SnowGolfBro Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 12 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Hrrr tomorrow morning at 12z . On DC's nw lawn . Now if we can just get that same look for 4-6 consecutive hours tomorrow morning we will be in business lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 So all the fuss for a Saturday snow shower. OMG. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Gfs a little drier, at least up my way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, Scraff said: So all the fuss for a Saturday snow shower. OMG. This is the way it has been trending for days, unfortunately. I'd feel a lot better about it if the long range was still looking as promising as it was when this event started trending south, but we've even lost that now. I'm just hoping that initial band gives me a good hour or so of snow. Otherwise, I'm not expecting to see much other than a little sleet and a little rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 WB 18Z GFS Winter Precip maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, osfan24 said: This is the way it has been trending for days, unfortunately. I'd feel a lot better about it if the long range was still looking as promising as it was when this event started trending south, but we've even lost that now. I'm just hoping that initial band gives me a good hour or so of snow. Otherwise, I'm not expecting to see much other than a little sleet and a little rain. Guess we better set a Saturday morning alarm. Don’t want to miss the last 15 minute snow event of January. Well...at least I always have my last can of Fresca to get me through this terrible time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 31/13. Bring on my .25 inches of precipitation and may it all be frozen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: 31/13. Bring on my .25 inches of precipitation and may it all be frozen! Right. If we are in a nickel and dine situation .25 is a whole quarter. And that’s worth 2 dimes and a nickel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 27/9 Be nice to crack an inch for the winter (LOL). A half inch would do it, but my forecast was downgraded to "little or no accumulation" I really am moving. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 That stringy upper air warm front and then nothing for hours is yet another varied depiction and in this case a rarely occurring one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Had to post something...couldn’t leave post #666 linger too long.26/9 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 53 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: That stringy upper air warm front and then nothing for hours is yet another varied depiction and in this case a rarely occurring one And yet it’s been consistently shown across all guidance for a couple of days. I am like you in thinking it looks odd, and am hoping it develops. But if it does show up in the morning exactly as progged, you would have to say it’s a testament to the skill we see in NWP, wouldn’t you ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 42 minutes ago, WVclimo said: And yet it’s been consistently shown across all guidance for a couple of days. I am like you in thinking it looks odd, and am hoping it develops. But if it does show up in the morning exactly as progged, you would have to say it’s a testament to the skill we see in NWP, wouldn’t you ? The way it's projected is a very short burst and then nothing for hours then rain. I don’t think that will happen . Also it has not been projected that way for “couple days” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Weenie rule #368. Radar returns in SW VA are a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Nice! Yea..temp dropping good now . 24/14 23/7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 23/724/7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 24/8 after a high of 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 12 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Weenie rule #368. Radar returns in SW VA are a good sign. Not this time. Out precip isn’t going to come from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 27/10 at least all of my sleet pellets will accumulate 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 20/13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lake Frederick Mike Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 24/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 29/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 23.5/8.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 2 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: 27/9 Be nice to crack an inch for the winter (LOL). A half inch would do it, but my forecast was downgraded to "little or no accumulation" I really am moving. You have the most reason of anyone in here to be a cranky miserable arse wrt snow yet you are one of the most level headed posters. It’s easy for me too have a positive attitude given my climo/results but I admire your rationality. I do hope your location breaks the drought soon and or you find a snowier spot. Even up here I dream of moving somewhere like North Conway NH where 100” is a common occurrence. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You have the most reason of anyone in here to be a cranky miserable arse wrt snow yet you are one of the most level headed posters. It’s easy for me too have a positive attitude given my climo/results but I admire your rationality. I do hope your location breaks the drought soon and or you find a snowier spot. Even up here I dream of moving somewhere like North Conway NH where 100” is a common occurrence. I want to move there, just nw of Portland Me, Auburn Me, or bite the bullet and move to Rangeley, Me. New Hampshire and Maine are incredible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 23/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said: The way it's projected is a very short burst and then nothing for hours then rain. I don’t think that will happen . Also it has not been projected that way for “couple days” Here is the past 8 runs of the 12k NAM. Timing differences skew the position somewhat but the same general idea of that slender front-running band has been consistent: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 25/17 - pretty chilly out there... Radar returns in SW VA seem to be aligning with the sliver in eastern OH as projected on the NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I want to move there, just nw of Portland Me, Auburn Me, or bite the bullet and move to Rangeley, Me. New Hampshire and Maine are incredible Been to Rangely when skiing the loaf. They always have a ton of snow. They don’t quite get the huge totals from coastals though as on the southeast faces of the mountain range. But they hold snowcover due to the cold being protected from coastal warm ups. Having been to rangely and n Conway on the same trips often (combining wildcat and loaf) Rangely will always have more snow otg but in a big storm Conway gets the bigger dump. Trade offs. Conway still has snowcover much of winter so I think I would sacrifice the crazy pack Rangely has from November to May...literally they usually still have a 2 foot pack in late April even...to get those crazy coastals. I still want to be able to root for those and watch the crazy death bands on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 3k NAM WB 0Z at 13z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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