40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Man, this is a big boy airmass.. 18.7/1.2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 18z rap loves the pike regionup into S NH/S VT for 6"+...not sure I'm buying that but the early start of the snow is a good sign. Not a ton of virga it seems like...surprisingly. HRRR is trying to advertise this as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: HRRR is trying to advertise this as well. Can you pin the obs thread please. thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18, 2020 Author Share Posted January 18, 2020 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Man, this is a big boy airmass.. 18.7/1.2 Dry though. Needs to saturate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 GYX has upped the ante. Tonight Snow. Snow accumulation of 5 to 8 inches. Not as cold with lows around 17. Temperatures rising into the mid 20s after midnight. Southeast winds around 10 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z rap loves the pike regionup into S NH/S VT for 6"+...not sure I'm buying that but the early start of the snow is a good sign. Not a ton of virga it seems like...surprisingly. Steady snow at 16/8 is pretty impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Cranky just posted on Twitter low may be developing earlier.. highlights northern ct for enhanced snowfall we'll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duncanwxnh Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Radar looks lovely up here in Concord NH but it's just not penetrating. Hope is high as the Dew Point has gone from -2 to 5 degrees -- I has faith and hope :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 GYX has gone from Advisory to Warning, ft 12z deterministic guidance as well as many ensemble members have increased QPF some. In addition, coastal frontogenesis tonight looks to enhance snowfall on portions of the coastal plain through a period of stronger low level forcing and better snow growth. Low pressure will likely form along the coastal front off the southernmost ME coast as the short wave trough continues to approach. This low will move northeastward overnight and Sunday morning very near the Maine coast and likely act to locally enhance snowfall rates. As such we have bumped up snowfall totals a bit across some of the area (mainly on the Maine coastal plain northeastward to the Midcoast). Have therefore converted the winter weather advisory to a winter storm warning where zone averages are 6 inches or more. w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 BOX took the amounts down a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Silly to have warnings up for those amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Look who drew the map . Belk .. lol Nothing changed at all . 4-6” for most away from water. 7-8 NW Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 What a dink 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 27 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: GYX has gone from Advisory to Warning, ft 12z deterministic guidance as well as many ensemble members have increased QPF some. In addition, coastal frontogenesis tonight looks to enhance snowfall on portions of the coastal plain through a period of stronger low level forcing and better snow growth. Low pressure will likely form along the coastal front off the southernmost ME coast as the short wave trough continues to approach. This low will move northeastward overnight and Sunday morning very near the Maine coast and likely act to locally enhance snowfall rates. As such we have bumped up snowfall totals a bit across some of the area (mainly on the Maine coastal plain northeastward to the Midcoast). Have therefore converted the winter weather advisory to a winter storm warning where zone averages are 6 inches or more. w. We enhance.......... MEZ020-191015- Androscoggin- Including the cities of Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot, Turner, Auburn, and Livermore Falls 305 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...Snow. Snow accumulation of 5 to 8 inches. Not as cold with lows around 15. Light and variable winds. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow likely in the morning, then partly sunny in the afternoon. Total snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches. Highs in the lower 30s. Light and variable winds. Chance of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 40 minutes ago, duncanwxnh said: Radar looks lovely up here in Concord NH but it's just not penetrating. Hope is high as the Dew Point has gone from -2 to 5 degrees -- I has faith and hope :-) Welcome. We need more posters up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 i dont know what BOX and OKX are doing but it looks fine. They updated the adv in southern CT for an additional 1-3 lol. It hasnt even really started yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Latest OKX maps. I can agree with the inland numbers around 5-6". But HVN gets more than 2 thats for sure. They are already close that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Latest OKX maps. I can agree with the inland numbers around 5-6". But HVN gets more than 2 thats for sure. They are already close that. I’d be pleasantly surprised with 6 for my location. Radar doesn’t look like it would support that, We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: I’d be pleasantly surprised with 6 for my location. Radar doesn’t look like it would support that, We’ll see. It will fill in and ramp up after 6pm. I was just checking models and most have the bulk falling between 6-10PM for us. We are at about an inch and by this time more were only supporting 1/4-1/2" by this time, so we're ahead of the curve. 4-6" is most likely for interior southern CT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: It will fill in and ramp up after 6pm. I was just checking models and most have the bulk falling between 6-10PM for us. We are at about an inch and by this time more were only supporting 1/4-1/2" by this time, so we're ahead of the curve. 4-6" is most likely for interior southern CT. I don’t get people. It was always a heavy window from 7-12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 16 hours ago, jm1220 said: You mean OKX=Upton more than Boston? I very much doubt it unless it really does come in like a wall down here. We run the risk of the fairly typical in SWFE hour long moderate snow burst followed by mini dryslot where we warm up on southerly winds then white rain/rain/slop when the real stuff comes in. OKX is pretty far east in Suffolk County, susceptible to the torch on south winds and will warm up fast if that lull happens. If you mean NYC it could happen if that precip min is real in eastern Mass. I think a chunk of the storm is rain down here but we have more precip overall. The southerly winds will eventually win out even with this airmass, it could spike up to 40 for a while. It could be a lousy inch or so if the lull happens or it really could be 3-4" if it pounds for a few hours and the warmth can be held off. Our max down here is 3-4" pretty sure. At least it shouldn't be a long enough period of rain to wash it all away but it'll still be quite forgettable. BOS will still be ahead of us in the seasonal snow totals anyway regardless. Lousy winter all around though so far. Yes, meant KNYC aka Central Park. Maybe not now, we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t get people. It was always a heavy window from 7-12 Yes, for you're area i'd go with 7-11 central CT 6-10 and W CT 5-9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 11 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Yes, for you're area i'd go with 7-11 central CT 6-10 and W CT 5-9 To bad that's when the heaviest rates fall and not snow totals........................ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 53 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Latest OKX maps. I can agree with the inland numbers around 5-6". But HVN gets more than 2 thats for sure. They are already close that. Yeah, I was just driving home from Stony Creek about an hour ago and it seemed like we had at least a couple of inches already... The intensity of the snow has tapered since then, but it's still snowing and I agree the total's gonna be well over 2 inches... But does it really matter? Whether it's 2, or 4, or even 6, its all gonna get washed away by the rain, at least it will here in New Haven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Gonna shut off fast. Dry slot already to NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1.5" down. Steady light snow. Snow growth is not good, very dense snow, but probably close to .75-1.0"/hr at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Yeah, dry slot really racing in to shut 'er down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 27 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Gonna shut off fast. Dry slot already to NJ. Yep. We mentioned that yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 29 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Gonna shut off fast. Dry slot already to NJ. That's a dry slot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's a dry slot? It’s showery looking. You lose the moisture in the DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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