HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2020 Author Share Posted January 17, 2020 20 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Seems to work pretty well around here Going conservative when called for seems prudent. No point in going crazy for something like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 37 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 18Z Euro 4 inches here will feel like a full blown snowstorm for this year..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: 4 inches here will feel like a full blown snowstorm for this year..... 4” is a good snowfall. Everyone should enjoy it. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Euro looks good. 3-5 across all of SNE off the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 4” is a good snowfall. Everyone should enjoy it. id be totally satisifed with a 4" event here on grass and roads, plows going by, wintry feel, pack stays for awhile, all good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Lava rock whines to 10 more?I've been relatively good this season, although patience was starting to wear thin last week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Nickels and dimes Didn’t you get like 2 feet last month? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: id be totally satisifed with a 4" event here on grass and roads, plows going by, wintry feel, pack stays for awhile, all good stuff. It’s one of those deals where people meh it beforehand but when everything is covered with the sounds of scraping plows...suddenly they remember the special feeling and beauty of it all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Next week will come back . I’d say 25-26 ish 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2020 Author Share Posted January 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Didn’t you get like 2 feet last month? Dec 1&2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s one of those deals where people meh it beforehand but when everything is covered with the sounds of scraping plows...suddenly they remember the special feeling and beauty of it all. Yeah a 4" event is much more enjoyable in real life than on a colored map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 24 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s one of those deals where people meh it beforehand but when everything is covered with the sounds of scraping plows...suddenly they remember the special feeling and beauty of it all. Just as long as I dont wake up Sunday morning and watch it all melt away because we end up hitting the low 40s before we plunge into the arctic for a few days... I remember growing up down in the Mid Atlantic and these SWFE would almost always change over to rain and it was always will there be any left, not how much would accumulate. It also seemed like half the time they would start out as sleet and just change to rain, even though snow was being forecasted. At least up here it seems like it is always some sort of net gain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 0Z NAM definitely better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 0Z NAM definitely better yeah ticked colder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Our NYC friends get some love too on this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 NAM looks pretty good... generally 3-6”... bumped up some 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Quick mover. Looks like mostly snow even down to BOS. Brief changeover to drizzle? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 NAM held the shortwave together a bit longer. So it's trying to give us a little bit more enhanced thump. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 This is my first call. Despite me joking around about an easy forecast. This is actually one of the easier ones we've had this winter and all of last winter as well. This has prompted many to put out snowfall forecasts 3 or more days in advance. We are roughly 40hrs away from the start of the event. Models have been consistent run to run and model to model. This looks like a rather light event for most but enough to be plowed (low/mid advisory). After checking on bufkit the majority of the precip for everyone will fall as snow. The last 10-15% as rain for the southern half of CT. For the northern half the changeover will be inconsequential to snow amounts and in the NW corner they might not change over at all. Therefore, we are looking at 2-5 for most of the state. Snow growth looks decent but nothing to write home about. Somewhere around 10-12:1 average. The shoreline , west of Madison will likely be on the lower end of those numbers, in the 2-3" range and amounts increase inland. The higher end of the range will be in the northern part of the state and especially the NW corner where they are likely to remain all snow. It is not out of the question there are some 6" amounts here. The quickest changeover happens in the SE corner where i limited amounts to 1-2. This is typical climo for them and typical for this type of system. The snowfall range, should generally be read with a SE to NW gradient. If anything changes tomorrow with our 12Z/00Z suites i will update the map. P.S. NAM looks solid, ticked a bit cooler mid and low levels and bumped up qpf. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Nam stays mostly snow ends as drizzle even for us weenies in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 45 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Lava rock whines to 10 more? I've been relatively good this season, although patience was starting to wear thin last week You have a checkerd past............... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2020 Author Share Posted January 17, 2020 No taint in the NAM north of the Pike. That could help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM held the shortwave together a bit longer. So it's trying to give us a little bit more enhanced thump. Like this more and more, slope is back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 maybe 3-6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 51 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Just as long as I dont wake up Sunday morning and watch it all melt away because we end up hitting the low 40s before we plunge into the arctic for a few days... I remember growing up down in the Mid Atlantic and these SWFE would almost always change over to rain and it was always will there be any left, not how much would accumulate. It also seemed like half the time they would start out as sleet and just change to rain, even though snow was being forecasted. At least up here it seems like it is always some sort of net gain. I don’t see us reaching low 40s, maybe 36/37. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I don’t see us reaching low 40s, maybe 36/37. The ground should be nice and frozen which should help keep the "pack" with those temps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 3k nam keeps everyone all snow except se areas at the tail end. Widespread 3-6”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: 18Z Euro What a widespread system.... compared to some compact ones, this has a huge swath of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 3k nam keeps everyone all snow except se areas at the tail end. Widespread 3-6”. Yeah... looks good. Looks like any rain off the cape would be at the very end and really means very little. 3k gets rain to about TAN but it’s at the very very end. Nice to see a somewhat more pronounced thump so far at 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 GFS is almost all snow into Boston. Quick thump. 2-4”, hedging toward the higher end for the city. Lollies to 6” for someone lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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