratios on any WAA SWFE style system... 7-9:1 seems to be the climo favored results from these type of events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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