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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020


wdrag
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13 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Light snow has begun here in Metuchen!  Band looks thinner, so hoping for 1/2" out of it...

Edit - 1 min later and it's moderate - didn't expect that, lol...

Just took a quick walk - gorgeous out there with moderate (not quite heavy) snow and 1/4" down; guessing another 1/4" before this band ends - nice! 

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9 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Queens. Should be ~2" at all 3 stations maybe less at JFK. Unfortunately this initial band is drying up as it approaches

Yeah this front end thump is looking unlikely. Snowgoose was mentioning how these setups usually backfill faster than modeled so hopefully there isn't much of a lull. But for the time being, not looking likely for that either. 

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32 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

You're far enough north to see mostly snow before the dry slot moves in. Should do well up there.

As a side note that doesn't really belong in an obs thread but, in a more general sense when forecasts are made it would be cool if a distinction was made based on east and west of the River. I know it's hard to forecast for microclimates.

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3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Unimpressive on OKX and DIX. Definitely fizzled out in drier air.

Dry air often funnels down the Hudson Valley, very common for echoes to dry up and then pulse back up again east of town

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The increase in winds associated with this frontogenetic band are interesting. EWR began gusting just as it arrived. Radar velocities indicate winds will die down again as the more intense snow ends.

wind_fronto.thumb.png.c47bced85c12f283f83f773e28073047.png

908648270_ScreenShot2020-01-18at12_37_09PM.png.8c0ed2c2758d7b0f788b9588c797448f.png

KEWR 181723Z 23016G22KT 2SM -SN BKN027 BKN042 OVC060 M02/M12 A3042 RMK AO2 SNB22 P0000 T10221122

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