ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 NAM trying to go low end advisory snows for maybe ORH up to hubbdave and out to Chris in greenfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Author Share Posted January 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM trying to go low end advisory snows for maybe ORH up to hubbdave and out to Chris in greenfield. Yeah Nam ramped up some from 06z, Looks good Northern MA, 6" here close to low end warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Author Share Posted January 15, 2020 12z reggie looks good too........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 The snow growth looks pretty darn good... hits the mid level lift on the front side, then when the CAA kicks in it lowers the DGZ towards the lowest 5,000ft of the atmosphere where the orographic lift starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Author Share Posted January 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 12z HRRR gone wild late tonight and tomorrow morning. May have to toss that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Pickles mocked me when I called snow for Rt 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Pickles mocked me when I called snow for Rt 2. you never know, could be 4" for you and us, plowable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Pickles mocked me when I called snow for Rt 2. I had been thinking C-0.5" for my area. Closer to NH maybe an inch. double that now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2020 Author Share Posted January 15, 2020 Most storms all winter have tick tocked south in the last 24-36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM trying to go low end advisory snows for maybe ORH up to hubbdave and out to Chris in greenfield. Yup...so is GGEM. Actually, when I saw that, I clicked the GGEM back several panels -it's actually been trending snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yup...so is GGEM. Actually, when I saw that, I clicked the GGEM back several panels -it's actually been trending snowier. Euro is doing it too at 12z. In fact it's getting 1-2" all the way down to N CT. I'll admit I didn't think this would trend that hard south inside 36 hours. We'll see if it's enough to cause a little AM commute surprise for the pike/Rt 2 region early tomorrow...or if it's just a coating to an inch car topper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 For some reason the models found this system difficult to get a handle on. Still do to some degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, Hazey said: For some reason the models found this system difficult to get a handle on. Still do to some degree. Been a rough winter for the models. Euro snow... I’d take near half inch of QPF and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 am i ever gonna see snow this year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 50 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is doing it too at 12z. In fact it's getting 1-2" all the way down to N CT. I'll admit I didn't think this would trend that hard south inside 36 hours. We'll see if it's enough to cause a little AM commute surprise for the pike/Rt 2 region early tomorrow...or if it's just a coating to an inch car topper. I guess it's just the flow is so compressed the low can't gain latitude? If anything I've noticed higher heights in the se over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 42 minutes ago, Hazey said: For some reason the models found this system difficult to get a handle on. Still do to some degree. I have about 4 inches in the forecast for you. Ratios look nice at least. Maybe 6 to 8 or even a bit more for sw ns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 16 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: I guess it's just the flow is so compressed the low can't gain latitude? If anything I've noticed higher heights in the se over time. Yeah fast flow through the meat grinder is likely the culprit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Looks like euro might even get some extremely light accumulations down to like Foxboro and Sharon are.... wouldn’t be shocked if south of pike saw some flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 18z nam colder too. Might be advisory nrn oh county into adjacent NH towards sea coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18z nam colder too. Might be advisory nrn oh county into adjacent NH towards sea coast. I would not be surprised if Cape Cod gets a 3-6 hour period of near blizzard conditions as the comma head swings through, if the surface low ends up a little more south, like over ACK instead of over PYM, it could be a bigger snow surprise. Winds could gust over 50mph tomorrow night and into Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I would not be surprised if Cape Cod gets a 3-6 hour period of near blizzard conditions as the comma head swings through, if the surface low ends up a little more south, like over ACK instead of over PYM, it could be a bigger snow surprise. Winds could gust over 50mph tomorrow night and into Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: How is this off topic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 James, are you referring to Thursday storm or weekend? If Thursday, 3-6 hours of blizzard conditions seems a bit excessive. Maybe a dusting if it sticks which is not likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I would not be surprised if Cape Cod gets a 3-6 hour period of near blizzard conditions as the comma head swings through, if the surface low ends up a little more south, like over ACK instead of over PYM, it could be a bigger snow surprise. Winds could gust over 50mph tomorrow night and into Friday. You might get some SHSN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Glad I'm up north for this one. NAM showing 7", powder day tomorrow. Should be dry snow on the mountain as temps look to be in the mid/upper 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 JGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 I'm thinking maybe in mid June I'm going to try to steal a Nunavut snowstorm. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Marko, I was talking about the Thursday storm, most of the mesomodels show the low more south, towards the Outer Cape instead of north of Provincetown. Honestly if this solution verifies we will know by the time it reaches 73 W longitude. If the low is south of 42N latitude passing this longitude line, then we get a snow event even on Cape Cod, if the low is north of that line then we get rain to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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